Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 19, 2009

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $24.1800 (0.83%) ($24.1500 - $24.9800) on Thu. Mar. 19, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.43% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $24.1800(0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.715% (StdDev 3.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.97(5.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.95(10.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.36(8.14%)
To recent high   -28.6%
To recent low   25.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 6.93% (three month std-dev: 3.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.08%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.83%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.11%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.75%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090419

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_19_2009	28.79	22.36	21.95	22.97	23.11	23.99	24.18(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	280	33	67	0.05	37%	-0.24	-43.4	3.43%	0	1.2	51	0
2	Mar_18_2009	28.86	22.39	21.57	22.59	22.48	22.79	23.98(6.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	80	27	24	0.06	37%	-0.24	-55.5	3.43%	0	1	49	0
3	Mar_17_2009	28.93	22.43	21.34	22.02	22.03	22.22	22.6(2.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	60	11	-22	0.04	32%	-0.21	-67.9	3.33%	0	0.1	43	0
4	Mar_16_2009	28.99	22.55	21.23	21.7	21.82	22.17	22.06(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	130	25	-54	0.04	37%	-0.28	-80.4	3.3%	0	-0.3	36	0
5	Mar_13_2009	29.07	22.79	21.18	21.14	21.43	21.84	22.04(-0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	180	23	-88	0.1	37%	-0.38	-79.3	3.39%	0	-0.4	45	0

6	Mar_12_2009	29.18	23.06	21.3	20.75	20.73	21.47	22.26(5.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	250	20	-111	0.09	37%	-0.31	-75.4	3.41%	0	-0.4	41	0
7	Mar_11_2009	29.27	23.33	21.41	20.4	20.39	21.02	21.14(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-27	210	11	-142	0.04	33%	-0.44	-71.7	3.34%	0	-0.9	33	0
8	Mar_10_2009	29.4	23.65	21.66	20.59	20.28	20	21.02(9.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-40	-140	-3	-152	0.19	33%	-0.51	-68.7	3.33%	0	-1	33	0
9	Mar_9_2009	29.55	24.04	22	20.71	20.61	19.77	19.26(-3.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-69	-300	-34	-174	0.03	25%	-0.54	-61.1	3.13%	0	-1.7	20	0
10	Mar_6_2009	29.71	24.52	22.41	21.22	21.29	20.55	20.06(-2.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-75	-230	-39	-182	0.1	27%	-0.54	-57.4	3.16%	0	-1.7	18	0

11	Mar_5_2009	29.87	24.91	22.85	21.91	21.8	21.45	20.54(-6.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-68	-130	-33	-174	0.03	27%	-0.43	-54.8	3.18%	0	-1.7	18	0
12	Mar_4_2009	30	25.26	23.32	22.55	22.44	22.04	22.06(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-54	-140	-16	-166	0.08	29%	-0.53	-56.4	3.07%	0	-1.4	20	0
13	Mar_3_2009	30.16	25.57	23.63	22.89	22.93	22.14	21.62(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-68	-240	-32	-175	0.05	29%	-0.53	-54.5	3.08%	0	-1.7	19	0
14	Mar_2_2009	30.32	25.86	24.01	23.49	23.38	22.85	21.8(-7.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-63	-170	-26	-174	0.04	35%	-0.36	-54.5	3.08%	0	-1.9	17	0
15	Feb_27_2009	30.43	26.15	24.56	23.77	23.85	23.71	23.52(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-30	-9	-157	0.03	34%	-0.36	-57.2	3.23%	0	-1.4	25	0

16	Feb_26_2009	30.54	26.37	24.97	23.93	23.98	23.92	23.74(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-10	-9	-151	0.03	34%	-0.39	-57.3	3.25%	0	-1.5	33	0
17	Feb_25_2009	30.66	26.65	25.38	24.21	24.07	23.99	23.78(-3.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-40	-12	-138	0.17	34%	-0.42	-51.6	3.26%	0	-1.6	36	0
18	Feb_24_2009	30.79	26.87	25.77	24.5	24.46	24.05	24.62(6.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	-120	-8	-131	0.04	41%	-0.48	-50	3.24%	0	-1.3	35	0
19	Feb_23_2009	30.94	27.05	26.21	24.64	24.73	24.15	23.18(-4.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-58	-150	-35	-125	0.05	36%	-0.58	-55.4	3.26%	0	-2.4	34	0
20	Feb_20_2009	31.12	27.27	26.77	25.48	25.15	24.88	24.32(-3.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-44	-110	-30	-86	0.09	36%	-0.54	-57.9	3.27%	0	-2.3	37	0

21	Feb_19_2009	31.29	27.44	27.13	26.17	25.94	25.31	25.14(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	-200	-19	-57	0.03	34%	-0.6	-60.2	3.31%	0	-2.1	38	0
22	Feb_18_2009	31.48	27.6	27.37	26.74	26.43	25.42	25.24(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-39	-300	-34	-55	0.03	34%	-0.6	-64.5	3.37%	0	-2.4	32	0
23	Feb_17_2009	31.67	27.74	27.68	27.24	27.14	26.56	25.32(-7.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-36	-160	-35	-38	0.02	34%	-1.03	-82.9	3.37%	0	-3	41	0
24	Feb_13_2009	32	27.96	27.68	28.01	27.8	27.44	27.4(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-110	-13	-6	0.05	41%	-0.65	-79.5	3.3%	0	-0.8	49	0
25	Feb_12_2009	32.21	28.05	27.89	28.26	28.2	27.71	27.76(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-130	-8	4	0.1	39%		-93.4	3.52%	0	-0.4	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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