Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. May. 23, 2009

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $33.7800 (0.48%) ($33.6000 - $34.0200) on Sat. May. 23, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.54% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $33.7800(0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.77% (StdDev 3.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.45(0.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.72(3.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.87(5.99%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   75.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.86% (three month std-dev: 3.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.25%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.01%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.79%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090623

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_22_2009	27.63	31.87	32.72	33.45	33.57	33.63	33.78(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	20	11	43	0.03	58%	0.22	90.3	3.54%	0	1.2	59	NAN
2	May_21_2009	27.57	31.65	32.68	32.95	33.24	33.65	33.62(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	110	13	43	0.05	58%	0.04	81.5	3.57%	0	1.2	64	NAN
3	May_20_2009	27.56	31.4	32.47	32.54	32.73	33.5	33.76(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	180	23	43	0.06	58%	0.04	70.4	3.59%	0	1.4	66	NAN
4	May_19_2009	27.55	31.09	32.28	32.03	32.12	32.83	33.18(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	160	15	35	0.1	58%	0.04	58.7	3.62%	0	1.2	65	NAN
5	May_18_2009	27.54	30.81	32.1	32.01	31.74	31.97	32.92(5.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	30	8	45	0.03	58%	0.04	56.4	3.62%	0	1.1	68	NAN

6	May_15_2009	27.53	30.53	31.99	31.91	31.87	31.41	31.26(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-100	-11	49	0.03	52%	0.15	55.3	3.68%	0	0.4	65	NAN
7	May_14_2009	27.49	30.39	31.96	32.38	32.11	31.51	31.56(1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-160	-14	70	0.02	52%	0	65.1	3.71%	0	0.6	62	NAN
8	May_13_2009	27.49	30.22	31.83	32.36	32.5	32.34	31.24(-5.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-20	-9	80	0.07	52%	0	68.8	3.74%	0	0.5	65	NAN
9	May_12_2009	27.49	30.07	31.72	32.52	32.6	32.72	33.06(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	33	30	8	108	0.01	55%	0	75.1	3.67%	0	1.5	78	NAN
10	May_11_2009	27.49	29.79	31.32	32.2	32.32	32.67	32.44(-3.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	90	6	109	0.01	55%	0	75.5	3.67%	0	1.4	77	NAN

11	May_8_2009	27.49	29.53	30.97	32.09	32.09	32.48	33.6(6.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	46	90	20	125	0.04	53%	0	77.6	3.65%	0	2.2	85	NAN
12	May_7_2009	27.49	29.2	30.53	31.5	31.72	31.97	31.48(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	38	80	12	114	0.04	50%	-0.11	78.2	3.59%	0	1.4	68	NAN
13	May_6_2009	27.52	28.96	30.25	31.21	31.34	31.69	32(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	90	14	109	0.07	50%	-0.07	77.9	3.61%	0	1.9	71	NAN
14	May_5_2009	27.54	28.66	29.81	30.8	30.91	31.48	31.46(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	140	19	97	0.06	50%	0	76.2	3.63%	0	1.8	71	NAN
15	May_4_2009	27.54	28.42	29.41	30.3	30.5	30.99	31.9(4.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	41	130	26	86	0.02	50%	0	80.5	3.62%	0	2.4	76	NAN

16	May_1_2009	27.54	28.18	28.92	29.69	29.78	30.35	30.66(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	140	12	60	0.04	50%	-0.04	88.7	3.6%	0	2.1	73	NAN
17	Apr_30_2009	27.55	27.98	28.66	29.43	29.44	30.01	30.04(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	140	18	62	0.04	50%	-0.07	93.5	3.62%	0	1.9	73	NAN
18	Apr_29_2009	27.57	27.76	28.47	29.14	29.21	29.22	29.92(3.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	10	17	61	0.07	48%	-0.04	83.8	3.63%	0	2	74	NAN
19	Apr_28_2009	27.58	27.53	28.27	28.66	28.84	28.88	28.96(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	30	4	52	0.06	50%	-0.07	72.4	3.67%	0	1.4	74	NAN
20	Apr_27_2009	27.6	27.3	28.13	28.36	28.56	29.2	28.86(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	180	17	51	0.05	50%	0	47.7	3.71%	0	1.3	66	NAN

21	Apr_24_2009	27.6	27.15	27.98	28	28	28.8	29.38(2.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	200	19	42	0.04	50%	0	47.5	3.68%	0	1.9	62	NAN
22	Apr_23_2009	27.6	27.02	27.75	27.79	27.6	27.91	28.58(3.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	60	11	33	0.05	50%	-0.04	59.8	3.7%	0	1.5	62	NAN
23	Apr_22_2009	27.61	26.9	27.57	27.73	27.61	27.19	27.54(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-120	-5	32	0.14	48%	-0.07	73.9	3.67%	0	0.6	65	NAN
24	Apr_21_2009	27.63	26.79	27.44	27.84	27.78	27.29	27.44(1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-130	-12	38	0.04	48%	-0.04	86.7	3.69%	0	0.6	67	NAN
25	Apr_20_2009	27.64	26.73	27.37	27.85	28	28.03	27.08(-4.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	20	-4	57	0.09	45%		107.6	3.7%	0	0.3	71	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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