Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 10, 2007

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $69.7400 (1.45%) ($69.4000 - $69.7800) on Tue. Apr. 10, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $69.7400(1.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $68.98(1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.23(2.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.94(4.18%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.76% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.76%(64%) Average negative next day return: -0.97%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 0.92%(73%) Average negative next three day return: -2.15%(27%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.46%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.69%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070510

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_10_2007	66.55	66.94	68.23	68.98	69.04	69.25	69.74(1.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	46	20	28	101	0.05	57%	0.08	60.5	1.1%	0	1.5	81	0
2	Apr_9_2007	66.5	66.69	67.99	68.68	68.79	68.97	68.74(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	20	19	103	0.08	56%	0.08	64.4	1.1%	0	1.2	80	0
3	Apr_5_2007	66.45	66.5	67.86	68.44	68.58	68.82	69.16(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	30	30	124	0.06	53%	0.06	65	1.09%	0	1.6	86	0
4	Apr_4_2007	66.41	66.28	67.63	68.08	68.2	68.61	68.72(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	57	50	32	132	0.02	53%	0.05	62.8	1.1%	0	1.5	86	0
5	Apr_3_2007	66.38	66.05	67.45	67.67	67.87	68.34	68.52(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	70	60	45	145	0.1	53%	0.06	52.9	1.1%	0	1.6	86	0

6	Apr_2_2007	66.34	65.84	67.13	67.38	67.41	67.79	68.24(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	57	40	29	142	0.09	53%	0.06	46.6	1.1%	0	1.5	87	0
7	Mar_30_2007	66.3	65.58	66.82	67.22	67.13	67.41	67.56(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	30	20	135	0.09	53%	0.05	30.1	1.1%	0	1.3	67	0
8	Mar_29_2007	66.27	65.4	66.51	67.2	67.05	67.04	67.38(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10	12	129	0.16	53%	0.05	20.6	1.11%	0	1.4	66	0
9	Mar_28_2007	66.24	65.27	66.19	67.1	67.04	66.85	66.66(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-20	-13	112	0.04	53%	0.03	9.8	1.1%	0	1	62	0
10	Mar_27_2007	66.22	65.22	65.92	67.19	67.09	67.05	67.06(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	-10	6	123	0	55%	0.05	6	1.1%	0	1.4	70	0

11	Mar_26_2007	66.19	65.12	65.57	66.82	66.94	67.22	67.42(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	30	31	110	0.02	55%	0.06	-11.5	1.11%	0	1.6	70	0
12	Mar_23_2007	66.15	65.13	65.3	66.35	66.4	67.13	67.46(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	68	80	53	113	0.06	55%	0.08	-20.9	1.11%	0	1.6	77	0
13	Mar_22_2007	66.1	65.11	65.02	65.72	65.83	66.67	66.92(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	84	90	79	100	0.02	53%	0.06	-34.8	1.12%	0	1.2	64	0
14	Mar_21_2007	66.06	65.14	64.8	65.13	65.14	65.68	67.08(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	66	60	65	69	0.06	53%	0.06	-45.9	1.13%	0	1.3	59	0
15	Mar_20_2007	66.02	65.15	64.49	64.48	64.5	64.99	65.24(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	50	40	17	0.03	45%	0.05	-54.9	1.07%	0	0.1	44	0

16	Mar_19_2007	65.99	65.28	64.4	64.13	64.09	64.6	65.04(1.15%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	23	50	33	-8	0.02	47%	0.03	-56	1.13%	0	-0.1	49	0
17	Mar_16_2007	65.97	65.43	64.21	64.1	63.87	64.01	64.3(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	0	12	-57	0.02	45%	0.03	-48.7	1.12%	0	-0.6	32	0
18	Mar_15_2007	65.95	65.63	64.2	64.22	64.02	63.57	64(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-60	-20	-91	0.02	44%	0.03	-43.6	1.13%	0	-0.9	35	0
19	Mar_14_2007	65.93	65.84	64.28	64.42	64.28	63.74	63.84(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-62	-70	-44	-115	0.07	44%	0.03	-38.7	1.13%	0	-1.1	34	0
20	Mar_13_2007	65.91	66.03	64.49	64.5	64.67	64.46	63.46(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-10	-22	-117	0.02	44%	0.02	-37.9	1.13%	0	-1.4	33	0

21	Mar_12_2007	65.9	66.2	64.66	64.69	64.7	64.83	64.92(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	10	13	-123	0.03	47%	0.06	-38.3	1.09%	0	-0.7	35	0
22	Mar_9_2007	65.86	66.31	64.96	64.31	64.56	64.87	64.9(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	50	29	-137	0.01	48%	0.03	-46.3	1.09%	0	-0.8	34	0
23	Mar_8_2007	65.84	66.44	65.22	64.17	64.17	64.57	64.96(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-24	40	19	-153	0.02	48%	0.06	-48.4	1.1%	0	-0.9	35	0
24	Mar_7_2007	65.8	66.58	65.48	64.15	64.06	64.24	64.24(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-36	20	8	-166	0.01	47%	0.05	-48.8	1.09%	0	-1.4	31	0
25	Mar_6_2007	65.77	66.74	65.83	64.51	64.19	63.77	64.42(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-57	-60	-21	-163	0.04	46%		-44.1	1.09%	0	-1.5	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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