Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 14, 2008

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $57.8600 (-1.87%) ($57.2400 - $59.1600) on Fri. Mar. 14, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $57.8600(-1.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(92%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

Resistance Level   $59.24
5 Day Moving Average   $58.35(-0.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.67(-1.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.24(-2.33%)
To recent high   -16.2%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080414

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_14_2008	64.77	59.24	58.67	58.35	58.61	58.29	57.86(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-20	-4	-65	0.22	36%	-0.18	2.2	1.72%	0	-1.3	44	NAN
2	Mar_13_2008	64.89	59.29	58.84	58.32	58.4	58.57	58.96(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-23	20	-9	-65	0.11	37%	-0.18	4.5	1.73%	0	-0.3	51	NAN
3	Mar_12_2008	65.01	59.32	59.05	58.31	58.33	58.93	58.74(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-0	70	14	-44	0.2	39%	-0.17	10.2	1.73%	0	-0.6	52	NAN
4	Mar_11_2008	65.12	59.3	59.3	58.54	58.43	58.24	59.3(4.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	-30	13	-28	0.14	37%	-0.17	17.2	1.75%	0	0	49	NAN
5	Mar_10_2008	65.23	59.2	59.45	58.45	58.65	57.72	56.9(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-45	-100	-44	-48	0.1	33%	-0.2	-1	1.67%	0	-1.9	41	NAN

6	Mar_7_2008	65.36	59.21	59.75	59.03	58.95	58.62	57.7(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-39	-40	-44	-25	0.83	33%	-0.2	-3	1.68%	0	-1.3	47	NAN
7	Mar_6_2008	65.49	59.24	59.75	59.42	59.39	59.57	58.92(-1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	20	-4	5	0.03	34%	-0.18	-4	1.66%	0	-0.3	53	NAN
8	Mar_5_2008	65.61	59.21	59.91	59.88	59.56	59.29	59.88(1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-4	-50	-10	14	0.5	34%	-0.17	-2.5	1.66%	0	0.6	53	NAN
9	Mar_4_2008	65.72	59.11	59.88	60.19	59.9	59.21	58.84(-1.61%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-23	-100	-38	22	0.48	32%	-0.2	-4.4	1.64%	0	-0.2	56	NAN
10	Mar_3_2008	65.85	59.21	59.95	60.61	60.49	59.84	59.8(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-80	-26	56	0.17	32%	-0.18	6	1.64%	0	0.5	67	NAN

11	Feb_29_2008	65.97	59.25	59.88	60.58	60.67	60.6	59.64(-2.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-0	-11	77	0.07	32%	-0.18	12.1	1.62%	0	0.3	68	NAN
12	Feb_28_2008	66.09	59.29	59.8	60.44	60.5	61.15	61.22(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	80	34	96	0.14	37%	-0.15	11.7	1.6%	0	1.4	65	NAN
13	Feb_27_2008	66.19	59.24	59.61	59.93	59.93	60.74	61.44(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	56	90	44	90	1.52	38%	-0.17	7.6	1.63%	0	1.7	67	NAN
14	Feb_26_2008	66.3	59.17	59.28	59.56	59.44	59.85	60.96(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	46	40	35	77	0.24	37%	-0.15	1.4	1.64%	0	1.4	66	NAN
15	Feb_25_2008	66.4	59.13	58.88	59.24	59.1	59.12	59.66(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-0	3	32	0.06	34%	-0.18	-10.6	1.63%	0	0.4	43	NAN

16	Feb_22_2008	66.52	59.09	58.6	59.09	59.21	59.04	58.9(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1	-10	0	3	0.26	37%	-0.18	-26.4	1.65%	0	-0.2	39	NAN
17	Feb_21_2008	66.64	59.13	58.51	59.05	59.21	59.09	58.7(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-0	-12	-19	0.05	36%	-0.18	-39.5	1.66%	0	-0.3	38	NAN
18	Feb_20_2008	66.76	59.14	58.45	59.2	59.16	59.38	59.56(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	20	9	-19	0.45	38%	-0.16	-56.2	1.66%	0	0.3	44	NAN
19	Feb_19_2008	66.87	59.15	58.28	58.94	59.21	59.23	59.38(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	20	24	-35	0.13	36%	-0.22	-83.9	1.69%	0	0.2	43	NAN
20	Feb_15_2008	67.02	59.27	58.39	58.46	58.85	58.95	58.92(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	30	10	-55	0.07	38%	-0.16	-94.5	1.72%	0	-0.3	40	NAN

21	Feb_14_2008	67.13	59.41	58.55	58.02	58.36	59.2	58.7(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	120	26	-53	0.4	38%	-0.18	-105.9	1.72%	0	-0.5	51	NAN
22	Feb_13_2008	67.25	59.63	58.74	57.89	57.79	58.75	59.46(2.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	24	110	47	-45	0.11	41%	-0.15	-100.3	1.72%	0	-0.1	48	NAN
23	Feb_12_2008	67.35	59.85	58.81	57.6	57.44	57.53	58.22(2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	0	20	-56	1.82	39%	-0.16	-92.7	1.75%	0	-0.8	50	NAN
24	Feb_11_2008	67.46	60.22	59.02	57.55	57.5	56.82	57.02(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-90	-40	-82	0.13	37%	-0.18	-79	1.72%	0	-1.4	38	NAN
25	Feb_8_2008	67.58	60.61	59.39	58.32	58.03	57.35	56.68(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-63	-100	-59	-73	0.22	36%		-69.4	1.74%	0	-1.6	31	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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