Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 3, 2005

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $52.5000 (1.35%) ($52.0200 - $52.6000) on Wed. Aug. 3, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $52.5000(1.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.68(1.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.23(2.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.66(3.63%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.82% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.8%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.77%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.28%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -3.08%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.64%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.64%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2005	49.97	50.66	51.23	51.68	51.72	52.02	52.5(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	62	40	47	106	0.01	57%	0	78	0.87%	0	2	70	NAN
2	Aug_2_2005	49.97	50.48	51.06	51.36	51.45	51.62	51.8(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	30	32	88	0	55%	0	71.9	0.86%	0	1.5	70	NAN
3	Aug_1_2005	49.97	50.32	50.92	51.1	51.21	51.41	51.5(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	30	23	69	0	55%	0	69	0.86%	0	1.4	65	NAN
4	Jul_29_2005	49.97	50.19	50.78	50.92	50.98	51.29	51.12(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	50	26	61	0	55%	0	66.1	0.86%	0	1.1	67	NAN
5	Jul_28_2005	49.97	50.09	50.7	50.86	50.8	51	51.5(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	20	30	69	0	53%	-0.02	68.8	0.86%	0	1.7	75	NAN

6	Jul_27_2005	49.98	49.95	50.59	50.86	50.7	50.66	50.9(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	21	-10	3	74	0	48%	-0.02	64	0.86%	0	1.2	79	NAN
7	Jul_26_2005	49.99	49.84	50.51	50.86	50.7	50.6	50.5(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-20	-7	87	0	48%	-0.04	57.4	0.88%	0	0.8	70	NAN
8	Jul_25_2005	50.01	49.73	50.49	50.71	50.71	50.73	50.58(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	0	1	112	0.01	48%	-0.04	50.3	0.89%	0	1	72	NAN
9	Jul_22_2005	50.03	49.63	50.42	50.62	50.65	50.82	50.8(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	30	19	127	0	48%	0	39.2	0.88%	0	1.3	70	NAN
10	Jul_21_2005	50.03	49.51	50.29	50.5	50.48	50.69	50.76(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	30	18	124	0	48%	0	34.8	0.88%	0	1.4	64	NAN

11	Jul_20_2005	50.03	49.44	50.07	50.46	50.48	50.49	50.9(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	10	19	119	0.01	48%	-0.02	35.5	0.88%	0	1.8	69	NAN
12	Jul_19_2005	50.04	49.36	49.86	50.3	50.34	50.28	50.52(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10	10	109	0.01	48%	-0.02	36.2	0.88%	0	1.5	69	NAN
13	Jul_18_2005	50.05	49.3	49.67	50.24	50.34	50.19	50.1(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-10	-9	104	0	48%	-0.04	38	0.88%	0	1.1	69	NAN
14	Jul_15_2005	50.07	49.27	49.55	50.18	50.28	50.4	50.24(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	20	13	116	0	46%	0	44.9	0.88%	0	1.4	68	NAN
15	Jul_14_2005	50.07	49.21	49.45	50.04	50.14	50.36	50.52(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	63	40	42	126	0	44%	0	40.9	0.89%	0	2	68	NAN

16	Jul_13_2005	50.07	49.15	49.26	49.61	49.79	50.17	50.1(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	60	39	86	0.01	43%	-0.02	29.7	0.89%	0	1.6	55	NAN
17	Jul_12_2005	50.08	49.09	49.1	49.35	49.43	49.91	50.26(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	56	70	54	61	0	43%	0	19.4	0.9%	0	2.2	55	NAN
18	Jul_11_2005	50.08	49.03	48.9	49.02	49.09	49.41	49.8(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	37	50	43	19	0.01	42%	-0.02	8.5	0.89%	0	1.7	52	NAN
19	Jul_8_2005	50.09	48.97	48.76	48.84	48.82	48.96	49.5(2.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	5	20	14	-24	0.02	42%	-0.04	-4.4	0.9%	0	1.2	44	NAN
20	Jul_7_2005	50.11	48.95	48.66	48.79	48.79	48.77	48.4(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-0	-1	-43	0.01	40%	-0.06	-9.3	0.85%	0	-1.3	44	NAN

21	Jul_6_2005	50.14	48.97	48.75	48.86	48.88	48.68	48.78(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-30	-3	-40	0.01	40%	-0.06	-4.9	0.86%	0	-0.5	43	NAN
22	Jul_5_2005	50.17	48.97	48.81	48.81	48.84	48.8	48.62(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-0	-12	-42	0	40%	-0.08	-3.7	0.86%	0	-0.9	47	NAN
23	Jul_1_2005	50.21	48.97	48.89	48.74	48.81	49.08	48.88(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	11	40	25	-32	0.01	40%	-0.04	-20	0.85%	0	-0.3	46	NAN
24	Jun_30_2005	50.23	48.97	48.98	48.66	48.53	48.88	49.26(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	17	40	30	-22	0	43%	-0.02	-35	0.85%	0	0.7	56	NAN
25	Jun_29_2005	50.24	48.99	48.95	48.52	48.41	48.55	48.74(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	10	14	-40	0	41%		-48.8	0.86%	0	-0.6	47	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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