Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 6, 2005

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $53.2000 (0.38%) ($52.9400 - $53.2400) on Tue. Sep. 6, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.89% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $53.2000(0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.26(1.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.71(2.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.76(2.78%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.58% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.36%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.16%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.94%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051006

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_6_2005	50.1	51.76	51.71	52.26	52.46	53.01	53.2(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	71	80	61	99	0.01	64%	0.06	13.9	0.89%	0	1.8	59	0
2	Sep_2_2005	50.07	51.68	51.5	51.82	51.8	52.66	53(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	73	120	77	62	0.01	63%	0.04	1.4	0.9%	0	1.8	52	0
3	Sep_1_2005	50.05	51.6	51.29	51.35	51.33	51.92	52.66(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	60	80	77	9	0.01	63%	0.02	-15.9	0.9%	0	1.6	48	0
4	Aug_31_2005	50.04	51.55	51.07	51.1	50.98	50.94	51.88(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-3	-10	17	-61	0.01	56%	-0.02	-23.8	0.88%	0	0.5	40	0
5	Aug_30_2005	50.05	51.58	51.03	50.96	50.99	50.75	50.58(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-30	-28	-102	0.01	51%	-0.02	-19.2	0.87%	0	-1.5	34	0

6	Aug_29_2005	50.06	51.64	51.14	51.07	51.21	51.02	51(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-20	-16	-96	0.02	51%	-0.02	-6.6	0.87%	0	-1	39	0
7	Aug_26_2005	50.07	51.67	51.26	51.12	51.27	51.23	50.64(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	0	-17	-89	0.01	51%	-0.02	2.5	0.87%	0	-1.7	39	0
8	Aug_25_2005	50.08	51.67	51.46	51.2	51.37	51.4	51.38(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	10	16	-60	0	54%	0	8.9	0.85%	0	-0.6	50	0
9	Aug_24_2005	50.08	51.67	51.59	51.04	51.3	51.3	51.22(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	20	-1	-68	0	51%	0	6.9	0.85%	0	-0.8	44	0
10	Aug_23_2005	50.08	51.71	51.71	51.11	51.14	51.35	51.1(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	30	-5	-65	0.01	54%	0	9.5	0.87%	0	-0.9	38	0

11	Aug_22_2005	50.08	51.69	51.82	51.24	51.21	51.29	51.28(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	10	7	-48	0	54%	0	13.6	0.88%	0	-0.6	47	0
12	Aug_19_2005	50.08	51.69	51.88	51.44	51.33	50.94	51.02(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-60	-35	-46	0.01	54%	-0.02	25.4	0.88%	0	-0.9	48	0
13	Aug_18_2005	50.09	51.66	51.94	51.76	51.64	51.13	50.58(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-61	-80	-70	-34	0.01	56%	-0.02	41.6	0.87%	0	-1.5	49	0
14	Aug_17_2005	50.1	51.68	52.09	52.22	52.11	51.72	51.58(-0.27%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-28	-60	-43	17	0.01	58%	0.02	63.4	0.86%	0	-0.1	52	0
15	Aug_16_2005	50.09	51.65	52.19	52.38	52.45	52.14	51.72(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-9	-40	-30	54	0.01	60%	0.04	72.3	0.87%	0	0.1	59	0

16	Aug_15_2005	50.07	51.59	52.2	52.47	52.61	52.5	52.32(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10	-8	87	0	62%	0.04	71.9	0.86%	0	0.9	67	0
17	Aug_12_2005	50.05	51.48	52.13	52.38	52.54	52.75	52.6(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	40	18	104	0.01	59%	0.04	69.4	0.87%	0	1.4	69	0
18	Aug_11_2005	50.03	51.36	51.98	52.15	52.35	52.72	52.88(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	57	60	42	102	0.01	59%	0.04	69.1	0.87%	0	1.9	68	0
19	Aug_10_2005	50.01	51.24	51.84	51.96	52.04	52.32	52.38(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	40	24	92	0.01	56%	0.04	80.3	0.87%	0	1.6	66	0
20	Aug_9_2005	49.99	51.13	51.69	51.98	51.89	51.98	52.16(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	10	13	90	0	56%	0.02	94.2	0.88%	0	1.5	63	0

21	Aug_8_2005	49.98	51.03	51.53	51.91	51.95	51.76	51.88(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	23	-20	3	82	0.01	56%	0	102.9	0.88%	0	1.2	64	0
22	Aug_5_2005	49.98	50.93	51.41	51.83	51.91	51.8	51.46(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10	-15	76	0	53%	0	102.8	0.89%	0	0.7	65	0
23	Aug_4_2005	49.98	50.83	51.34	51.76	51.88	52.14	51.9(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	40	16	94	0.01	55%	0.02	85	0.88%	0	1.2	68	0
24	Aug_3_2005	49.97	50.66	51.23	51.68	51.72	52.02	52.5(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	62	40	47	106	0.01	57%	0	78	0.87%	0	2	70	0
25	Aug_2_2005	49.97	50.48	51.06	51.36	51.45	51.62	51.8(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	30	32	88	0	55%		71.9	0.86%	0	1.5	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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