Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 13, 2006

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $64.8800 (-0.22%) ($64.7800 - $65.1400) on Mon. Nov. 13, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.64% (three month average)
RSI   90
Latest Price   $64.8800(-0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(12%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.32% (StdDev 0.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $64.67(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.11(1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63.15(2.74%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   10.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 0.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.71%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.8%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0.91%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -2.37%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.32%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.99%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_13_2006	60.28	63.15	64.11	64.67	64.72	65	64.88(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	69	30	31	183	0.02	82%	0.15	62.6	0.64%	0	1.5	90	0
2	Nov_10_2006	60.19	63	63.88	64.53	64.61	64.76	65.02(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	85	20	51	187	0.01	82%	0.15	63.5	0.66%	0	1.9	88	0
3	Nov_9_2006	60.1	62.84	63.63	64.22	64.34	64.44	64.34(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	56	20	20	162	0.02	81%	0.13	66.7	0.65%	0	1.6	85	0
4	Nov_8_2006	60.02	62.74	63.46	64.02	64.08	64.46	64.6(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	74	40	43	166	0.04	81%	0.15	67.6	0.65%	0	2	86	0
5	Nov_7_2006	59.93	62.6	63.23	63.74	63.8	64.25	64.52(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	95	50	70	169	0.06	81%	0.17	67.4	0.65%	0	2.4	89	0

6	Nov_6_2006	59.83	62.45	62.96	63.46	63.5	63.7	64.16(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	77	20	54	145	0.02	81%	0.13	70.5	0.65%	0	2.4	84	0
7	Nov_3_2006	59.75	62.32	62.73	63.14	63.28	63.34	63.46(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	10	22	110	0.16	79%	0.13	70.7	0.65%	0	1.8	73	0
8	Nov_2_2006	59.67	62.21	62.58	62.96	63.06	63.3	63.38(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	30	21	96	0.04	79%	0.15	72.2	0.65%	0	2.1	68	0
9	Nov_1_2006	59.58	62.13	62.45	62.8	62.9	63.22	63.18(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	59	40	48	92	0.01	79%	0.15	79.7	0.65%	0	2.1	59	0
10	Oct_31_2006	59.49	62.06	62.28	62.64	62.72	62.81	63.1(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	10	41	71	0.01	79%	0.13	89.2	0.65%	0	2.3	63	0

11	Oct_30_2006	59.41	61.96	62.13	62.38	62.49	62.58	62.58(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	20	12	36	0.01	77%	0.1	87	0.65%	0	1.4	62	0
12	Oct_27_2006	59.35	61.89	62.05	62.26	62.29	62.62	62.54(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	40	33	37	0.01	80%	0.1	76.7	0.67%	0	1.4	62	0
13	Oct_26_2006	59.29	61.81	62	62.15	62.05	62.39	62.6(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	30	44	44	0.03	80%	0.1	77.5	0.67%	0	1.8	68	0
14	Oct_25_2006	59.23	61.74	61.96	62.05	61.91	61.95	62.4(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	-0	29	38	0.01	80%	0.07	72	0.68%	0	1.4	56	0
15	Oct_24_2006	59.19	61.65	61.92	61.86	61.86	61.71	61.8(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-20	-8	9	0	81%	0.05	59	0.68%	0	0.3	48	0

16	Oct_23_2006	59.16	61.6	61.91	61.82	61.82	61.86	61.96(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-4	0	-9	12	0.02	81%	0.05	63	0.69%	0	0.7	59	0
17	Oct_20_2006	59.13	61.54	61.88	61.8	61.77	62.02	61.98(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	30	18	30	0.01	81%	0.05	61.4	0.69%	0	0.8	62	0
18	Oct_19_2006	59.1	61.47	61.81	61.82	61.77	61.78	62.12(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	0	17	35	0.02	84%	0.07	64.8	0.69%	0	1.2	64	0
19	Oct_18_2006	59.06	61.4	61.78	61.87	61.74	61.52	61.46(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-11	-30	-24	28	0.02	83%	0.08	67	0.75%	0	0.1	55	0
20	Oct_17_2006	59.01	61.37	61.83	61.98	61.9	61.71	61.6(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-30	-21	52	0.06	75%	0.03	61.2	0.75%	0	0.4	63	0

21	Oct_16_2006	58.99	61.29	61.8	62	61.99	61.96	61.86(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-0	-2	69	0.01	75%	0.08	53.8	0.77%	0	0.9	67	0
22	Oct_13_2006	58.94	61.21	61.72	61.96	61.89	62.08	62.06(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	20	14	76	0.01	68%	0.07	50.9	0.78%	0	1.3	65	0
23	Oct_12_2006	58.9	61.13	61.62	61.8	61.77	62.03	62.36(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	45	30	34	77	0.01	62%	0.1	45.6	0.8%	0	2	72	0
24	Oct_11_2006	58.84	61.04	61.49	61.68	61.54	61.7	62(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	10	13	64	0.08	62%	0.09	50	0.82%	0	1.7	64	0
25	Oct_10_2006	58.79	60.98	61.36	61.67	61.52	61.51	61.74(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10	11	64	0.03	62%		54.8	0.82%	0	1.5	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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