Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 22, 2007

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $66.9200 (-0.24%) ($66.7600 - $67.2600) on Thu. Mar. 22, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $66.9200(-0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $65.72(1.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $65.02(2.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.11(2.78%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.24% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.62%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.59%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.39%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070422

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_22_2007	66.1	65.11	65.02	65.72	65.83	66.67	66.92(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	84	90	79	100	0.02	53%	0.06	-34.8	1.12%	0	1.2	64	NAN
2	Mar_21_2007	66.06	65.14	64.8	65.13	65.14	65.68	67.08(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	66	60	65	69	0.06	53%	0.06	-45.9	1.13%	0	1.3	59	NAN
3	Mar_20_2007	66.02	65.15	64.49	64.48	64.5	64.99	65.24(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	50	40	17	0.03	45%	0.05	-54.9	1.07%	0	0.1	44	NAN
4	Mar_19_2007	65.99	65.28	64.4	64.13	64.09	64.6	65.04(1.15%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	23	50	33	-8	0.02	47%	0.03	-56	1.13%	0	-0.1	49	NAN
5	Mar_16_2007	65.97	65.43	64.21	64.1	63.87	64.01	64.3(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	0	12	-57	0.02	45%	0.03	-48.7	1.12%	0	-0.6	32	NAN

6	Mar_15_2007	65.95	65.63	64.2	64.22	64.02	63.57	64(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-60	-20	-91	0.02	44%	0.03	-43.6	1.13%	0	-0.9	35	NAN
7	Mar_14_2007	65.93	65.84	64.28	64.42	64.28	63.74	63.84(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-62	-70	-44	-115	0.07	44%	0.03	-38.7	1.13%	0	-1.1	34	NAN
8	Mar_13_2007	65.91	66.03	64.49	64.5	64.67	64.46	63.46(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-10	-22	-117	0.02	44%	0.02	-37.9	1.13%	0	-1.4	33	NAN
9	Mar_12_2007	65.9	66.2	64.66	64.69	64.7	64.83	64.92(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	10	13	-123	0.03	47%	0.06	-38.3	1.09%	0	-0.7	35	NAN
10	Mar_9_2007	65.86	66.31	64.96	64.31	64.56	64.87	64.9(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	50	29	-137	0.01	48%	0.03	-46.3	1.09%	0	-0.8	34	NAN

11	Mar_8_2007	65.84	66.44	65.22	64.17	64.17	64.57	64.96(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-24	40	19	-153	0.02	48%	0.06	-48.4	1.1%	0	-0.9	35	NAN
12	Mar_7_2007	65.8	66.58	65.48	64.15	64.06	64.24	64.24(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-36	20	8	-166	0.01	47%	0.05	-48.8	1.09%	0	-1.4	31	NAN
13	Mar_6_2007	65.77	66.74	65.83	64.51	64.19	63.77	64.42(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-57	-60	-21	-163	0.04	46%	0.05	-44.1	1.09%	0	-1.5	38	NAN
14	Mar_5_2007	65.74	66.88	66.2	64.65	64.63	63.87	63.02(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-108	-80	-84	-179	0.1	43%	0.02	-43	1.05%	0	-2.6	36	NAN
15	Mar_2_2007	65.73	67.12	66.76	65.72	65.26	64.6	64.2(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-96	-90	-87	-124	0.21	46%	0.03	-27.7	1.02%	0	-2.5	39	NAN

16	Mar_1_2007	65.71	67.28	67.19	66.41	66.21	65.38	64.86(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-69	-100	-66	-76	0.03	48%	0.05	-11.6	1.03%	0	-2.5	39	NAN
17	Feb_28_2007	65.68	67.41	67.57	67.01	66.97	65.93	66.06(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-73	-110	-80	-50	0.04	53%	0.06	5.8	0.99%	0	-1.7	42	NAN
18	Feb_27_2007	65.64	67.45	67.73	67.34	67.41	67.05	65.12(-4.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-69	-30	-81	-31	0.12	49%	0.06	16.7	0.98%	0	-3	42	NAN
19	Feb_26_2007	65.6	67.53	67.93	67.96	67.83	68.02	68.34(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	10	17	45	0.02	58%	0.11	50	0.79%	0	1.3	62	NAN
20	Feb_23_2007	65.53	67.45	67.8	67.98	67.77	67.77	67.66(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10	-2	37	0.05	56%	0.09	52.2	0.78%	0	0.3	54	NAN

21	Feb_22_2007	65.47	67.39	67.78	68.11	67.91	67.64	67.86(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-40	-19	42	0.1	58%	0.11	60	0.78%	0	0.7	58	NAN
22	Feb_21_2007	65.4	67.36	67.76	68.23	68.06	67.78	67.74(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-9	-40	-29	51	0.02	58%	0.11	77.7	0.79%	0	0.6	56	NAN
23	Feb_20_2007	65.33	67.32	67.71	68.17	68.22	68.18	68.18(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	-0	7	70	0.23	58%	0.18	79.8	0.78%	0	1.4	65	NAN
24	Feb_16_2007	65.21	67.23	67.59	67.88	68.05	68.34	68.48(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	40	31	69	0.01	58%	0.11	69.6	0.77%	0	2	70	NAN
25	Feb_15_2007	65.14	67.13	67.47	67.58	67.67	68.26	68.3(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	55	70	51	66	0.02	58%		65.2	0.78%	0	1.9	66	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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