Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 20, 2008

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $56.4800 (-2.25%) ($56.2200 - $56.8400) on Fri. Jun. 20, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   22
Latest Price   $56.4800(-2.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(92%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(17%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $51.44(-8.92%)
Resistance Level   $60.14
5 Day Moving Average   $57.82(-2.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.22(-2.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $60.14(-6.09%)
To recent high   -12.1%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.69% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.75%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.14%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.69%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.99%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 3.26%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.47%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2008	60.51	60.14	58.22	57.82	57.74	57.12	56.48(-2.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-80	-80	-48	-174	0.03	47%	-0.07	-65	1.15%	0	-1.6	22	0
2	Jun_19_2008	60.55	60.51	58.62	58.11	58.15	57.78	57.78(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-63	-40	-25	-178	0.49	42%	-0.05	-62.5	1.12%	0	-1.3	22	0
3	Jun_18_2008	60.58	60.79	59.06	58.1	58.16	58.35	57.86(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	30	-9	-154	0.04	47%	-0.05	-63.4	1.28%	0	-1.4	28	0
4	Jun_17_2008	60.61	61.06	59.38	58.2	58.15	58.53	58.56(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	40	19	-148	0.13	47%	-0.03	-62.5	1.32%	0	-1.2	28	0
5	Jun_16_2008	60.63	61.32	59.65	58.35	58.09	57.96	58.42(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-49	-30	-9	-167	0.08	47%	0	-60.1	1.32%	0	-1.4	26	0

6	Jun_13_2008	60.63	61.62	60.01	58.72	58.36	57.78	57.92(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-79	-90	-46	-178	0.02	45%	-0.03	-52.4	1.34%	0	-1.8	21	0
7	Jun_12_2008	60.65	61.91	60.52	59.24	59.08	58.22	57.76(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-94	-110	-67	-174	0.04	45%	-0.02	-47.8	1.34%	0	-2.2	20	0
8	Jun_11_2008	60.66	62.17	61.01	60.16	59.85	58.94	58.34(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-89	-120	-70	-146	0.12	51%	-0.03	-40.2	1.34%	0	-2.4	28	0
9	Jun_10_2008	60.68	62.39	61.48	60.72	60.68	59.95	59.3(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-64	-90	-48	-113	0.18	54%	-0.02	-42.8	1.42%	0	-2.4	30	0
10	Jun_9_2008	60.69	62.59	61.88	61.14	61.14	60.75	60.3(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-52	-40	-37	-98	0.43	56%	-0.03	-43.4	1.42%	0	-2.1	31	0

11	Jun_6_2008	60.71	62.69	62.22	61.48	61.41	61.42	60.48(-3.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-37	-0	-21	-83	0.43	53%	-0.03	-44.1	1.44%	0	-2.3	30	0
12	Jun_5_2008	60.73	62.69	62.57	62	61.7	61.52	62.36(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-15	-30	-2	-55	0.16	60%	-0.02	-38.6	1.41%	0	-0.6	44	0
13	Jun_4_2008	60.74	62.81	62.65	62.02	61.98	61.41	61.14(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-40	-70	-32	-65	0.07	58%	-0.05	-39.4	1.4%	0	-2.1	43	0
14	Jun_3_2008	60.77	62.95	62.88	62.38	62.28	61.88	61.4(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-41	-50	-38	-48	0.28	58%	-0.08	-21.6	1.41%	0	-2.1	47	0
15	Jun_2_2008	60.82	63.06	63.12	62.73	62.58	62.56	62(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-19	-10	-18	-23	0.1	58%	-0.05	-4	1.41%	0	-1.7	46	0

16	May_30_2008	60.85	63.12	63.35	63.08	62.83	62.69	63.12(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-30	-5	8	0.05	61%	-0.03	12.9	1.4%	0	0	58	0
17	May_29_2008	60.87	63.11	63.38	63.24	63.02	62.61	62.42(-0.89%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-16	-60	-25	13	0.17	56%	-0.05	23.7	1.41%	0	-1.2	52	0
18	May_28_2008	60.9	63.13	63.43	63.38	63.42	62.98	62.98(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-10	-50	-20	21	0.07	56%	-0.03	30.4	1.44%	0	-0.3	56	0
19	May_27_2008	60.92	63.11	63.38	63.45	63.56	63.44	63.12(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-10	-10	-19	16	0.04	56%	-0.11	29.5	1.44%	0	0	45	0
20	May_23_2008	60.99	63.08	63.36	63.57	63.56	63.86	63.74(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	30	4	27	0.03	59%	-0.05	28.7	1.45%	0	1.1	51	0

21	May_22_2008	61.02	63.05	63.2	63.68	63.63	63.69	63.94(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	0	13	29	0.04	59%	-0.03	37	1.46%	0	1.5	55	0
22	May_21_2008	61.04	62.97	63.05	63.57	63.6	63.4	63.14(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-20	-2	16	0.12	59%	0.03	38.4	1.45%	0	0.3	52	0
23	May_20_2008	61.02	62.95	62.98	63.47	63.52	63.57	63.32(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	10	-1	13	0.11	59%	-0.03	31.4	1.46%	0	0.7	56	0
24	May_19_2008	61.04	62.93	63.02	63.27	63.38	63.81	63.72(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	50	23	23	0.05	59%	-0.07	34.5	1.46%	0	1.4	59	0
25	May_16_2008	61.08	62.91	62.98	63.1	63	63.47	64.28(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	32	50	34	26	0.07	59%		47	1.46%	0	2.6	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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