Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 22, 2009

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $31.4800 (-3.73%) ($31.4600 - $32.0400) on Mon. Jun. 22, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.88% (three month average)
RSI   22
Latest Price   $31.4800(-3.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.44% (StdDev 2.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $26.77(-14.96%)
Resistance Level   $33.83
5 Day Moving Average   $32.28(-2.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.23(-5.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.83(-6.95%)
To recent high   -11.7%
To recent low   30.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.13% (three month std-dev: 2.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.09%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.13%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.66%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090722

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_22_2009	28.43	33.83	33.23	32.28	32.24	32.2	31.48(-3.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-32	-10	-16	-78	0.07	57%	0.14	-33.5	2.88%	0	-2.2	22	0
2	Jun_19_2009	28.39	33.96	33.49	32.65	32.52	32.5	32.7(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-20	-6	-70	0.03	60%	0.18	-16	2.84%	0	-1.4	33	0
3	Jun_18_2009	28.34	34.02	33.63	33.03	32.72	32.28	32.4(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-120	-21	-65	0.03	63%	0.11	5.9	2.84%	0	-1.9	39	0
4	Jun_17_2009	28.31	34.1	33.86	33.53	33.26	32.53	32.18(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-33	-180	-27	-49	0.02	63%	0.14	39.3	2.92%	0	-2.5	37	0
5	Jun_16_2009	28.27	34.16	34.1	33.96	33.96	33.17	32.66(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-27	-160	-25	-31	0.04	63%	0.18	64.8	2.92%	0	-2.2	46	0

6	Jun_15_2009	28.22	34.19	34.4	34.29	34.37	33.99	33.3(-3.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-16	-70	-17	-11	0.07	63%	0.21	86.8	2.9%	0	-1.4	44	0
7	Jun_12_2009	28.16	34.11	34.59	34.42	34.54	34.74	34.6(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	50	4	9	0.01	69%	0.28	55.3	2.85%	0	0.5	57	0
8	Jun_11_2009	28.08	33.97	34.55	34.31	34.32	34.75	34.92(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	90	10	11	0.02	69%	0.25	45.8	2.9%	0	0.9	60	0
9	Jun_10_2009	28.01	33.79	34.5	34.25	34.17	34.35	34.34(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	30	7	12	0.12	72%	0.25	37	2.9%	0	0.5	56	0
10	Jun_9_2009	27.94	33.73	34.45	34.28	34.2	33.9	34.3(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-4	-70	-8	9	0.02	69%	0.22	44.8	3.08%	0	0.5	60	0

11	Jun_8_2009	27.88	33.64	34.45	34.55	34.31	33.99	33.94(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-7	-90	-17	22	0.09	69%	0.14	53	3.14%	0	0.3	60	0
12	Jun_5_2009	27.84	33.62	34.47	34.78	34.75	34.5	34.04(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-50	-4	48	0.02	64%	0.18	70.9	3.16%	0	0.4	70	0
13	Jun_4_2009	27.79	33.5	34.44	34.82	34.91	34.62	34.64(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-50	-4	59	0.02	64%	0.22	73.4	3.29%	0	0.9	71	0
14	Jun_3_2009	27.73	33.37	34.36	34.78	34.82	34.99	34.5(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	40	1	74	0.06	64%	0.14	81.2	3.29%	0	0.9	72	0
15	Jun_2_2009	27.69	33.22	34.23	34.61	34.72	35.2	35.64(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	110	15	78	0.07	60%	0.14	85.8	3.26%	0	1.9	62	0

16	Jun_1_2009	27.65	33.02	33.96	34.39	34.39	34.65	35.06(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	50	13	72	0.08	60%	0.11	101.7	3.41%	0	1.7	63	0
17	May_29_2009	27.62	32.8	33.59	34.14	34.1	34.25	34.24(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	30	5	51	0.09	60%	0	101.4	3.43%	0	1.2	53	0
18	May_28_2009	27.62	32.6	33.33	34.01	33.99	34.13	34.46(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	30	7	49	0.06	60%	0.07	97.9	3.45%	0	1.5	63	0
19	May_27_2009	27.6	32.37	33.02	33.87	33.79	33.96	33.66(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	30	3	41	0.02	60%	0	101.5	3.47%	0	1	58	0
20	May_26_2009	27.6	32.15	32.95	33.78	33.75	33.85	34.54(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	20	10	50	0.07	60%	-0.11	95.4	3.45%	0	1.6	64	0

21	May_22_2009	27.63	31.87	32.72	33.45	33.57	33.63	33.78(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	20	11	43	0.03	58%	0.22	90.3	3.54%	0	1.2	59	0
22	May_21_2009	27.57	31.65	32.68	32.95	33.24	33.65	33.62(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	110	13	43	0.05	58%	0.04	81.5	3.57%	0	1.2	64	0
23	May_20_2009	27.56	31.4	32.47	32.54	32.73	33.5	33.76(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	180	23	43	0.06	58%	0.04	70.4	3.59%	0	1.4	66	0
24	May_19_2009	27.55	31.09	32.28	32.03	32.12	32.83	33.18(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	160	15	35	0.1	58%	0.04	58.7	3.62%	0	1.2	65	0
25	May_18_2009	27.54	30.81	32.1	32.01	31.74	31.97	32.92(5.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	30	8	45	0.03	58%		56.4	3.62%	0	1.1	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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