Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 27, 2009

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $35.1400 (0.63%) ($34.6700 - $35.1800) on Mon. Jul. 27, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.25% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $35.1400(0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 6.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.125% (StdDev 2.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.58(1.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.76(4.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.65(7.63%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   21.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.62% (three month std-dev: 2.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 2.45%(44%) Average negative next day return: -2.03%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 3.94%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -2.38%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 6.62%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.12%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_27_2009	30.22	32.65	33.76	34.58	34.54	34.86	35.14(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	60	17	171	0.03	56%	0.5	51.3	2.25%	0	1.6	80	0
2	Jul_24_2009	30.07	32.48	33.36	34.31	34.31	34.57	34.92(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	50	21	159	0.02	56%	0.5	48.6	2.26%	0	1.8	68	0
3	Jul_23_2009	29.92	32.33	32.9	33.94	34.07	34.22	34.7(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	40	16	129	0.05	59%	0.44	44.5	2.28%	0	1.9	65	0
4	Jul_22_2009	29.79	32.17	32.51	33.66	33.71	34.05	34.04(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	80	13	99	0.04	59%	0.44	40.3	2.31%	0	1.6	54	0
5	Jul_21_2009	29.66	32.03	32.14	33.39	33.48	33.92	34.12(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	100	33	82	0.05	59%	0.41	31.4	2.31%	0	2	57	0

6	Jul_20_2009	29.54	31.89	31.8	32.8	33.05	33.36	33.76(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	90	29	43	0.02	54%	0.37	9.6	2.31%	0	1.9	57	0
7	Jul_17_2009	29.43	31.82	31.58	32.27	32.41	33.04	33.1(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	150	29	16	0.02	54%	0.31	-16.2	2.38%	0	1.5	55	0
8	Jul_16_2009	29.34	31.78	31.44	31.68	31.83	32.74	33.26(1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	30	210	42	-7	0.07	54%	0.34	-49.6	2.38%	0	1.8	55	0
9	Jul_15_2009	29.24	31.71	31.37	31.2	31.11	31.78	32.72(4.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	22	140	36	-22	0.09	54%	0.27	-82.9	2.37%	0	1.3	57	0
10	Jul_14_2009	29.16	31.7	31.32	30.73	30.72	30.93	31.18(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-0	50	15	-46	0.08	49%	0.28	-108.5	2.31%	0	-0.7	49	0

11	Jul_13_2009	29.08	31.8	31.42	30.65	30.56	30.43	31.08(2.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-19	-40	-7	-53	0.07	49%	0.24	-108	2.31%	0	-0.9	48	0
12	Jul_10_2009	29.01	31.97	31.52	30.79	30.68	30.51	30.18(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-50	-18	-57	0.08	46%	0.17	-84.5	2.28%	0	-1.8	32	0
13	Jul_9_2009	28.96	32.2	31.73	31.14	31	30.68	30.82(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-90	-21	-44	0.09	46%	0.21	-68.7	2.28%	0	-1.3	38	0
14	Jul_8_2009	28.9	32.37	31.82	31.57	31.37	30.86	30.38(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-130	-30	-34	0.17	46%	0.17	-57.7	2.28%	0	-1.7	37	0
15	Jul_7_2009	28.85	32.57	31.95	31.99	32.01	31.33	30.78(-3.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-150	-24	-21	0.19	46%	0.07	-54.8	2.29%	0	-1.6	36	0

16	Jul_6_2009	28.83	32.73	32.04	32.29	32.33	31.87	31.78(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-100	-22	-20	0.61	49%	0.21	-55.2	2.28%	0	-0.9	36	0
17	Jul_2_2009	28.77	32.84	32.13	32.35	32.54	32.69	31.96(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	50	-3	-24	0.08	55%	0.14	-52.7	2.3%	0	-0.8	30	0
18	Jul_1_2009	28.73	32.97	32.17	32.4	32.48	32.79	32.96(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	70	20	-31	0.01	59%	0.17	-50.4	2.32%	0	-0	32	0
19	Jun_30_2009	28.68	33.04	32.17	32.12	32.18	32.38	32.48(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	50	12	-61	0.06	55%	0.1	-49.2	2.36%	0	-0.4	34	0
20	Jun_29_2009	28.65	33.19	32.09	31.92	32	32.18	32.26(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	50	10	-77	0.07	55%	0.14	-48.2	2.51%	0	-0.7	33	0

21	Jun_26_2009	28.61	33.33	32.18	31.77	31.79	31.97	32.1(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	40	1	-90	0.01	51%	0.18	-48.1	2.57%	0	-1	36	0
22	Jun_25_2009	28.56	33.44	32.41	31.89	31.71	31.81	32.2(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	10	0	-84	0.02	55%	0.18	-44.7	2.58%	0	-1	36	0
23	Jun_24_2009	28.51	33.55	32.66	31.93	31.91	31.62	31.58(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-70	-4	-82	0.05	51%	0.11	-43.3	2.62%	0	-1.6	26	0
24	Jun_23_2009	28.48	33.67	32.94	32.05	32.05	31.6	31.48(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-35	-100	-19	-84	0.06	57%	0.18	-42.1	2.68%	0	-1.9	27	0
25	Jun_22_2009	28.43	33.83	33.23	32.28	32.24	32.2	31.48(-3.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-32	-10	-16	-78	0.07	57%		-33.5	2.88%	0	-2.2	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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