Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 16, 2008

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $51.7200 (1.25%) ($50.4600 - $51.7200) on Wed. Jul. 16, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $51.7200(1.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(92%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(17%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $46.08(-10.9%)
Resistance Level   $53.93
5 Day Moving Average   $52.06(-0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.57(-1.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.93(-4.1%)
To recent high   -19.5%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.62% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.56%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.39%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.19%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080816

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_16_2008	59.56	53.93	52.57	52.06	51.72	51.19	51.72(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-59	-90	-41	-111	0.1	24%	-0.15	-75.7	1.13%	0	-1.1	28	0
2	Jul_15_2008	59.65	54.26	52.73	52.2	52.22	51.7	51.08(-1.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-69	-70	-48	-133	0.52	21%	-0.15	-70.7	1.17%	0	-1.5	20	0
3	Jul_14_2008	59.74	54.63	53.01	52.59	52.67	52.26	51.78(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-57	-50	-33	-130	0.18	22%	-0.12	-69.1	1.16%	0	-1.3	22	0
4	Jul_11_2008	59.81	54.93	53.21	52.82	52.82	52.75	52.32(-1.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-57	-10	-29	-142	0.13	22%	-0.12	-72.7	1.16%	0	-1.2	23	0
5	Jul_10_2008	59.88	55.21	53.36	53.13	53	53.08	53.38(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-37	0	1	-152	0.1	24%	-0.1	-79.6	1.15%	0	-0.9	22	0

6	Jul_9_2008	59.94	55.45	53.53	53.17	53.21	52.89	52.42(-1.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-58	-40	-15	-185	0.09	18%	-0.12	-83.3	1.12%	0	-1.4	13	0
7	Jul_8_2008	60.01	55.79	53.92	53.35	53.51	52.92	53.06(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-76	-70	-34	-203	0.07	19%	-0.13	-85.9	1.12%	0	-1.3	12	0
8	Jul_7_2008	60.09	56.15	54.24	53.5	53.58	53.53	52.9(-1.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-83	-0	-38	-217	0.2	19%	-0.07	-84.4	1.12%	0	-1.4	13	0
9	Jul_3_2008	60.13	56.53	54.59	53.66	53.83	54.1	53.88(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-34	40	23	-203	0.17	21%	-0.1	-78.7	1.1%	0	-1	21	0
10	Jul_2_2008	60.19	56.94	54.96	53.62	53.81	53.63	53.6(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-61	-10	-8	-220	0.18	21%	-0.08	-78.2	1.1%	0	-1.3	20	0

11	Jul_1_2008	60.24	57.31	55.38	53.95	53.82	53.56	53.3(-0.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-98	-40	-55	-227	0.13	29%	-0.07	-78.7	1.11%	0	-1.5	16	0
12	Jun_30_2008	60.28	57.72	55.9	54.59	54.37	53.99	53.82(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-72	-60	-34	-187	0.05	29%	-0.03	-76.7	1.16%	0	-1.5	14	0
13	Jun_27_2008	60.3	58.13	56.36	55.11	54.92	54.08	53.68(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-95	-120	-63	-191	0.03	29%	-0.08	-74.4	1.16%	0	-1.7	11	0
14	Jun_26_2008	60.35	58.61	56.8	55.67	55.55	54.75	53.7(-2.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-111	-110	-83	-194	0.26	29%	-0.07	-73.8	1.16%	0	-2	11	0
15	Jun_25_2008	60.39	59.05	57.24	56.48	56.13	55.76	55.26(-2.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-92	-60	-59	-190	0.06	39%	-0.05	-71.6	1.11%	0	-1.6	10	0

16	Jun_24_2008	60.42	59.44	57.56	57	56.73	56.34	56.5(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-68	-60	-32	-177	0.08	47%	-0.08	-69.1	1.12%	0	-1.3	25	0
17	Jun_23_2008	60.47	59.77	57.84	57.42	57.14	56.51	56.4(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-87	-90	-55	-182	0.02	47%	-0.07	-67.8	1.14%	0	-1.5	23	0
18	Jun_20_2008	60.51	60.14	58.22	57.82	57.74	57.12	56.48(-2.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-80	-80	-48	-174	0.03	47%	-0.07	-65	1.15%	0	-1.6	22	0
19	Jun_19_2008	60.55	60.51	58.62	58.11	58.15	57.78	57.78(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-63	-40	-25	-178	0.49	42%	-0.05	-62.5	1.12%	0	-1.3	22	0
20	Jun_18_2008	60.58	60.79	59.06	58.1	58.16	58.35	57.86(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	30	-9	-154	0.04	47%	-0.05	-63.4	1.28%	0	-1.4	28	0

21	Jun_17_2008	60.61	61.06	59.38	58.2	58.15	58.53	58.56(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	40	19	-148	0.13	47%	-0.03	-62.5	1.32%	0	-1.2	28	0
22	Jun_16_2008	60.63	61.32	59.65	58.35	58.09	57.96	58.42(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-49	-30	-9	-167	0.08	47%	0	-60.1	1.32%	0	-1.4	26	0
23	Jun_13_2008	60.63	61.62	60.01	58.72	58.36	57.78	57.92(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-79	-90	-46	-178	0.02	45%	-0.03	-52.4	1.34%	0	-1.8	21	0
24	Jun_12_2008	60.65	61.91	60.52	59.24	59.08	58.22	57.76(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-94	-110	-67	-174	0.04	45%	-0.02	-47.8	1.34%	0	-2.2	20	0
25	Jun_11_2008	60.66	62.17	61.01	60.16	59.85	58.94	58.34(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-89	-120	-70	-146	0.12	51%		-40.2	1.34%	0	-2.4	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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