Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 12, 2008

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $32.0200 (1.33%) ($30.8200 - $32.0800) on Fri. Dec. 12, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.07% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $32.0200(1.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -2.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.535% (StdDev 5.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.31(2.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.34(5.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.33(5.57%)
To recent high   -33.2%
To recent low   15.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.96% (three month std-dev: 5.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_12_2008	40.4	30.33	30.34	31.31	31.34	31.59	32.02(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	60	9	18	0.06	40%	-0.54	-18.9	5.07%	0	1.4	63	0
2	Dec_11_2008	40.62	30.36	30.22	30.76	31.02	31.6	31.6(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	160	17	21	0.06	40%	-0.54	-26.5	5.07%	0	0.9	66	0
3	Dec_10_2008	40.84	30.29	30.19	30.22	30.25	31.1	31.7(3.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	200	15	17	0.08	40%	-0.54	-52.7	5.07%	0	1.1	59	0
4	Dec_9_2008	41.06	30.28	30.1	29.86	29.67	30.44	30.58(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	160	14	10	0.09	40%	-0.56	-75.2	5.04%	0	0.2	50	0
5	Dec_8_2008	41.29	30.41	30.13	29.73	29.33	29.4	30.66(4.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-20	12	8	0.08	40%	-0.53	-67.1	5.05%	0	0.2	51	0

6	Dec_5_2008	41.51	30.56	29.97	29.24	29.19	28.9	29.24(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-70	-9	-19	0.2	40%	-0.57	-65.4	5.01%	0	-0.8	44	0
7	Dec_4_2008	41.75	30.71	29.85	29.6	29.24	29.25	28.92(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-30	-12	-32	0.18	39%	-0.55	-60.7	5%	0	-1.1	38	0
8	Dec_3_2008	41.98	30.98	29.9	30.14	29.65	29.49	29.9(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-90	-3	-21	0.72	39%	-0.5	-41.2	5.01%	0	-0.6	51	0
9	Dec_2_2008	42.19	31.27	29.98	30.39	30.1	29.23	29.94(6.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-230	-11	-22	0.03	39%	-0.52	-20.9	5.01%	0	-0.6	47	0
10	Dec_1_2008	42.41	31.43	30.04	30.6	30.55	29.82	28.18(-9.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-20	-170	-16	-31	0.03	38%	-0.56	-8.4	4.94%	0	-1.6	38	0

11	Nov_28_2008	42.65	31.68	30.36	30.77	30.93	30.97	31.04(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	20	9	-28	0.01	40%	-0.77	0.3	4.82%	0	-0.3	42	0
12	Nov_26_2008	42.98	31.76	30.54	30.1	30.38	31.29	31.66(1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	240	15	-38	0.06	40%	-0.49	-8.3	4.8%	0	-0.1	49	0
13	Nov_25_2008	43.19	31.74	30.4	29.61	29.74	30.89	31.12(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	280	18	-62	0.06	40%	-0.51	-15.2	4.79%	0	-0.3	42	0
14	Nov_24_2008	43.41	31.72	30.44	29.55	29.36	29.46	31(6.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	0	10	-82	0.1	40%	-0.28	-22.4	4.79%	0	-0.3	38	0
15	Nov_21_2008	43.53	31.61	30.66	29.48	29.41	28.59	29.02(4.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-200	-17	-95	0.08	38%	-0.57	-38.4	4.7%	0	-1.2	43	0

16	Nov_20_2008	43.78	31.68	31.14	29.92	30.02	29.26	27.72(-5.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-46	-170	-31	-90	0.27	38%	-0.59	-43.6	4.65%	0	-2	40	0
17	Nov_19_2008	44.04	31.92	31.64	31.02	30.82	30.22	29.2(-5.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-25	-160	-12	-62	0.04	39%	-0.56	-39.3	4.62%	0	-1.5	44	0
18	Nov_18_2008	44.29	32.04	32.17	31.24	31.27	30.77	30.82(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-110	-10	-45	0.05	40%	-0.52	-43.2	4.59%	0	-0.7	52	0
19	Nov_17_2008	44.52	32.19	32.69	31.43	31.31	31.41	30.64(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	10	-14	-24	0.05	40%	-0.51	-45.3	4.58%	0	-0.8	54	0
20	Nov_14_2008	44.75	32.43	32.95	32.03	31.62	31.78	31.24(-5.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-0	-5	10	0.12	39%	-0.51	-41	4.58%	0	-0.6	61	0

21	Nov_13_2008	44.98	32.58	33.14	32.57	32.17	31.2	33.2(9.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	7	-250	-3	35	0.18	40%	-0.49	-29.4	4.53%	0	0.3	60	0
22	Nov_12_2008	45.2	32.65	33.09	32.4	32.58	31.46	30.32(-4.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-22	-220	-36	22	0.04	37%	-0.59	-29.8	4.36%	0	-1.2	48	0
23	Nov_11_2008	45.47	32.82	33.23	33.24	33.26	33.14	31.76(-5.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-20	-23	49	0.08	38%	-0.55	-21	4.33%	0	-0.5	54	0
24	Nov_10_2008	45.72	33.07	33.14	34.12	33.97	33.71	33.64(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-70	3	70	0.11	39%	-0.5	-7.5	4.29%	0	0.3	50	0
25	Nov_7_2008	45.95	33.23	32.65	34	34.28	33.37	33.92(4.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-160	-7	35	0.09	39%		-10.7	4.29%	0	0.3	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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