Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 28, 2005

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $50.3000 (-0.63%) ($50.2000 - $50.7200) on Mon. Nov. 28, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $50.3000(-0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.49(-0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.98(0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.69(1.23%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.09% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.02%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.54%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.8%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_28_2005	50.99	49.69	49.98	50.49	50.48	50.49	50.3(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	23	0	0	91	0.01	64%	0.02	63.3	0.86%	0	1.1	63	NAN
2	Nov_25_2005	50.98	49.63	49.9	50.38	50.37	50.64	50.62(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	40	24	93	0.04	60%	0.08	60.6	0.87%	0	1.8	64	NAN
3	Nov_23_2005	50.94	49.53	49.73	50.22	50.16	50.47	50.86(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	56	40	47	81	0.01	60%	0.06	60.2	0.87%	0	2.6	61	NAN
4	Nov_22_2005	50.91	49.44	49.56	49.86	49.89	50.1	50.52(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	39	30	37	43	0.01	60%	-0.02	51.8	0.86%	0	2.6	58	NAN
5	Nov_21_2005	50.92	49.39	49.42	49.59	49.61	49.85	50.14(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	23	40	25	18	0	60%	0.04	47.8	0.86%	0	2.2	61	NAN

6	Nov_18_2005	50.9	49.35	49.33	49.4	49.41	49.69	49.74(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	19	40	25	1	0.01	55%	0	27	0.86%	0	1.3	55	NAN
7	Nov_17_2005	50.9	49.31	49.3	49.34	49.32	49.36	49.82(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	19	0	24	2	0.04	55%	0.02	-1.3	0.89%	0	1.3	62	NAN
8	Nov_16_2005	50.89	49.31	49.28	49.17	49.23	49.13	49.06(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10	-9	-10	0.01	50%	0.02	-35.6	0.87%	0	-0.5	59	NAN
9	Nov_15_2005	50.88	49.31	49.36	49.2	49.21	49.28	49.2(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-2	10	-3	1	0.02	50%	0.02	-49.3	0.88%	0	-0.1	50	NAN
10	Nov_14_2005	50.87	49.23	49.37	49.22	49.2	49.33	49.18(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	20	12	5	0.02	50%	0	-61.7	0.88%	0	-0.1	45	NAN

11	Nov_11_2005	50.87	49.27	49.39	49.22	49.13	49.14	49.46(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2	-10	2	2	0.01	52%	0.02	-61.1	0.88%	0	0.4	49	NAN
12	Nov_10_2005	50.86	49.31	49.35	49.25	49.16	49.08	48.96(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-20	-16	-2	0.01	50%	0	-68.7	0.88%	0	-0.7	54	NAN
13	Nov_9_2005	50.86	49.36	49.35	49.42	49.32	49.13	49.22(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-10	-30	-18	16	0.04	50%	0	-67.6	0.88%	0	-0.3	64	NAN
14	Nov_8_2005	50.86	49.41	49.34	49.53	49.49	49.25	49.3(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-40	-17	28	0.02	50%	-0.02	-62	0.88%	0	-0.2	53	NAN
15	Nov_7_2005	50.87	49.47	49.36	49.54	49.56	49.5	49.3(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10	-12	36	0.09	50%	0	-61.3	0.89%	0	-0.3	52	NAN

16	Nov_4_2005	50.87	49.56	49.38	49.56	49.52	49.72	49.46(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	30	13	42	0.15	48%	0	-59.1	0.89%	0	-0.1	44	NAN
17	Nov_3_2005	50.87	49.65	49.32	49.46	49.43	49.62	49.8(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	31	30	34	23	0.01	50%	0.02	-64.3	0.9%	0	0.2	43	NAN
18	Nov_2_2005	50.86	49.71	49.17	49.24	49.2	49.32	49.8(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	10	13	-22	0	50%	0	-75.1	0.92%	0	0.1	48	NAN
19	Nov_1_2005	50.86	49.78	49.09	49.13	49.07	49.24	49.32(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	20	5	-50	0	48%	0.02	-78.3	0.91%	0	-0.5	41	NAN
20	Oct_31_2005	50.85	49.89	49.07	49.18	49.11	49.08	49.4(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-10	7	-66	0.02	48%	0	-73.9	0.92%	0	-0.4	38	NAN

21	Oct_28_2005	50.85	50.02	49.12	49.2	49.19	48.89	49(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-40	-14	-86	0	51%	0	-68	0.92%	0	-0.8	33	NAN
22	Oct_27_2005	50.85	50.2	49.25	49.16	49.28	49.13	48.68(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-10	-15	-102	0	51%	0	-61.5	0.92%	0	-1.1	28	NAN
23	Oct_26_2005	50.85	50.41	49.38	49.06	49.27	49.49	49.24(-0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	40	12	-115	0.01	53%	0	-60.7	0.92%	0	-0.9	33	NAN
24	Oct_25_2005	50.85	50.58	49.48	49.03	49.06	49.42	49.56(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	50	30	-125	0	53%	0.02	-60.8	0.92%	0	-0.7	34	NAN
25	Oct_24_2005	50.84	50.72	49.58	48.94	48.87	49.06	49.5(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-27	20	14	-150	0	53%		-61.6	0.92%	0	-0.9	31	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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