Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 4, 2005

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $49.9000 (0.89%) ($49.6900 - $50.0200) on Wed. May. 4, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $49.9000(0.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $46.03(-7.76%)
Resistance Level   $50.36
5 Day Moving Average   $49.31(1.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.69(0.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.36(-0.91%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   2.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.05% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050604

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_4_2005	50.73	50.36	49.69	49.31	49.5	49.66	49.9(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	30	24	-65	0.01	50%	-0.02	-48.8	0.8%	0	-0.4	36	0
2	May_3_2005	50.74	50.43	49.7	49.2	49.3	49.49	49.46(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	30	2	-104	0.02	45%	-0.02	-52.4	0.81%	0	-0.9	26	0
3	May_2_2005	50.75	50.52	49.74	49.34	49.28	49.35	49.4(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	10	-2	-121	0	45%	-0.02	-47	0.83%	0	-1.1	22	0
4	Apr_29_2005	50.76	50.61	49.81	49.55	49.46	49.11	49.02(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-59	-50	-30	-147	0	49%	-0.02	-40.2	0.83%	0	-1.6	15	0
5	Apr_28_2005	50.77	50.72	49.96	49.82	49.75	49.21	48.76(-1.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-88	-80	-63	-162	0.01	49%	-0.04	-32.6	0.83%	0	-2.1	19	0

6	Apr_27_2005	50.79	50.87	50.19	50.11	50.11	49.81	49.34(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-68	-40	-42	-144	0	52%	-0.02	-22	0.82%	0	-1.9	26	0
7	Apr_26_2005	50.8	50.98	50.4	50.25	50.29	50.28	50.18(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	0	-3	-119	0	56%	0	-14.7	0.8%	0	-1.1	40	0
8	Apr_25_2005	50.8	51	50.58	50.2	50.22	50.41	50.46(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	30	15	-108	0	56%	0.02	-22.7	0.8%	0	-0.7	40	0
9	Apr_22_2005	50.79	51.01	50.76	50.12	50.12	50.29	50.38(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	20	21	-96	0.01	56%	0.02	-33.6	0.8%	0	-0.9	44	0
10	Apr_21_2005	50.78	51.03	50.92	50.13	50.01	50.02	50.2(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-10	-7	-98	0	56%	0	-39.7	0.8%	0	-1.2	41	0

11	Apr_20_2005	50.78	51.05	51.08	50.29	50.11	49.95	50.02(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-46	-30	-30	-94	0	56%	0.02	-40.9	0.8%	0	-1.5	35	0
12	Apr_19_2005	50.77	51.09	51.21	50.6	50.41	50	49.92(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-62	-70	-55	-82	0.02	56%	0.02	-38.9	0.8%	0	-1.7	38	0
13	Apr_18_2005	50.76	51.17	51.37	51.04	50.84	50.27	50.1(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-66	-90	-74	-43	0.02	56%	0.02	-24	0.8%	0	-1.7	50	0
14	Apr_15_2005	50.75	51.26	51.48	51.5	51.29	50.82	50.4(-1.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.9	-50	-80	-68	4	0.02	56%	0	-2.6	0.81%	0	-1.5	52	0
15	Apr_14_2005	50.75	51.31	51.57	51.82	51.75	51.4	51(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-15	-50	-37	51	0	59%	0.04	11	0.8%	0	-0.6	57	0

16	Apr_13_2005	50.73	51.34	51.64	51.97	51.93	51.76	51.56(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-30	-21	87	0	62%	0.08	14	0.79%	0	0.4	64	0
17	Apr_12_2005	50.69	51.35	51.62	51.9	51.99	52.1	52.12(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	20	14	109	0.01	69%	0.08	9	0.77%	0	1.4	69	0
18	Apr_11_2005	50.65	51.32	51.46	51.75	51.82	52.11	52.42(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	59	40	47	96	0.01	64%	0.08	-2.9	0.81%	0	2	59	0
19	Apr_8_2005	50.61	51.27	51.26	51.47	51.3	51.88	52(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	70	36	52	0	63%	0.08	-22.9	0.83%	0	1.5	49	0
20	Apr_7_2005	50.57	51.25	51.12	51.3	51.09	51.54	51.74(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	50	54	35	0.01	60%	0.08	-29.3	0.83%	0	1	51	0

21	Apr_6_2005	50.53	51.26	51	51.27	50.98	50.73	51.2(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-50	1	-1	0.01	58%	0.08	-22.4	0.83%	0	-0.1	46	0
22	Apr_5_2005	50.49	51.3	50.94	51.3	51.06	50.64	51.38(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	-70	-35	-30	0	58%	0.08	-16.2	0.83%	0	0.2	43	0
23	Apr_4_2005	50.45	51.33	50.93	51.12	51.29	51.23	51.04(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	0	-7	-35	0	52%	0.06	-21	0.83%	0	-0.5	44	0
24	Apr_1_2005	50.42	51.33	51	51.01	51.19	51.49	51.16(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	50	21	-29	0.01	52%	0.08	-20.7	0.88%	0	-0.4	43	0
25	Mar_31_2005	50.38	51.39	51.02	50.9	50.96	51.34	51.58(0.51%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	23	60	41	-33	0.01	52%		-24.3	0.88%	0	0.3	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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