Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 27, 2004

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $42.3600 (-0.47%) ($42.1200 - $42.4600) on Mon. Sep. 27, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $42.3600(-0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.34(0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.08(0.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.69(1.61%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.44% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041027

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_27_2004	40.89	41.69	42.08	42.34	42.26	42.37	42.36(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	10	9	60	0	52%	0.1	92.4	0.92%	0	1.1	61	NAN
2	Sep_24_2004	40.85	41.58	42.02	42.22	42.31	42.29	42.56(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	0	18	63	0	55%	0.05	80.1	0.93%	0	1.5	67	NAN
3	Sep_23_2004	40.83	41.46	41.93	42.14	42.12	42.15	42.1(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	0	-3	56	0	55%	0.02	70.7	0.92%	0	0.9	65	NAN
4	Sep_22_2004	40.82	41.37	41.87	42.04	42.06	42.34	42.02(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	34	50	23	65	0	55%	0.05	62.1	0.93%	0	0.9	65	NAN
5	Sep_21_2004	40.8	41.27	41.83	41.96	41.89	42.09	42.64(2.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	42	30	31	76	0	58%	0.05	55.3	0.92%	0	1.9	79	NAN

6	Sep_20_2004	40.78	41.14	41.72	41.96	41.69	41.79	41.78(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	10	4	76	0.02	54%	0.05	50.3	0.89%	0	0.9	80	NAN
7	Sep_17_2004	40.76	41.07	41.66	41.8	41.69	41.69	42.16(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	33	-10	11	97	0	59%	0.07	56.1	0.88%	0	1.5	85	NAN
8	Sep_16_2004	40.73	40.98	41.56	41.69	41.74	41.6	41.6(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-20	-13	96	0	57%	0.02	64.4	0.88%	0	0.9	83	NAN
9	Sep_15_2004	40.72	40.94	41.51	41.67	41.81	41.8	41.64(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	25	10	-3	110	0	60%	0.02	75.5	0.89%	0	1.1	75	NAN
10	Sep_14_2004	40.71	40.87	41.43	41.68	41.74	41.88	41.8(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	39	30	10	126	0	60%	0.05	76.1	0.92%	0	1.4	82	NAN

11	Sep_13_2004	40.69	40.78	41.26	41.63	41.61	41.82	41.8(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	49	30	22	131	0.02	60%	0.02	79.2	0.92%	0	1.6	79	NAN
12	Sep_10_2004	40.68	40.67	41.11	41.51	41.5	41.59	41.62(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	10	20	118	0	60%	0.05	71.7	0.93%	0	1.5	68	NAN
13	Sep_9_2004	40.66	40.56	40.96	41.41	41.35	41.41	41.5(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	10	7	100	0	55%	0.02	58.8	0.93%	0	1.4	63	NAN
14	Sep_8_2004	40.65	40.46	40.84	41.33	41.28	41.4	41.66(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	20	19	89	0.01	55%	0.05	48.1	0.97%	0	1.9	59	NAN
15	Sep_7_2004	40.63	40.38	40.67	41.14	41.14	41.3	41.56(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	30	30	75	0	57%	0.02	38.9	0.97%	0	2	66	NAN

16	Sep_3_2004	40.62	40.29	40.51	40.84	40.9	41.16	41.2(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	50	28	50	0.01	59%	0.02	21.8	0.97%	0	1.8	64	NAN
17	Sep_2_2004	40.61	40.24	40.42	40.64	40.62	40.99	41.14(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	39	60	36	46	0.01	59%	0.02	7	0.98%	0	2	68	NAN
18	Sep_1_2004	40.6	40.18	40.35	40.43	40.37	40.64	41.08(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	36	40	33	45	0.01	59%	0.05	-10.5	0.98%	0	2.1	71	NAN
19	Aug_31_2004	40.58	40.15	40.31	40.28	40.2	40.25	40.7(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	0	16	45	0.01	59%	0	-15.7	0.98%	0	1.3	64	NAN
20	Aug_30_2004	40.58	40.16	40.25	40.13	40.15	40.11	40.1(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10	-0	26	0	56%	0	-21.6	0.97%	0	-0.1	49	NAN

21	Aug_27_2004	40.58	40.18	40.26	40.12	40.1	40.15	40.2(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	10	-4	27	0	58%	0	-19	0.97%	0	0	54	NAN
22	Aug_26_2004	40.58	40.2	40.21	40.15	40.11	40.19	40.08(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	10	1	25	0.01	58%	0	-12.5	0.99%	0	-0.3	49	NAN
23	Aug_25_2004	40.58	40.23	40.14	40.25	40.16	40.05	40.34(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-30	-6	18	0	61%	0	-14.4	0.99%	0	0.3	52	NAN
24	Aug_24_2004	40.58	40.21	40.06	40.35	40.22	40.04	39.94(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-12	-40	-18	7	0	60%	0	-16.8	1.01%	0	-0.6	42	NAN
25	Aug_23_2004	40.58	40.24	40.08	40.39	40.4	40.26	40.02(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	-20	-9	5	0	60%		-26.9	1.02%	0	-0.5	40	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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