Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 4, 2009

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $27.2800 (-3.19%) ($27.0600 - $28.1600) on Wed. Feb. 4, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.7% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $27.2800(-3.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)    GLD(9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.85% (StdDev 3.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14.85(-45.56%)
Resistance Level   $29.04
5 Day Moving Average   $27.52(-0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.74(-1.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.04(-6.06%)
To recent high   -24.5%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 6.96% (three month std-dev: 3.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.72%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.91%(50%) Average negative next three day return: 0%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 12.19%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_4_2009	33.31	29.04	27.74	27.52	27.48	27.63	27.28(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	30	-5	-39	0.68	43%	-0.54	-62.5	3.7%	0	-0.9	41	NAN
2	Feb_3_2009	33.49	29.32	27.84	27.93	27.62	27.31	28.18(4.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-110	-3	-37	0.14	43%	-0.53	-52.4	3.87%	0	-0.5	38	NAN
3	Feb_2_2009	33.67	29.54	27.78	27.9	27.99	27.34	27.04(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-150	-13	-61	0.09	41%	-0.62	-50.1	3.83%	0	-1.1	29	NAN
4	Jan_30_2009	33.88	29.84	28.03	28.07	28.26	27.93	27.32(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-60	-9	-66	0.08	43%	-0.59	-44.9	3.84%	0	-1.1	28	NAN
5	Jan_29_2009	34.08	30.11	28.23	28.05	28.29	28.64	27.79(-5.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-17	110	5	-82	0.09	43%	-0.55	-43.6	3.88%	0	-1	25	NAN

6	Jan_28_2009	34.27	30.36	28.38	27.96	27.96	28.59	29.3(4.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	160	16	-99	0.1	48%	-0.52	-44.4	3.84%	0	-0.5	32	NAN
7	Jan_27_2009	34.45	30.49	28.49	27.75	27.48	27.93	28.06(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	90	10	-117	0.01	44%	-0.58	-48	3.9%	0	-1.1	26	NAN
8	Jan_26_2009	34.65	30.7	28.81	27.66	27.44	27.32	27.9(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-50	-3	-129	0.01	44%	-0.57	-53	3.95%	0	-1.3	27	NAN
9	Jan_23_2009	34.85	30.89	29.2	28.02	27.51	27.03	27.22(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-47	-180	-19	-129	0.07	42%	-0.6	-56.4	4.04%	0	-1.7	21	NAN
10	Jan_22_2009	35.06	31.12	29.85	28.44	28.23	27.56	27.34(-3.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-40	-190	-16	-113	0.04	40%	-0.62	-60.9	4.06%	0	-1.9	24	NAN

11	Jan_21_2009	35.28	31.4	30.43	28.84	28.71	27.98	28.22(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-190	-22	-102	0.18	38%	-0.62	-62.6	4.15%	0	-1.8	27	NAN
12	Jan_20_2009	35.5	31.63	30.92	29.35	29.11	28.89	27.62(-7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-39	-80	-23	-86	0.14	40%	-0.64	-60.2	4.2%	0	-2.5	30	NAN
13	Jan_16_2009	35.73	31.94	31.46	30.11	29.73	29.45	29.7(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-100	-10	-63	0.04	44%	-0.58	-54.5	4.13%	0	-1.7	36	NAN
14	Jan_15_2009	35.94	32.16	31.8	30.58	30.25	29.32	29.34(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1	-34	-250	-28	-53	0.09	41%	-0.55	-39.3	4.16%	0	-2.3	40	NAN
15	Jan_14_2009	36.14	32.4	32.17	31.49	31.06	30.02	29.34(-4.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-30	-280	-31	-26	0.02	41%	-0.55	-7.6	4.33%	0	-2.8	41	NAN

16	Jan_13_2009	36.34	32.56	32.54	32.25	32.09	31.17	30.74(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-18	-220	-22	-4	0.07	47%	-0.49	20.8	4.29%	0	-2	41	NAN
17	Jan_12_2009	36.52	32.64	32.68	32.72	32.74	32.09	31.44(-1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-10	-140	-15	6	0.03	47%	-0.49	55.4	4.7%	0	-1.5	43	NAN
18	Jan_9_2009	36.7	32.66	32.78	32.98	33.09	33.01	32.06(-5.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	-10	-7	11	0.06	45%	-0.46	84.5	4.73%	0	-0.8	41	NAN
19	Jan_8_2009	36.87	32.65	32.74	33.18	33.13	33.39	33.88(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	50	6	12	0.06	46%	-0.43	100.4	4.7%	0	1.5	45	NAN
20	Jan_7_2009	37.03	32.49	32.49	32.96	32.96	33.16	33.14(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	40	5	-3	0.12	45%	-0.46	100.8	4.71%	0	0.8	41	NAN

21	Jan_6_2009	37.2	32.37	32.42	32.89	32.82	32.88	33.06(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	10	5	-3	0.32	43%	-0.45	100	4.75%	0	0.8	57	NAN
22	Jan_5_2009	37.37	32.19	32.37	32.65	32.65	32.88	32.76(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	20	2	-7	0.1	43%	-0.48	78.2	4.81%	0	0.6	56	NAN
23	Jan_2_2009	37.55	32.01	32.42	32.55	32.55	32.76	33.08(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	50	8	-1	0.14	42%	-0.82	51.1	4.81%	0	0.9	61	NAN
24	Dec_31_2008	37.86	31.86	32.5	32.23	32.36	32.54	32.78(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	50	8	1	0.23	42%	-0.53	33	4.85%	0	0.7	59	NAN
25	Dec_30_2008	38.06	31.72	32.61	31.95	31.97	32.34	32.77(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	80	3	5	0.06	42%		23.4	4.85%	0	0.7	65	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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