Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 18, 2008

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $62.8500 (1.21%) ($62.5200 - $62.9400) on Fri. Apr. 18, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.76% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $62.8500(1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(92%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.88% (StdDev 1.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $62.09(1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.05(1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $60.79(3.39%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   12.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.01% (three month std-dev: 1.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.48%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.27%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.47%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.43%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.25%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080518

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_18_2008	62.28	60.79	62.05	62.09	62.18	62.41	62.85(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	21	30	15	40	0.14	53%	-0.13	69.1	1.76%	0	1.1	77	0
2	Apr_17_2008	62.36	60.44	61.92	61.77	61.82	62.3	62.1(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	60	11	47	0.17	51%	-0.16	49.9	1.76%	0	0.8	78	0
3	Apr_16_2008	62.46	60.14	61.86	61.8	61.69	61.96	62.9(2.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	34	30	22	70	0.14	51%	-0.1	40.9	1.77%	0	1.2	84	0
4	Apr_15_2008	62.52	59.92	61.68	61.67	61.58	61.34	61.32(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-30	-9	70	0.12	47%	-0.13	40.1	1.75%	0	0.7	79	0
5	Apr_14_2008	62.6	59.72	61.61	61.82	61.79	61.42	61.3(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-40	-17	86	0.15	48%	-0.14	42.2	1.78%	0	0.7	80	0

6	Apr_11_2008	62.69	59.55	61.42	61.98	61.94	61.83	61.22(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10	-13	107	0.14	48%	-0.02	45.4	1.79%	0	0.8	84	0
7	Apr_10_2008	62.7	59.43	61.15	62.06	62.09	62.17	62.24(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	10	8	135	0.1	48%	-0.11	47.8	1.79%	0	1.3	96	0
8	Apr_9_2008	62.77	59.24	60.76	61.92	61.95	62.05	62.28(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	10	10	147	0.43	48%	-0.11	46.5	1.79%	0	1.5	94	0
9	Apr_8_2008	62.84	59.07	60.37	61.69	61.66	62.01	62.04(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	40	14	143	0.13	48%	-0.11	47.7	1.79%	0	1.6	64	0
10	Apr_7_2008	62.91	58.81	59.97	61.38	61.4	61.86	62.12(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	64	50	35	149	0.36	48%	-0.13	38.3	1.8%	0	1.8	69	0

11	Apr_4_2008	62.99	58.57	59.43	60.78	60.86	61.31	61.62(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	60	34	126	2.07	46%	-0.13	26.7	1.8%	0	1.8	64	0
12	Apr_3_2008	63.07	58.42	58.84	60.08	60.19	60.94	61.52(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	90	37	89	0.13	46%	-0.13	10.1	1.82%	0	2.1	58	0
13	Apr_2_2008	63.15	58.31	58.27	59.43	59.56	60.4	61.14(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	48	110	45	57	0.08	46%	-0.16	-7.6	1.82%	0	2.1	57	0
14	Apr_1_2008	63.25	58.18	57.99	58.87	59.05	59.45	60.52(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	37	60	38	34	0.11	46%	-0.11	-29	1.81%	0	1.9	53	0
15	Mar_31_2008	63.32	58.12	57.64	58.37	58.57	58.72	59.1(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	30	16	12	1.16	43%	-0.16	-42	1.8%	0	0.8	59	0

16	Mar_28_2008	63.42	58.13	57.49	57.88	58.28	58.65	58.14(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	70	25	1	3.38	45%	-0.19	-50.2	1.8%	0	0	52	0
17	Mar_27_2008	63.54	58.27	57.55	57.39	57.75	58.41	58.24(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	26	100	38	-10	0.13	45%	-0.19	-46.4	1.82%	0	-0	47	0
18	Mar_26_2008	63.66	58.41	57.58	56.9	56.87	57.9	58.34(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	11	130	26	-36	0.03	45%	-0.22	-45.4	1.82%	0	-0	44	0
19	Mar_25_2008	63.8	58.53	57.65	56.98	56.55	57.08	58.02(2.36%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	19	40	35	-29	0.03	45%	-0.2	-37.5	1.82%	0	-0.3	48	0
20	Mar_24_2008	63.93	58.61	57.54	56.83	56.68	55.85	56.68(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-110	-12	-69	0.01	42%	-0.34	-38	1.8%	0	-1.2	40	0

21	Mar_20_2008	64.15	58.73	57.65	57.06	56.82	56.02	55.66(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-74	-110	-67	-95	0.05	38%	-0.26	-36.3	1.78%	0	-2	37	0
22	Mar_19_2008	64.32	58.9	57.99	57.72	57.58	57.5	55.78(-5.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-32	-20	-21	-66	0.13	38%	-0.25	-30.1	1.84%	0	-2.3	34	0
23	Mar_18_2008	64.48	59.11	57.99	58.32	57.96	57.63	58.76(2.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-17	-60	-5	-53	0.15	41%	-0.22	-16.4	1.74%	0	-0.3	39	0
24	Mar_17_2008	64.62	59.14	58.41	58.42	58.11	57.66	57.26(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-37	-70	-26	-71	0.11	37%	-0.23	-4.5	1.71%	0	-1.6	35	0
25	Mar_14_2008	64.77	59.24	58.67	58.35	58.61	58.29	57.86(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-20	-4	-65	0.22	36%		2.2	1.72%	0	-1.3	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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