Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 18, 2006

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $57.3800 (-0.1%) ($57.3200 - $58.0000) on Thu. May. 18, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $57.3800(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $59.07
5 Day Moving Average   $58.65(-2.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.51(-3.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.07(-2.86%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.86% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2006	55.53	59.07	59.51	58.65	58.62	57.93	57.38(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-83	-80	-89	-64	0.04	47%	0.13	40.9	0.95%	0	-1.5	43	0
2	May_17_2006	55.46	59.09	59.74	59.3	59.27	58.8	57.44(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-55	-60	-70	-10	0.07	47%	0.11	66.7	0.95%	0	-1.5	45	0
3	May_16_2006	55.4	59.1	59.74	59.99	59.88	59.31	59.34(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-24	-70	-49	52	0.01	54%	0.07	88.2	0.86%	0	0.2	61	0
4	May_15_2006	55.36	58.99	59.92	60.26	60.26	59.75	59.16(-1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-24	-60	-59	81	0.04	54%	0.14	84.8	0.86%	0	0.1	64	0
5	May_12_2006	55.28	58.84	59.88	60.45	60.57	60.45	59.94(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10	-20	118	0.04	59%	0.14	87.3	0.86%	0	0.8	72	0

6	May_11_2006	55.2	58.63	59.77	60.48	60.56	60.78	60.64(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	56	30	23	155	0.02	61%	0.16	75.6	0.85%	0	1.3	83	0
7	May_10_2006	55.11	58.37	59.57	60.24	60.35	60.68	60.88(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	78	40	49	166	0.01	61%	0.16	62.9	0.85%	0	1.6	88	0
8	May_9_2006	55.02	58.1	59.32	59.85	59.98	60.33	60.69(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	70	50	43	151	0.01	61%	0.15	53.6	0.86%	0	1.7	87	0
9	May_8_2006	54.94	57.89	59.04	59.55	59.59	60.03	60.12(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	71	50	45	148	0.01	60%	0.16	52.6	0.85%	0	1.5	88	0
10	May_5_2006	54.85	57.68	58.82	59.22	59.35	59.63	60.08(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	74	40	48	152	0.03	61%	0.15	50.2	0.86%	0	1.7	90	0

11	May_4_2006	54.77	57.52	58.57	58.96	59.06	59.15	59.42(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	50	20	17	148	0.01	60%	0.13	53	0.86%	0	1.5	90	0
12	May_3_2006	54.7	57.4	58.36	58.8	58.88	59.08	58.94(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	30	17	163	0.02	60%	0.13	60.7	0.86%	0	1.3	90	0
13	May_2_2006	54.63	57.29	58.2	58.7	58.71	58.96	59.18(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	71	30	33	184	0.01	57%	0.15	72.3	0.87%	0	1.7	89	0
14	May_1_2006	54.55	57.14	57.97	58.45	58.5	58.68	58.5(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	63	20	26	172	0.01	55%	0.13	75	0.87%	0	1.3	69	0
15	Apr_28_2006	54.48	57	57.72	58.34	58.26	58.45	58.78(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	20	24	167	0.03	55%	0.15	73.5	0.86%	0	1.7	75	0

16	Apr_27_2006	54.4	56.86	57.4	58.1	58.07	58.32	58.62(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	58	30	31	139	0.02	55%	0.17	75.1	0.86%	0	1.8	59	0
17	Apr_26_2006	54.31	56.69	57.08	57.86	57.89	58.06	58.42(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	20	31	104	0.06	58%	0.13	64.2	0.86%	0	1.9	58	0
18	Apr_25_2006	54.24	56.5	56.8	57.64	57.65	57.82	57.92(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	20	21	71	0.06	56%	0.13	46.4	0.87%	0	1.5	57	0
19	Apr_24_2006	54.17	56.36	56.64	57.42	57.45	57.73	57.96(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	57	40	51	73	0.08	56%	0.15	33.7	0.87%	0	1.7	63	0
20	Apr_21_2006	54.09	56.25	56.45	57	56.87	57.49	57.6(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	47	70	47	46	0.04	60%	0.15	17.4	0.91%	0	1.6	64	0

21	Apr_20_2006	54.01	56.15	56.38	56.58	56.45	57.18	57.38(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	73	80	83	44	0.01	57%	0.13	-2.8	0.91%	0	1.6	58	0
22	Apr_19_2006	53.94	56.11	56.34	56.19	55.95	56.25	57.32(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	47	20	54	27	0.12	57%	0.15	-15.7	0.93%	0	1.6	64	0
23	Apr_18_2006	53.86	56.06	56.28	55.84	55.59	55.72	56.82(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	8	0	7	11	0.04	57%	0.13	-29.6	0.93%	0	1.1	67	0
24	Apr_17_2006	53.79	56.05	56.21	55.78	55.57	55.65	55.86(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-0	5	17	0.03	54%	0.09	-23.6	0.91%	0	-0.3	55	0
25	Apr_13_2006	53.74	56.11	56.22	55.83	55.67	55.47	55.54(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-16	-30	-24	7	0.02	54%		-9.2	0.91%	0	-0.8	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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