Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 27, 2008

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $28.4000 (-4.95%) ($28.4000 - $29.3800) on Mon. Oct. 27, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.79% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $28.4000(-4.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -4.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -6.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(92%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-7%)    LQD(12%)    GLD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.895% (StdDev 3.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $11.17(-60.67%)
Resistance Level   $35.43
5 Day Moving Average   $31.1(-8.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.96(-13.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.43(-19.84%)
To recent high   -46.4%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 11.8% (three month std-dev: 3.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.59%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.04%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 12.39%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081127

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_27_2008	48.26	35.43	32.96	31.1	30.63	29.33	28.4(-4.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-71	-340	-55	-118	0.08	32%	-0.68	-79.7	3.79%	0	-1.7	37	NAN
2	Oct_24_2008	48.59	36.13	33.88	32.58	32	30.89	29.88(-7.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-49	-300	-38	-80	0.02	33%	-0.65	-71.8	3.76%	0	-1.4	36	NAN
3	Oct_23_2008	48.91	36.98	34.2	33.44	33.34	31.93	32.18(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-310	-29	-90	0.07	34%	-0.61	-64.8	3.68%	0	-1	35	NAN
4	Oct_22_2008	49.21	37.73	34.4	33.98	33.91	33.1	31.2(-7.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-54	-170	-35	-109	0.05	34%	-0.61	-58.1	3.65%	0	-1.3	33	NAN
5	Oct_21_2008	49.51	38.48	34.84	34.45	34.45	34.76	33.82(-5.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	60	-12	-123	0.14	37%	-0.58	-53.6	3.54%	0	-0.9	33	NAN

6	Oct_20_2008	49.8	39.11	35.09	35.11	34.67	34.72	35.8(4.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-30	-3	-133	0.1	38%	-0.54	-48.5	3.5%	0	-0.7	36	NAN
7	Oct_17_2008	50.07	39.65	35.3	35.43	35.34	34.14	34.22(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-250	-6	-146	0.14	37%	-0.58	-44.4	3.44%	0	-1	34	NAN
8	Oct_16_2008	50.36	40.33	35.93	35.08	35.92	34.61	34.88(4.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-62	-180	-21	-183	0.18	37%	-0.55	-47.1	3.44%	0	-1.1	29	NAN
9	Oct_15_2008	50.64	40.82	36.51	34.89	35.47	36.55	33.52(-9.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-65	260	-16	-211	0.16	35%	-0.59	-52	3.4%	0	-1.5	25	NAN
10	Oct_14_2008	50.94	41.33	37.46	35.24	35.51	37.22	37.12(-0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	360	52	-199	0.06	38%	-0.27	-56.4	3.21%	0	-0.9	32	NAN

11	Oct_13_2008	51.08	41.73	38.01	35.08	34.96	34.39	37.42(15.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-57	-120	3	-235	0.05	38%	-0.53	-59.7	3.21%	0	-0.9	32	NAN
12	Oct_10_2008	51.35	42.14	38.46	35.27	35.28	33.81	32.46(-4.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-154	-290	-88	-352	0.21	28%	-0.62	-61.1	2.54%	0	-2.1	12	NAN
13	Oct_9_2008	51.67	42.91	39.93	36.96	36.79	35.54	33.92(-3.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-130	-250	-72	-303	0.07	29%	-0.58	-59.3	2.52%	0	-2.2	13	NAN
14	Oct_8_2008	51.97	43.58	41.31	38.38	38.34	36.75	35.28(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-120	-290	-76	-253	0.06	30%	-0.54	-59.3	2.49%	0	-2.3	31	NAN
15	Oct_7_2008	52.25	44.19	42.45	39.99	39.82	38.04	36.34(-5.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-109	-330	-80	-196	0.18	31%	-0.53	-60.7	2.48%	0	-2.5	38	NAN

16	Oct_6_2008	52.53	44.73	43.51	41.34	41.15	39.92	38.34(-6.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-86	-220	-65	-149	0.31	33%	-0.51	-64.8	2.41%	0	-2.4	37	NAN
17	Oct_3_2008	52.8	45.21	44.41	42.12	42.31	41.61	40.92(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-66	-100	-49	-116	0.15	35%	-0.43	-73.1	2.32%	0	-2	41	NAN
18	Oct_2_2008	53.03	45.53	45.13	43.39	42.84	42.38	41(-5.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-62	-110	-56	-78	0.05	35%	-0.41	-70.7	2.32%	0	-2.3	37	NAN
19	Oct_1_2008	53.25	45.86	45.52	44.72	44.15	43.02	43.34(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-220	-34	-41	0.06	38%	-0.36	-61.1	2.23%	0	-1.4	43	NAN
20	Sep_30_2008	53.44	46.17	45.54	45.33	45.3	43.3	43.08(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-67	-310	-71	-55	0.08	38%	-0.37	-49.6	2.23%	0	-1.6	43	NAN

21	Sep_29_2008	53.64	46.5	45.77	46.03	46.26	45.29	42.26(-10.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-67	-130	-75	-42	0.11	38%	-0.39	-39.7	2.22%	0	-2.4	41	NAN
22	Sep_26_2008	53.85	46.87	46.14	46.99	47.06	47.31	47.26(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	40	-4	8	0.03	43%	-0.28	-26.5	1.8%	0	0.2	49	NAN
23	Sep_25_2008	54	46.99	46.12	47.13	47.22	47.22	47.66(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	10	29	29	0.07	42%	-0.28	-20.7	1.83%	0	0.4	52	NAN
24	Sep_24_2008	54.15	47.03	45.99	46.46	47.08	46.81	46.4(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	11	-0	17	-6	0.1	39%	-0.33	-31.4	1.81%	0	-0.4	47	NAN
25	Sep_23_2008	54.33	47.13	46	45.79	46.37	47.21	46.56(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-0	160	17	-52	0.09	39%		-43.9	1.81%	0	-0.3	40	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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