Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 13, 2007

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $67.3800 (0.66%) ($67.2300 - $67.7000) on Thu. Sep. 13, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $67.3800(0.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $66.48(1.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.8(0.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.33(1.58%)
To recent high   -6.8%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2007	69.46	66.33	66.8	66.48	66.62	67.06	67.38(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	24	50	32	0	0.04	48%	-0.07	11.4	1.34%	0	0.9	54	0
2	Sep_12_2007	69.51	66.15	66.78	66.34	66.19	66.55	66.94(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	11	30	16	-5	0.01	46%	-0.06	-10.1	1.36%	0	0.6	53	0
3	Sep_11_2007	69.55	66.07	66.64	66.27	66.16	66.19	66.64(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-0	5	-6	0.05	46%	-0.07	-21.7	1.37%	0	0.4	60	0
4	Sep_10_2007	69.6	66.03	66.69	66.55	66.23	65.83	65.78(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-20	-60	-28	5	0.05	46%	-0.09	-21.8	1.36%	0	-0.2	56	0
5	Sep_7_2007	69.66	66.05	66.89	66.92	66.64	66.13	65.66(-1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-18	-70	-35	35	0.18	46%	-0.07	-15.2	1.37%	0	-0.3	56	0

6	Sep_6_2007	69.71	66.19	66.98	67.14	67.18	66.64	66.7(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-50	-21	67	0.15	46%	-0.07	-5.1	1.39%	0	0.4	65	0
7	Sep_5_2007	69.76	66.29	66.95	67.27	67.17	67.16	66.58(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10	-16	90	0.08	46%	-0.07	1.3	1.4%	0	0.2	63	0
8	Sep_4_2007	69.81	66.35	66.76	67.02	67.22	67.72	68.04(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	60	32	99	0.15	48%	-0.04	-0.4	1.38%	0	1.1	60	0
9	Aug_31_2007	69.84	66.31	66.44	66.85	66.81	67.18	67.64(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	40	19	83	0.02	48%	-0.04	-3.4	1.37%	0	0.9	56	0
10	Aug_30_2007	69.87	66.25	66.14	66.9	66.68	66.72	66.72(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10	8	74	0.01	46%	-0.03	-2.2	1.35%	0	0.3	51	0

11	Aug_29_2007	69.89	66.25	65.83	66.82	66.88	66.43	67.36(3.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-40	-0	37	0.03	46%	-0.04	-3.8	1.35%	0	0.7	43	0
12	Aug_28_2007	69.92	66.27	65.83	66.6	66.78	66.63	65.36(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10	-22	-12	0.02	43%	-0.04	-12.8	1.29%	0	-0.6	35	0
13	Aug_27_2007	69.95	66.27	65.47	66.41	66.77	67.33	67.16(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	30	70	44	-12	0.03	45%	-0.04	-23.5	1.26%	0	0.5	44	0
14	Aug_24_2007	69.98	66.36	65.3	65.93	66.09	66.93	67.88(2.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	36	100	60	-37	0.03	44%	-0.01	-42.7	1.26%	0	1	49	0
15	Aug_23_2007	69.99	66.28	65.1	65.29	65.43	66.2	66.34(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	32	90	64	-66	0.03	41%	-0.04	-68.1	1.24%	0	0	49	0

16	Aug_22_2007	70.02	66.33	65.29	64.71	64.94	65.26	66.26(2.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	20	50	55	-85	0.08	41%	-0.03	-84.7	1.24%	0	-0	45	0
17	Aug_21_2007	70.04	66.47	65.51	64.2	64.22	64.65	64.42(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	50	-1	-127	0.14	37%	-0.06	-93.6	1.18%	0	-1.2	36	0
18	Aug_20_2007	70.08	66.72	65.87	64.38	64.13	64.62	64.74(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	40	22	-106	0.02	37%	-0.04	-89.2	1.18%	0	-1	39	0
19	Aug_17_2007	70.11	67.03	66.15	64.59	64.43	63.8	64.7(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-80	-12	-111	0.04	37%	-0.03	-84.2	1.19%	0	-1.1	38	0
20	Aug_16_2007	70.13	67.34	66.35	64.9	64.85	63.64	63.44(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-116	-130	-108	-141	0.09	34%	-0.06	-78.7	1.16%	0	-1.8	39	0

21	Aug_15_2007	70.17	67.76	66.76	65.96	65.58	65.06	63.7(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-94	-70	-95	-92	0.06	34%	-0.04	-68.8	1.16%	0	-1.9	36	0
22	Aug_14_2007	70.2	68.17	67.18	67.01	66.55	66.06	65.3(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-70	-35	-37	0.07	37%	-0.03	-57.8	1.13%	0	-1.4	33	0
23	Aug_13_2007	70.22	68.48	67.4	67.58	67.24	66.1	65.8(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-55	-130	-60	-39	0.33	37%	-0.03	-48.8	1.13%	0	-1.3	33	0
24	Aug_10_2007	70.24	68.79	67.58	67.93	67.61	67.03	66.26(-3.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-64	-70	-68	-53	0.12	37%	-0.01	-44.2	1.15%	0	-1.3	30	0
25	Aug_9_2007	70.25	69.07	67.63	67.98	67.93	68.37	68.74(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	40	24	-49	0.02	41%		-42.4	1.09%	0	-0.2	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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