Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 22, 2004

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $48.0000 (-0.21%) ($47.5200 - $48.0000) on Mon. Nov. 22, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $48.0000(-0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(-2%)    REMX(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.89(0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.75(0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.92(2.3%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   20.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.47% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_22_2004	42.79	46.92	47.75	47.89	48.02	48.04	48(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	10	4	94	0	79%	0.14	72.1	0.8%	0	0.9	75	0
2	Nov_19_2004	42.73	46.77	47.68	47.83	47.88	48.12	48.1(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	40	14	122	0.02	79%	0.16	71.2	0.8%	0	1.1	78	0
3	Nov_18_2004	42.66	46.6	47.59	47.84	47.72	47.99	48.12(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	57	30	25	152	0.01	81%	0.14	73.7	0.81%	0	1.2	77	0
4	Nov_17_2004	42.6	46.43	47.48	47.8	47.68	47.64	48.04(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	63	-10	27	172	0	81%	0.14	77.4	0.83%	0	1.3	77	0
5	Nov_16_2004	42.54	46.25	47.3	47.59	47.55	47.44	47.2(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	31	-20	-14	164	0.01	80%	0.12	77.4	0.81%	0	0.8	76	0

6	Nov_15_2004	42.49	46.1	47.17	47.58	47.49	47.71	47.7(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	30	13	193	0.02	83%	0.14	78.1	0.8%	0	1.3	84	0
7	Nov_12_2004	42.43	45.93	46.96	47.5	47.35	47.66	48.14(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	85	40	42	212	0.01	87%	0.14	78.1	0.79%	0	1.7	92	0
8	Nov_11_2004	42.37	45.72	46.69	47.3	47.19	47.26	47.9(1.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	72	0	28	202	0.01	81%	0.14	77.3	0.8%	0	1.7	92	0
9	Nov_10_2004	42.31	45.5	46.44	47.12	47.07	47.03	47.02(-0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	52	-10	5	192	0	80%	0.14	75.1	0.81%	0	1.2	90	0
10	Nov_9_2004	42.25	45.3	46.24	46.97	46.99	47.12	47.14(-0.3%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	67	20	23	197	0.01	80%	0.12	71.7	0.81%	0	1.5	94	0

11	Nov_8_2004	42.2	45.12	46.02	46.69	46.79	47.11	47.28(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	85	50	48	196	0.01	80%	0.14	69.1	0.82%	0	1.8	98	0
12	Nov_5_2004	42.14	44.95	45.78	46.32	46.43	46.86	47.18(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	86	70	55	178	0.02	76%	0.14	68.5	0.82%	0	2.1	91	0
13	Nov_4_2004	42.08	44.78	45.53	45.98	46.04	46.48	47(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	83	70	57	160	0.01	76%	0.14	66.7	0.84%	0	2.3	91	0
14	Nov_3_2004	42.02	44.59	45.28	45.67	45.71	45.99	46.26(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	71	50	45	148	0	75%	0.12	68.2	0.83%	0	1.9	91	0
15	Nov_2_2004	41.97	44.44	45.1	45.42	45.46	45.61	45.74(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	30	27	143	0	74%	0.12	69.1	0.82%	0	1.6	91	0

16	Nov_1_2004	41.92	44.33	44.94	45.25	45.29	45.42	45.42(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	20	18	135	0.02	74%	0.1	75.4	0.82%	0	1.5	75	0
17	Oct_29_2004	41.88	44.23	44.82	45.15	45.12	45.32	45.5(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	30	24	136	0	74%	0.1	83.5	0.82%	0	1.8	69	0
18	Oct_28_2004	41.84	44.13	44.67	45	44.98	45.15	45.44(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	30	27	129	0	74%	0.12	87.2	0.82%	0	1.9	69	0
19	Oct_27_2004	41.79	44	44.48	44.84	44.84	44.93	44.98(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	10	18	115	0.01	73%	0.07	90.7	0.83%	0	1.5	71	0
20	Oct_26_2004	41.76	43.9	44.3	44.73	44.71	44.81	44.92(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	10	16	103	0	73%	0.1	90.3	0.83%	0	1.5	69	0

21	Oct_25_2004	41.72	43.78	44.16	44.57	44.58	44.76	44.9(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	30	21	90	0.01	73%	0.1	81.6	0.83%	0	1.6	64	0
22	Oct_22_2004	41.68	43.65	44.06	44.45	44.44	44.61	44.76(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	30	24	81	0	65%	0.1	82.7	0.92%	0	1.6	65	0
23	Oct_21_2004	41.64	43.54	43.96	44.3	44.26	44.41	44.64(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	20	24	73	0.01	61%	0.1	79.1	0.92%	0	1.6	60	0
24	Oct_20_2004	41.6	43.41	43.83	44.07	44.11	44.27	44.44(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	30	28	62	0	61%	0.1	73.3	0.94%	0	1.5	66	0
25	Oct_19_2004	41.56	43.29	43.72	43.8	43.91	44.12	44.1(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	40	21	44	0	61%		69.1	0.94%	0	1.2	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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