Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 3, 2006

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $53.1000 (3.79%) ($52.0600 - $53.2200) on Tue. Jan. 3, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $53.1000(3.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.69(2.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.91(2.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.78(2.55%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.2% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.64%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.31%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.47%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.23%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.19%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_3_2006	51.05	51.78	51.91	51.69	51.74	51.89	53.1(3.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.3	37	20	52	-9	0.06	59%	-0.02	52.5	0.96%	0	2.1	58	0
2	Dec_30_2005	51.06	51.64	51.81	51.34	51.4	51.36	51.16(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-0	-31	-60	0.01	52%	-0.04	36.7	0.84%	0	-0.8	52	0
3	Dec_29_2005	51.08	51.62	51.9	51.66	51.5	51.58	51.6(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	0	-6	-15	0.02	54%	0	46.1	0.84%	0	-0	57	0
4	Dec_28_2005	51.08	51.55	51.98	51.79	51.74	51.43	51.42(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-40	-11	13	0.54	54%	-0.02	42.8	0.84%	0	-0.2	59	0
5	Dec_27_2005	51.09	51.49	52.06	51.9	51.94	51.41	51.16(-0.43%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-38	-70	-56	15	0.01	54%	-0.02	43.3	0.84%	0	-0.4	52	0

6	Dec_23_2005	51.1	51.45	52.06	52.14	52.13	52.05	51.38(-2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-18	-10	-42	54	0	56%	-0.02	53.4	0.84%	0	-0.1	57	0
7	Dec_22_2005	51.11	51.42	52.15	52.33	52.36	52.47	52.72(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	49	20	26	116	0.02	63%	0	63.5	0.78%	0	1.5	76	0
8	Dec_21_2005	51.11	51.32	52	52.19	52.29	52.22	52.26(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-0	-0	104	0.01	61%	0.02	72.8	0.78%	0	1.2	70	0
9	Dec_20_2005	51.1	51.23	51.86	52.22	52.19	52.26	52(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	10	-9	116	0.01	61%	0	83.3	0.78%	0	1	74	0
10	Dec_19_2005	51.1	51.14	51.78	52.24	52.24	52.36	52.34(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	54	20	22	150	0.02	61%	0.04	90.4	0.78%	0	1.5	76	0

11	Dec_16_2005	51.08	51.01	51.64	52.17	52.14	52.13	52.34(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	-0	17	151	0.03	63%	0	90.4	0.79%	0	1.7	71	0
12	Dec_15_2005	51.08	50.88	51.45	51.94	52.03	52.11	52.02(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	20	13	131	0.01	63%	0.04	92.1	0.79%	0	1.5	64	0
13	Dec_14_2005	51.06	50.73	51.31	51.77	51.84	52.15	52.4(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	62	50	40	126	0	65%	0.02	81.3	0.79%	0	2.1	64	0
14	Dec_13_2005	51.05	50.57	51.06	51.44	51.54	51.95	52.08(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	59	60	46	96	0.01	65%	0.04	73.7	0.79%	0	2	65	0
15	Dec_12_2005	51.03	50.42	50.86	51.27	51.26	51.53	52(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	52	40	43	79	0.01	61%	0.02	70.1	0.8%	0	2.1	68	0

16	Dec_9_2005	51.02	50.29	50.68	51.05	51.08	51.13	51.22(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	10	20	62	0.01	58%	0.02	69.2	0.79%	0	1.4	67	0
17	Dec_8_2005	51.01	50.18	50.61	50.88	50.98	51	51.14(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	10	11	57	0.01	58%	0	55.1	0.79%	0	1.4	65	0
18	Dec_7_2005	51.01	50.08	50.57	50.77	50.8	51.02	50.78(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	30	16	75	0.01	58%	0	48.5	0.79%	0	1	69	0
19	Dec_6_2005	51.01	50.01	50.54	50.6	50.68	50.97	51.2(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	58	40	46	93	0.01	60%	0.02	42.5	0.78%	0	1.8	72	0
20	Dec_5_2005	51	49.91	50.43	50.38	50.42	50.58	50.9(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	20	23	79	0.01	60%	0.02	35.5	0.78%	0	1.6	71	0

21	Dec_2_2005	50.99	49.84	50.32	50.26	50.29	50.4	50.4(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	20	7	68	0	58%	0	35.3	0.78%	0	1	62	0
22	Dec_1_2005	50.99	49.8	50.27	50.3	50.31	50.25	50.56(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10	-0	83	0.02	61%	0	48.2	0.78%	0	1.3	69	0
23	Nov_30_2005	50.99	49.76	50.12	50.36	50.34	50.19	49.96(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-20	-21	73	0.01	64%	0	58.7	0.85%	0	0.4	60	0
24	Nov_29_2005	50.99	49.73	50.06	50.47	50.5	50.37	50.06(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	17	-20	-7	88	0.02	64%	0	63.3	0.85%	0	0.6	60	0
25	Nov_28_2005	50.99	49.69	49.98	50.49	50.48	50.49	50.3(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	23	0	0	91	0.01	64%		63.3	0.86%	0	1.1	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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