Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 22, 2006

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $56.1800 (-0.78%) ($55.9200 - $56.3600) on Thu. Jun. 22, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $56.1800(-0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    XOP(2%)    REMX(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $56.64
5 Day Moving Average   $55.85(0.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.56(1.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.64(-0.81%)
To recent high   -7.7%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.47% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060722

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_22_2006	56.39	56.64		55.85	55.88	56.23	56.18(-0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	50	16	-80	0.02	47%	0.05	-25.1	1.16%	0	-0.3	32	NAN
2	Jun_21_2006	56.36	56.68	55.56	55.82	55.75	55.95	56.62(1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	20	34	-94	0.02	47%	0.04	-27.9	1.16%	0	-0	39	NAN
3	Jun_20_2006	56.34	56.69	55.62	55.4	55.64	55.95	55.6(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	0	17	-132	0.02	44%	0.05	-44.5	1.14%	0	-0.8	37	NAN
4	Jun_19_2006	56.31	56.77	55.83	55.08	55.39	55.54	55.26(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-41	40	-4	-152	0.02	44%	0.02	-58	1.14%	0	-1.1	43	NAN
5	Jun_16_2006	56.3	56.9	56.14	55.14	55.15	55.74	55.58(-0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	80	17	-136	0.04	44%	0.04	-66.1	1.13%	0	-1	41	NAN

6	Jun_15_2006	56.28	57	56.5	55.23	55.23	55.25	56.06(2.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	0	25	-115	0.09	44%	0.05	-77.4	1.13%	0	-0.7	44	NAN
7	Jun_14_2006	56.25	57.07	56.74	55.3	55.37	54.55	54.52(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-80	-100	-61	-138	0.16	42%	0.02	-89.4	1.08%	0	-2	40	NAN
8	Jun_13_2006	56.24	57.31	57.12	55.88	55.79	55.21	53.98(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-98	-80	-94	-111	0.08	44%	0.02	-86.5	1.08%	0	-2.7	38	NAN
9	Jun_12_2006	56.23	57.58	57.47	56.68	56.61	56.19	55.58(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-46	-60	-44	-53	0.06	47%	0.05	-88.7	1.03%	0	-2	42	NAN
10	Jun_9_2006	56.2	57.8	57.7	57.28	57.15	56.36	56(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-64	-100	-74	-32	0.04	49%	0.05	-73.6	1.04%	0	-1.7	41	NAN

11	Jun_8_2006	56.17	58.03	57.86	57.96	57.81	57.04	56.4(-1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-60	-100	-81	4	0.08	49%	0.07	-47.6	1.03%	0	-1.5	46	NAN
12	Jun_7_2006	56.13	58.25	57.93	58.4	58.57	57.95	57.46(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-18	-70	-38	43	0.17	50%	0.07	-27.2	1.01%	0	-0.7	51	NAN
13	Jun_6_2006	56.09	58.4	57.88	58.53	58.66	58.58	57.94(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-0	-24	33	0.18	50%	0.04	-17.5	1.01%	0	-0.4	41	NAN
14	Jun_5_2006	56.07	58.5	57.82	58.36	58.65	59.18	58.62(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	80	40	32	0.44	52%	0.09	-15.3	1%	0	0.1	45	NAN
15	Jun_2_2006	56.02	58.57	57.72	58.16	58.27	58.74	59.4(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	45	60	57	7	0.05	54%	0.13	-14.8	0.99%	0	0.6	43	NAN

16	Jun_1_2006	55.95	58.56	57.5	57.77	57.87	58.12	58.6(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	12	40	35	-58	0.1	52%	0.09	-20.3	0.97%	0	0	34	NAN
17	May_31_2006	55.9	58.58	57.37	57.42	57.68	57.8	58.1(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	30	27	-113	0.02	52%	0.09	-25.8	0.99%	0	-0.3	30	NAN
18	May_30_2006	55.85	58.63	57.47	57.15	57.38	57.63	57.08(-0.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-33	40	7	-154	0.01	49%	0.11	-27.7	0.97%	0	-1.1	23	NAN
19	May_26_2006	55.79	58.71	57.66	57.19	57.22	57.56	57.64(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	40	23	-161	0.03	49%	0.09	-27.1	0.95%	0	-0.8	32	NAN
20	May_25_2006	55.74	58.78	57.87	57.21	57.18	57.13	57.42(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-33	-10	12	-166	0.01	49%	0.07	-22.9	0.96%	0	-1.1	30	NAN

21	May_24_2006	55.7	58.84	58.17	57.2	57.24	56.88	56.84(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-65	-40	-28	-175	0.03	47%	0.07	-19.9	0.96%	0	-1.6	33	NAN
22	May_23_2006	55.66	58.94	58.57	57.32	57.41	57.24	56.78(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-77	-20	-49	-161	0.05	47%	0.02	-14	0.96%	0	-1.8	38	NAN
23	May_22_2006	55.65	59.01	58.96	57.83	57.77	57.61	57.26(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-20	-25	-111	0.03	47%	0.11	2.2	0.95%	0	-1.6	39	NAN
24	May_19_2006	55.59	59.06	59.26	58.21	58.19	57.58	57.74(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-57	-70	-48	-85	0.01	47%	0.11	21.3	0.94%	0	-1.2	48	NAN
25	May_18_2006	55.53	59.07	59.51	58.65	58.62	57.93	57.38(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-83	-80	-89	-64	0.04	47%		40.9	0.95%	0	-1.5	43	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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