Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 2, 2009

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $26.9200 (4.75%) ($26.4200 - $27.2800) on Thu. Apr. 2, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.83% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $26.9200(4.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    EEM(75%)    SPY(75%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.915% (StdDev 3.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.59(5.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.71(4.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.91(12.59%)
To recent high   -20.5%
To recent low   39.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 9.79% (three month std-dev: 3.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.08%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 17.71%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 17.06%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090502

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_2_2009	28.01	23.91	25.71	25.59	25.42	26.04	26.92(4.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	150	12	83	0.08	44%	-0.14	42.3	3.83%	0	1.3	72	0
2	Apr_1_2009	28.05	23.59	25.44	25.6	25.22	25.23	25.7(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	-40	-0	94	0.03	41%	-0.21	37.9	3.78%	0	0.9	68	0
3	Mar_31_2009	28.11	23.4	25.28	25.6	25.58	24.81	25.28(4.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	-230	-7	118	0.05	41%	-0.32	37.1	3.8%	0	0.9	71	0
4	Mar_30_2009	28.2	23.22	25.04	25.74	25.84	25.21	24.2(-6.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-160	-26	127	0.06	39%	-0.35	31.4	3.75%	0	0.5	69	0
5	Mar_27_2009	28.3	23.1	24.86	26.16	26.11	26.35	25.86(-4.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	52	60	7	187	0.06	41%	-0.25	34.5	3.66%	0	1.3	83	0

6	Mar_26_2009	28.37	22.96	24.49	25.81	26.03	26.46	26.96(2.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	69	140	25	200	0.03	43%	-0.28	29.6	3.66%	0	1.9	81	0
7	Mar_25_2009	28.45	22.77	24.01	25.25	25.43	25.87	26.42(4.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	62	140	18	193	0.02	43%	-0.35	20.8	3.66%	0	1.9	76	0
8	Mar_24_2009	28.55	22.61	23.48	24.76	25.03	25.6	25.26(-3.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	63	190	25	175	0.04	41%	-0.28	10.7	3.64%	0	1.5	63	0
9	Mar_23_2009	28.63	22.56	23.06	24.23	24.5	25	26.28(8.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	65	180	34	157	0.07	42%	-0.24	0.4	3.61%	0	2.3	68	0
10	Mar_20_2009	28.7	22.37	22.36	23.39	23.63	24.47	24.12(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	280	22	106	0.07	37%	-0.31	-27.5	3.4%	0	1.2	61	0

11	Mar_19_2009	28.79	22.36	21.95	22.97	23.11	23.99	24.18(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	280	33	67	0.05	37%	-0.24	-43.4	3.43%	0	1.2	51	0
12	Mar_18_2009	28.86	22.39	21.57	22.59	22.48	22.79	23.98(6.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	80	27	24	0.06	37%	-0.24	-55.5	3.43%	0	1	49	0
13	Mar_17_2009	28.93	22.43	21.34	22.02	22.03	22.22	22.6(2.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	60	11	-22	0.04	32%	-0.21	-67.9	3.33%	0	0.1	43	0
14	Mar_16_2009	28.99	22.55	21.23	21.7	21.82	22.17	22.06(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	130	25	-54	0.04	37%	-0.28	-80.4	3.3%	0	-0.3	36	0
15	Mar_13_2009	29.07	22.79	21.18	21.14	21.43	21.84	22.04(-0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	180	23	-88	0.1	37%	-0.38	-79.3	3.39%	0	-0.4	45	0

16	Mar_12_2009	29.18	23.06	21.3	20.75	20.73	21.47	22.26(5.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	250	20	-111	0.09	37%	-0.31	-75.4	3.41%	0	-0.4	41	0
17	Mar_11_2009	29.27	23.33	21.41	20.4	20.39	21.02	21.14(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-27	210	11	-142	0.04	33%	-0.44	-71.7	3.34%	0	-0.9	33	0
18	Mar_10_2009	29.4	23.65	21.66	20.59	20.28	20	21.02(9.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-40	-140	-3	-152	0.19	33%	-0.51	-68.7	3.33%	0	-1	33	0
19	Mar_9_2009	29.55	24.04	22	20.71	20.61	19.77	19.26(-3.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-69	-300	-34	-174	0.03	25%	-0.54	-61.1	3.13%	0	-1.7	20	0
20	Mar_6_2009	29.71	24.52	22.41	21.22	21.29	20.55	20.06(-2.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-75	-230	-39	-182	0.1	27%	-0.54	-57.4	3.16%	0	-1.7	18	0

21	Mar_5_2009	29.87	24.91	22.85	21.91	21.8	21.45	20.54(-6.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-68	-130	-33	-174	0.03	27%	-0.43	-54.8	3.18%	0	-1.7	18	0
22	Mar_4_2009	30	25.26	23.32	22.55	22.44	22.04	22.06(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-54	-140	-16	-166	0.08	29%	-0.53	-56.4	3.07%	0	-1.4	20	0
23	Mar_3_2009	30.16	25.57	23.63	22.89	22.93	22.14	21.62(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-68	-240	-32	-175	0.05	29%	-0.53	-54.5	3.08%	0	-1.7	19	0
24	Mar_2_2009	30.32	25.86	24.01	23.49	23.38	22.85	21.8(-7.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-63	-170	-26	-174	0.04	35%	-0.36	-54.5	3.08%	0	-1.9	17	0
25	Feb_27_2009	30.43	26.15	24.56	23.77	23.85	23.71	23.52(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-30	-9	-157	0.03	34%		-57.2	3.23%	0	-1.4	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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