Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 22, 2004

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $42.0200 (-1.45%) ($42.0200 - $42.3800) on Wed. Sep. 22, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $42.0200(-1.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.04(-0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.87(0.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.37(1.57%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.69% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.29%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.29%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.89%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2004	40.82	41.37	41.87	42.04	42.06	42.34	42.02(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	34	50	23	65	0	55%	0.05	62.1	0.93%	0	0.9	65	0
2	Sep_21_2004	40.8	41.27	41.83	41.96	41.89	42.09	42.64(2.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	42	30	31	76	0	58%	0.05	55.3	0.92%	0	1.9	79	0
3	Sep_20_2004	40.78	41.14	41.72	41.96	41.69	41.79	41.78(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	10	4	76	0.02	54%	0.05	50.3	0.89%	0	0.9	80	0
4	Sep_17_2004	40.76	41.07	41.66	41.8	41.69	41.69	42.16(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	33	-10	11	97	0	59%	0.07	56.1	0.88%	0	1.5	85	0
5	Sep_16_2004	40.73	40.98	41.56	41.69	41.74	41.6	41.6(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-20	-13	96	0	57%	0.02	64.4	0.88%	0	0.9	83	0

6	Sep_15_2004	40.72	40.94	41.51	41.67	41.81	41.8	41.64(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	25	10	-3	110	0	60%	0.02	75.5	0.89%	0	1.1	75	0
7	Sep_14_2004	40.71	40.87	41.43	41.68	41.74	41.88	41.8(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	39	30	10	126	0	60%	0.05	76.1	0.92%	0	1.4	82	0
8	Sep_13_2004	40.69	40.78	41.26	41.63	41.61	41.82	41.8(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	49	30	22	131	0.02	60%	0.02	79.2	0.92%	0	1.6	79	0
9	Sep_10_2004	40.68	40.67	41.11	41.51	41.5	41.59	41.62(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	10	20	118	0	60%	0.05	71.7	0.93%	0	1.5	68	0
10	Sep_9_2004	40.66	40.56	40.96	41.41	41.35	41.41	41.5(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	10	7	100	0	55%	0.02	58.8	0.93%	0	1.4	63	0

11	Sep_8_2004	40.65	40.46	40.84	41.33	41.28	41.4	41.66(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	20	19	89	0.01	55%	0.05	48.1	0.97%	0	1.9	59	0
12	Sep_7_2004	40.63	40.38	40.67	41.14	41.14	41.3	41.56(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	30	30	75	0	57%	0.02	38.9	0.97%	0	2	66	0
13	Sep_3_2004	40.62	40.29	40.51	40.84	40.9	41.16	41.2(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	50	28	50	0.01	59%	0.02	21.8	0.97%	0	1.8	64	0
14	Sep_2_2004	40.61	40.24	40.42	40.64	40.62	40.99	41.14(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	39	60	36	46	0.01	59%	0.02	7	0.98%	0	2	68	0
15	Sep_1_2004	40.6	40.18	40.35	40.43	40.37	40.64	41.08(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	36	40	33	45	0.01	59%	0.05	-10.5	0.98%	0	2.1	71	0

16	Aug_31_2004	40.58	40.15	40.31	40.28	40.2	40.25	40.7(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	0	16	45	0.01	59%	0	-15.7	0.98%	0	1.3	64	0
17	Aug_30_2004	40.58	40.16	40.25	40.13	40.15	40.11	40.1(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10	-0	26	0	56%	0	-21.6	0.97%	0	-0.1	49	0
18	Aug_27_2004	40.58	40.18	40.26	40.12	40.1	40.15	40.2(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	10	-4	27	0	58%	0	-19	0.97%	0	0	54	0
19	Aug_26_2004	40.58	40.2	40.21	40.15	40.11	40.19	40.08(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	10	1	25	0.01	58%	0	-12.5	0.99%	0	-0.3	49	0
20	Aug_25_2004	40.58	40.23	40.14	40.25	40.16	40.05	40.34(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-30	-6	18	0	61%	0	-14.4	0.99%	0	0.3	52	0

21	Aug_24_2004	40.58	40.21	40.06	40.35	40.22	40.04	39.94(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-12	-40	-18	7	0	60%	0	-16.8	1.01%	0	-0.6	42	0
22	Aug_23_2004	40.58	40.24	40.08	40.39	40.4	40.26	40.02(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	-20	-9	5	0	60%	0	-26.9	1.02%	0	-0.5	40	0
23	Aug_20_2004	40.58	40.27	40.07	40.41	40.42	40.41	40.38(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-0	2	-1	0	60%	0.02	-42.3	1.02%	0	0.3	45	0
24	Aug_19_2004	40.57	40.25	40.05	40.26	40.37	40.55	40.56(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	16	40	24	-9	0	60%	0.02	-59.7	1.01%	0	0.6	48	0
25	Aug_18_2004	40.56	40.29	40	40	40.18	40.43	40.86(1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	18	60	35	-32	0	60%		-75	1.02%	0	1.1	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.