Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 23, 2009

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $27.2200 (-0.44%) ($26.2200 - $27.4400) on Fri. Jan. 23, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.04% (three month average)
RSI   21
Latest Price   $27.2200(-0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -8.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    EEM(76%)    SPY(76%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -2.02% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.02% (StdDev 4.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $15.61(-42.65%)
Resistance Level   $30.89
5 Day Moving Average   $28.02(-2.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.2(-6.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.89(-11.88%)
To recent high   -24.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 6.99% (three month std-dev: 4.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 3.07%(75%) Average negative next day return: -1.61%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 6.4%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -7.77%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 9.27%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.75%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_23_2009	34.85	30.89	29.2	28.02	27.51	27.03	27.22(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-47	-180	-19	-129	0.07	42%	-0.6	-56.4	4.04%	0	-1.7	21	0
2	Jan_22_2009	35.06	31.12	29.85	28.44	28.23	27.56	27.34(-3.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-40	-190	-16	-113	0.04	40%	-0.62	-60.9	4.06%	0	-1.9	24	0
3	Jan_21_2009	35.28	31.4	30.43	28.84	28.71	27.98	28.22(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-190	-22	-102	0.18	38%	-0.62	-62.6	4.15%	0	-1.8	27	0
4	Jan_20_2009	35.5	31.63	30.92	29.35	29.11	28.89	27.62(-7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-39	-80	-23	-86	0.14	40%	-0.64	-60.2	4.2%	0	-2.5	30	0
5	Jan_16_2009	35.73	31.94	31.46	30.11	29.73	29.45	29.7(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-100	-10	-63	0.04	44%	-0.58	-54.5	4.13%	0	-1.7	36	0

6	Jan_15_2009	35.94	32.16	31.8	30.58	30.25	29.32	29.34(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1	-34	-250	-28	-53	0.09	41%	-0.55	-39.3	4.16%	0	-2.3	40	0
7	Jan_14_2009	36.14	32.4	32.17	31.49	31.06	30.02	29.34(-4.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-30	-280	-31	-26	0.02	41%	-0.55	-7.6	4.33%	0	-2.8	41	0
8	Jan_13_2009	36.34	32.56	32.54	32.25	32.09	31.17	30.74(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-18	-220	-22	-4	0.07	47%	-0.49	20.8	4.29%	0	-2	41	0
9	Jan_12_2009	36.52	32.64	32.68	32.72	32.74	32.09	31.44(-1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-10	-140	-15	6	0.03	47%	-0.49	55.4	4.7%	0	-1.5	43	0
10	Jan_9_2009	36.7	32.66	32.78	32.98	33.09	33.01	32.06(-5.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	-10	-7	11	0.06	45%	-0.46	84.5	4.73%	0	-0.8	41	0

11	Jan_8_2009	36.87	32.65	32.74	33.18	33.13	33.39	33.88(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	50	6	12	0.06	46%	-0.43	100.4	4.7%	0	1.5	45	0
12	Jan_7_2009	37.03	32.49	32.49	32.96	32.96	33.16	33.14(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	40	5	-3	0.12	45%	-0.46	100.8	4.71%	0	0.8	41	0
13	Jan_6_2009	37.2	32.37	32.42	32.89	32.82	32.88	33.06(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	10	5	-3	0.32	43%	-0.45	100	4.75%	0	0.8	57	0
14	Jan_5_2009	37.37	32.19	32.37	32.65	32.65	32.88	32.76(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	20	2	-7	0.1	43%	-0.48	78.2	4.81%	0	0.6	56	0
15	Jan_2_2009	37.55	32.01	32.42	32.55	32.55	32.76	33.08(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	50	8	-1	0.14	42%	-0.82	51.1	4.81%	0	0.9	61	0

16	Dec_31_2008	37.86	31.86	32.5	32.23	32.36	32.54	32.78(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	50	8	1	0.23	42%	-0.53	33	4.85%	0	0.7	59	0
17	Dec_30_2008	38.06	31.72	32.61	31.95	31.97	32.34	32.77(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	80	3	5	0.06	42%	-0.5	23.4	4.85%	0	0.7	65	0
18	Dec_29_2008	38.25	31.5	32.54	31.89	31.8	32.19	31.88(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	4	80	3	8	0.1	40%	-0.55	17.9	4.85%	0	0.2	61	0
19	Dec_26_2008	38.46	31.46	32.57	32.05	31.9	31.61	32.22(2.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-80	-2	19	0.07	40%	-0.9	30.7	5.01%	0	0.5	71	0
20	Dec_24_2008	38.81	31.42	32.53	32.3	32.08	31.42	31.48(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-7	-160	-18	28	0.02	40%	-0.54	43	4.98%	0	0	70	0

21	Dec_23_2008	39.02	31.41	32.57	32.83	32.75	32.19	31.38(-3.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-130	-15	49	0.03	40%	-0.54	54.2	4.97%	0	-0	61	0
22	Dec_22_2008	39.23	31.39	32.52	33.36	33.24	32.75	32.5(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-110	-5	69	0.02	40%	-0.48	66	4.96%	0	0.7	67	0
23	Dec_19_2008	39.42	31.22	32.36	33.27	33.33	33.32	32.68(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	0	-1	80	0.11	42%	-0.5	56.5	4.96%	0	0.9	75	0
24	Dec_18_2008	39.62	30.98	32.04	33.14	33.09	33.74	33.46(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	130	12	76	0.04	43%	-0.48	36.1	5.07%	0	1.4	59	0
25	Dec_17_2008	39.81	30.76	31.59	32.77	32.51	33.35	34.12(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	160	18	62	0.07	42%		28.4	5.09%	0	2	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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