Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 13, 2005

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $49.2600 (1.27%) ($48.6200 - $49.3400) on Mon. Jun. 13, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $49.2600(1.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.98(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.91(0.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.07(0.39%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   1.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 0.79% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050713

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_13_2005	50.37	49.07	48.91	48.98	49		49.26(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	-20	6	-38	0	36%	0	-6.3	0.84%	0	0.5	43	NAN
2	Jun_10_2005	50.37	49.02	48.94	48.86	48.99	48.88	48.64(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-10	-15	-52	0	33%	-0.02	-26.7	0.82%	0	-0.9	46	NAN
3	Jun_9_2005	50.38	49.02	49.03	48.89	48.98	49.11	49.1(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	20	1	-36	0	34%	-0.02	-39.3	0.82%	0	0.1	51	NAN
4	Jun_8_2005	50.39	49.04	49.07	48.92	48.93	49.1	48.9(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	8	20	17	-20	0	34%	-0.02	-45.2	0.82%	0	-0.3	50	NAN
5	Jun_7_2005	50.4	49.06	49.1	48.9	48.89	48.86	49(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	-0	12	-13	0	34%	-0.02	-50	0.82%	0	-0.1	58	NAN

6	Jun_6_2005	50.41	49.09	49.18	48.82	48.81	48.77	48.66(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10	-15	-17	0.01	34%	-0.04	-48.9	0.82%	0	-1	50	NAN
7	Jun_3_2005	50.43	49.14	49.24	49.02	48.71	48.92	48.8(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	10	-12	12	0	39%	-0.02	-31.1	0.86%	0	-0.8	56	NAN
8	Jun_2_2005	50.44	49.2	49.28	49.18	48.93	48.86	49.24(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-30	12	35	0	40%	-0.02	-6.1	0.86%	0	0.1	53	NAN
9	Jun_1_2005	50.45	49.23	49.26	49.26	49.09	48.5	48.8(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-27	-90	-42	19	0.01	38%	0	2.9	0.85%	0	-0.9	48	NAN
10	May_31_2005	50.45	49.26	49.22	49.34	49.32	49.01	48.6(-2.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-43	-50	-59	7	0.04	38%	0	1	0.87%	0	-1.3	46	NAN

11	May_27_2005	50.45	49.31	49.26	49.59	49.59	49.68	49.68(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	10	9	47	0	41%	-0.02	5.4	0.81%	0	0.8	48	NAN
12	May_26_2005	50.46	49.27	49.13	49.49	49.55	49.64	49.6(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	21	20	19	27	0	41%	0	-13.7	0.81%	0	0.7	49	NAN
13	May_25_2005	50.46	49.23	49.06	49.38	49.43	49.5	49.6(0.81%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	10	10	13	-1	0.01	45%	0	-34.4	0.82%	0	0.8	44	NAN
14	May_24_2005	50.46	49.22	49.01	49.26	49.31	49.46	49.2(-1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	11	20	20	-18	0.01	45%	-0.04	-44.1	0.84%	0	-0	43	NAN
15	May_23_2005	50.48	49.26	49	49.09	49.16	49.35	49.86(1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	16	30	32	-31	0.01	47%	-0.02	-46.5	0.83%	0	1.1	52	NAN

16	May_20_2005	50.49	49.28	48.97	48.88	48.87	49.16	49.2(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	40	13	-53	0.02	43%	-0.04	-51.7	0.82%	0	-0.1	48	NAN
17	May_19_2005	50.51	49.34	49	48.71	49.09	48.96	49.04(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	9	0	30	-55	0.02	43%	-0.06	-57.1	0.82%	0	-0.5	51	NAN
18	May_18_2005	50.54	49.39	49.1	48.7	48.92	48.58	49.02(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-48	-40	-42	-67	0.01	43%	-0.04	-63.3	0.83%	0	-0.6	54	NAN
19	May_17_2005	50.56	49.44	49.18	48.72	48.99	49.22	48.32(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	50	-19	-50	0	39%	-0.06	-74	0.81%	0	-1.8	41	NAN
20	May_16_2005	50.59	49.53	49.31	48.9	49.19	49.26	48.84(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	14	30	28	-27	0.01	39%	-0.04	-89.7	0.8%	0	-1.2	38	NAN

21	May_13_2005	50.61	49.59	49.37	49.08	49.02	48.76	48.34(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-50	-40	-47	-57	0.01	36%	-0.06	-99.1	0.8%	0	-2.2	30	NAN
22	May_12_2005	50.64	49.7	49.45	49.33	49.32	49.13	48.96(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-30	-28	-48	0	38%	-0.06	-102.6	0.79%	0	-1.3	35	NAN
23	May_11_2005	50.67	49.8	49.44	49.56	49.48	49.29	49.16(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-30	-29	-49	0	38%	-0.04	-84.2	0.79%	0	-1	39	NAN
24	May_10_2005	50.69	49.91	49.47	49.71	49.7	49.5	49.2(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-30	-18	-42	0	43%	-0.04	-64.6	0.8%	0	-0.9	42	NAN
25	May_9_2005	50.71	50.05	49.56	49.76	49.82	49.67	49.76(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-20	-9	-31	0	45%		-51.6	0.82%	0	-0.3	48	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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