Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 6, 2008

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $63.8200 (0.6%) ($63.0600 - $63.9000) on Tue. May. 6, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $63.8200(0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(92%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.17(1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.95(1.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.63(1.9%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.09% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.17%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.5%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.78%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080606

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_6_2008	61.31	62.63	62.95	63.17	63.16	63.53	63.82(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	40	17	18	0.73	63%	-0.07	55	1.5%	0	1.8	57	0
2	May_5_2008	61.35	62.53	62.85	62.91	62.97	63.29	63.44(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	40	25	22	1.5	56%	-0.1	59.4	1.5%	0	1.4	67	0
3	May_2_2008	61.41	62.46	62.84	62.91	62.7	62.8	63.04(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	10	6	20	0.19	56%	-0.13	75.8	1.61%	0	0.9	65	0
4	May_1_2008	61.49	62.39	62.82	62.74	62.63	62.65	62.98(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-0	1	27	0.32	56%	-0.15	100	1.62%	0	0.9	65	0
5	Apr_30_2008	61.58	62.32	62.73	62.66	62.73	62.6	62.56(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-10	0	23	0.03	56%	-0.15	116	1.61%	0	0.4	53	0

6	Apr_29_2008	61.67	62.25	62.77	62.68	62.67	62.62	62.52(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10	-10	24	0.02	56%	-0.16	121.7	1.61%	0	0.4	52	0
7	Apr_28_2008	61.77	62.16	62.67	62.78	62.68	62.87	62.58(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	20	-0	29	0.02	59%	-0.15	108.2	1.61%	0	0.4	54	0
8	Apr_25_2008	61.86	62	62.55	62.95	62.76	62.73	63.08(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10	7	33	0.07	57%	-0.15	97.6	1.65%	0	0.9	57	0
9	Apr_24_2008	61.95	61.77	62.37	62.91	62.83	62.49	62.56(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-0	-40	-8	23	0.08	59%	-0.15	94.4	1.67%	0	0.5	58	0
10	Apr_23_2008	62.04	61.56	62.34	62.81	62.89	62.78	62.68(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-10	-11	23	0.08	56%	-0.13	92.9	1.68%	0	0.7	60	0

11	Apr_22_2008	62.12	61.36	62.29	62.86	62.79	63.17	63.02(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	40	13	40	0.38	53%	-0.13	87.3	1.71%	0	1	65	0
12	Apr_21_2008	62.2	61.11	62.19	62.52	62.65	63.01	63.42(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	50	33	45	0.08	53%	-0.13	75.6	1.75%	0	1.2	72	0
13	Apr_18_2008	62.28	60.79	62.05	62.09	62.18	62.41	62.85(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	21	30	15	40	0.14	53%	-0.13	69.1	1.76%	0	1.1	77	0
14	Apr_17_2008	62.36	60.44	61.92	61.77	61.82	62.3	62.1(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	60	11	47	0.17	51%	-0.16	49.9	1.76%	0	0.8	78	0
15	Apr_16_2008	62.46	60.14	61.86	61.8	61.69	61.96	62.9(2.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	34	30	22	70	0.14	51%	-0.1	40.9	1.77%	0	1.2	84	0

16	Apr_15_2008	62.52	59.92	61.68	61.67	61.58	61.34	61.32(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-30	-9	70	0.12	47%	-0.13	40.1	1.75%	0	0.7	79	0
17	Apr_14_2008	62.6	59.72	61.61	61.82	61.79	61.42	61.3(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-40	-17	86	0.15	48%	-0.14	42.2	1.78%	0	0.7	80	0
18	Apr_11_2008	62.69	59.55	61.42	61.98	61.94	61.83	61.22(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10	-13	107	0.14	48%	-0.02	45.4	1.79%	0	0.8	84	0
19	Apr_10_2008	62.7	59.43	61.15	62.06	62.09	62.17	62.24(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	10	8	135	0.1	48%	-0.11	47.8	1.79%	0	1.3	96	0
20	Apr_9_2008	62.77	59.24	60.76	61.92	61.95	62.05	62.28(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	10	10	147	0.43	48%	-0.11	46.5	1.79%	0	1.5	94	0

21	Apr_8_2008	62.84	59.07	60.37	61.69	61.66	62.01	62.04(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	40	14	143	0.13	48%	-0.11	47.7	1.79%	0	1.6	64	0
22	Apr_7_2008	62.91	58.81	59.97	61.38	61.4	61.86	62.12(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	64	50	35	149	0.36	48%	-0.13	38.3	1.8%	0	1.8	69	0
23	Apr_4_2008	62.99	58.57	59.43	60.78	60.86	61.31	61.62(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	60	34	126	2.07	46%	-0.13	26.7	1.8%	0	1.8	64	0
24	Apr_3_2008	63.07	58.42	58.84	60.08	60.19	60.94	61.52(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	90	37	89	0.13	46%	-0.13	10.1	1.82%	0	2.1	58	0
25	Apr_2_2008	63.15	58.31	58.27	59.43	59.56	60.4	61.14(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	48	110	45	57	0.08	46%		-7.6	1.82%	0	2.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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