Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 16, 2009

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $28.2800 (0.78%) ($27.9400 - $28.4400) on Thu. Apr. 16, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.79% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $28.2800(0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.895% (StdDev 3.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.68(2.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.26(3.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.39(7.16%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   46.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.59% (three month std-dev: 3.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 3.95%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.16%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 6.72%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.32%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 13.61%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.97%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2009	27.68	26.39	27.26	27.68	27.72	27.97	28.28(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	70	12	68	0.06	47%	-0.11	107.6	3.79%	0	1.6	56	NAN
2	Apr_15_2009	27.71	26.18	27.01	27.38	27.46	27.67	28.06(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	60	12	55	0.22	47%	-0.11	111.1	3.79%	0	1.5	57	NAN
3	Apr_14_2009	27.74	25.91	26.73	26.98	27.19	27.48	27.52(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	100	9	42	0.14	45%	-0.14	98.5	3.78%	0	1.2	61	NAN
4	Apr_13_2009	27.78	25.65	26.42	26.98	26.82	27.26	27.42(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	110	6	25	0.04	45%	-0.07	94	3.83%	0	1.1	55	NAN
5	Apr_9_2009	27.8	25.39	26.25	26.83	26.63	26.9	27.14(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	50	8	36	0.17	44%	-0.07	90.1	3.81%	0	1	63	NAN

6	Apr_8_2009	27.82	25.15	26.22	26.79	26.62	26.38	26.76(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	15	-80	4	49	0.08	44%	-0.14	88.2	3.86%	0	0.9	62	NAN
7	Apr_7_2009	27.86	24.88	26.17	26.58	26.65	26.36	26.08(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-70	-2	54	0.07	44%	-0.18	78.4	3.85%	0	0.6	61	NAN
8	Apr_6_2009	27.91	24.64	26.1	26.42	26.45	26.86	26.74(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	110	12	71	0.35	44%	-0.14	66.3	3.84%	0	0.9	68	NAN
9	Apr_3_2009	27.95	24.28	26.04	25.91	26.09	26.94	27.44(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	250	24	85	0.06	44%	-0.21	52.6	3.81%	0	1.3	73	NAN
10	Apr_2_2009	28.01	23.91	25.71	25.59	25.42	26.04	26.92(4.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	150	12	83	0.08	44%	-0.14	42.3	3.83%	0	1.3	72	NAN

11	Apr_1_2009	28.05	23.59	25.44	25.6	25.22	25.23	25.7(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	-40	-0	94	0.03	41%	-0.21	37.9	3.78%	0	0.9	68	NAN
12	Mar_31_2009	28.11	23.4	25.28	25.6	25.58	24.81	25.28(4.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	-230	-7	118	0.05	41%	-0.32	37.1	3.8%	0	0.9	71	NAN
13	Mar_30_2009	28.2	23.22	25.04	25.74	25.84	25.21	24.2(-6.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-160	-26	127	0.06	39%	-0.35	31.4	3.75%	0	0.5	69	NAN
14	Mar_27_2009	28.3	23.1	24.86	26.16	26.11	26.35	25.86(-4.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	52	60	7	187	0.06	41%	-0.25	34.5	3.66%	0	1.3	83	NAN
15	Mar_26_2009	28.37	22.96	24.49	25.81	26.03	26.46	26.96(2.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	69	140	25	200	0.03	43%	-0.28	29.6	3.66%	0	1.9	81	NAN

16	Mar_25_2009	28.45	22.77	24.01	25.25	25.43	25.87	26.42(4.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	62	140	18	193	0.02	43%	-0.35	20.8	3.66%	0	1.9	76	NAN
17	Mar_24_2009	28.55	22.61	23.48	24.76	25.03	25.6	25.26(-3.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	63	190	25	175	0.04	41%	-0.28	10.7	3.64%	0	1.5	63	NAN
18	Mar_23_2009	28.63	22.56	23.06	24.23	24.5	25	26.28(8.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	65	180	34	157	0.07	42%	-0.24	0.4	3.61%	0	2.3	68	NAN
19	Mar_20_2009	28.7	22.37	22.36	23.39	23.63	24.47	24.12(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	280	22	106	0.07	37%	-0.31	-27.5	3.4%	0	1.2	61	NAN
20	Mar_19_2009	28.79	22.36	21.95	22.97	23.11	23.99	24.18(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	280	33	67	0.05	37%	-0.24	-43.4	3.43%	0	1.2	51	NAN

21	Mar_18_2009	28.86	22.39	21.57	22.59	22.48	22.79	23.98(6.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	80	27	24	0.06	37%	-0.24	-55.5	3.43%	0	1	49	NAN
22	Mar_17_2009	28.93	22.43	21.34	22.02	22.03	22.22	22.6(2.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	60	11	-22	0.04	32%	-0.21	-67.9	3.33%	0	0.1	43	NAN
23	Mar_16_2009	28.99	22.55	21.23	21.7	21.82	22.17	22.06(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	130	25	-54	0.04	37%	-0.28	-80.4	3.3%	0	-0.3	36	NAN
24	Mar_13_2009	29.07	22.79	21.18	21.14	21.43	21.84	22.04(-0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	180	23	-88	0.1	37%	-0.38	-79.3	3.39%	0	-0.4	45	NAN
25	Mar_12_2009	29.18	23.06	21.3	20.75	20.73	21.47	22.26(5.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	250	20	-111	0.09	37%		-75.4	3.41%	0	-0.4	41	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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