Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 29, 2009

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $29.9200 (3.31%) ($29.4800 - $30.2800) on Wed. Apr. 29, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.63% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $29.9200(3.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.815% (StdDev 3.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.14(2.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.47(5.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.76(7.78%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   55.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.82% (three month std-dev: 3.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1%(22%) Average negative next day return: -0.7%(78%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.87%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -2.6%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 4.02%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.34%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090529

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_29_2009	27.57	27.76	28.47	29.14	29.21	29.22	29.92(3.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	10	17	61	0.07	48%	-0.04	83.8	3.63%	0	2	74	0
2	Apr_28_2009	27.58	27.53	28.27	28.66	28.84	28.88	28.96(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	30	4	52	0.06	50%	-0.07	72.4	3.67%	0	1.4	74	0
3	Apr_27_2009	27.6	27.3	28.13	28.36	28.56	29.2	28.86(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	180	17	51	0.05	50%	0	47.7	3.71%	0	1.3	66	0
4	Apr_24_2009	27.6	27.15	27.98	28	28	28.8	29.38(2.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	200	19	42	0.04	50%	0	47.5	3.68%	0	1.9	62	0
5	Apr_23_2009	27.6	27.02	27.75	27.79	27.6	27.91	28.58(3.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	60	11	33	0.05	50%	-0.04	59.8	3.7%	0	1.5	62	0

6	Apr_22_2009	27.61	26.9	27.57	27.73	27.61	27.19	27.54(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-120	-5	32	0.14	48%	-0.07	73.9	3.67%	0	0.6	65	0
7	Apr_21_2009	27.63	26.79	27.44	27.84	27.78	27.29	27.44(1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-130	-12	38	0.04	48%	-0.04	86.7	3.69%	0	0.6	67	0
8	Apr_20_2009	27.64	26.73	27.37	27.85	28	28.03	27.08(-4.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	20	-4	57	0.09	45%	-0.14	107.6	3.7%	0	0.3	71	0
9	Apr_17_2009	27.68	26.6	27.41	27.92	27.97	28.28	28.32(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	80	11	75	0.04	47%	0	107.2	3.76%	0	1.5	64	0
10	Apr_16_2009	27.68	26.39	27.26	27.68	27.72	27.97	28.28(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	70	12	68	0.06	47%	-0.11	107.6	3.79%	0	1.6	56	0

11	Apr_15_2009	27.71	26.18	27.01	27.38	27.46	27.67	28.06(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	60	12	55	0.22	47%	-0.11	111.1	3.79%	0	1.5	57	0
12	Apr_14_2009	27.74	25.91	26.73	26.98	27.19	27.48	27.52(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	100	9	42	0.14	45%	-0.14	98.5	3.78%	0	1.2	61	0
13	Apr_13_2009	27.78	25.65	26.42	26.98	26.82	27.26	27.42(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	110	6	25	0.04	45%	-0.07	94	3.83%	0	1.1	55	0
14	Apr_9_2009	27.8	25.39	26.25	26.83	26.63	26.9	27.14(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	50	8	36	0.17	44%	-0.07	90.1	3.81%	0	1	63	0
15	Apr_8_2009	27.82	25.15	26.22	26.79	26.62	26.38	26.76(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	15	-80	4	49	0.08	44%	-0.14	88.2	3.86%	0	0.9	62	0

16	Apr_7_2009	27.86	24.88	26.17	26.58	26.65	26.36	26.08(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-70	-2	54	0.07	44%	-0.18	78.4	3.85%	0	0.6	61	0
17	Apr_6_2009	27.91	24.64	26.1	26.42	26.45	26.86	26.74(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	110	12	71	0.35	44%	-0.14	66.3	3.84%	0	0.9	68	0
18	Apr_3_2009	27.95	24.28	26.04	25.91	26.09	26.94	27.44(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	250	24	85	0.06	44%	-0.21	52.6	3.81%	0	1.3	73	0
19	Apr_2_2009	28.01	23.91	25.71	25.59	25.42	26.04	26.92(4.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	150	12	83	0.08	44%	-0.14	42.3	3.83%	0	1.3	72	0
20	Apr_1_2009	28.05	23.59	25.44	25.6	25.22	25.23	25.7(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	-40	-0	94	0.03	41%	-0.21	37.9	3.78%	0	0.9	68	0

21	Mar_31_2009	28.11	23.4	25.28	25.6	25.58	24.81	25.28(4.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	-230	-7	118	0.05	41%	-0.32	37.1	3.8%	0	0.9	71	0
22	Mar_30_2009	28.2	23.22	25.04	25.74	25.84	25.21	24.2(-6.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-160	-26	127	0.06	39%	-0.35	31.4	3.75%	0	0.5	69	0
23	Mar_27_2009	28.3	23.1	24.86	26.16	26.11	26.35	25.86(-4.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	52	60	7	187	0.06	41%	-0.25	34.5	3.66%	0	1.3	83	0
24	Mar_26_2009	28.37	22.96	24.49	25.81	26.03	26.46	26.96(2.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	69	140	25	200	0.03	43%	-0.28	29.6	3.66%	0	1.9	81	0
25	Mar_25_2009	28.45	22.77	24.01	25.25	25.43	25.87	26.42(4.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	62	140	18	193	0.02	43%		20.8	3.66%	0	1.9	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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