Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 10, 2004

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $41.6200 (0.29%) ($41.6200 - $41.9600) on Fri. Sep. 10, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $41.6200(0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.51(0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.11(1.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.67(2.34%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.52% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.18%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.72%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.76%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.3%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 4.52%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.65%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041010

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_10_2004	40.68	40.67	41.11	41.51	41.5	41.59	41.62(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	10	20	118	0	60%	0.05	71.7	0.93%	0	1.5	68	0
2	Sep_9_2004	40.66	40.56	40.96	41.41	41.35	41.41	41.5(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	10	7	100	0	55%	0.02	58.8	0.93%	0	1.4	63	0
3	Sep_8_2004	40.65	40.46	40.84	41.33	41.28	41.4	41.66(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	20	19	89	0.01	55%	0.05	48.1	0.97%	0	1.9	59	0
4	Sep_7_2004	40.63	40.38	40.67	41.14	41.14	41.3	41.56(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	30	30	75	0	57%	0.02	38.9	0.97%	0	2	66	0
5	Sep_3_2004	40.62	40.29	40.51	40.84	40.9	41.16	41.2(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	50	28	50	0.01	59%	0.02	21.8	0.97%	0	1.8	64	0

6	Sep_2_2004	40.61	40.24	40.42	40.64	40.62	40.99	41.14(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	39	60	36	46	0.01	59%	0.02	7	0.98%	0	2	68	0
7	Sep_1_2004	40.6	40.18	40.35	40.43	40.37	40.64	41.08(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	36	40	33	45	0.01	59%	0.05	-10.5	0.98%	0	2.1	71	0
8	Aug_31_2004	40.58	40.15	40.31	40.28	40.2	40.25	40.7(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	0	16	45	0.01	59%	0	-15.7	0.98%	0	1.3	64	0
9	Aug_30_2004	40.58	40.16	40.25	40.13	40.15	40.11	40.1(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10	-0	26	0	56%	0	-21.6	0.97%	0	-0.1	49	0
10	Aug_27_2004	40.58	40.18	40.26	40.12	40.1	40.15	40.2(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	10	-4	27	0	58%	0	-19	0.97%	0	0	54	0

11	Aug_26_2004	40.58	40.2	40.21	40.15	40.11	40.19	40.08(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	10	1	25	0.01	58%	0	-12.5	0.99%	0	-0.3	49	0
12	Aug_25_2004	40.58	40.23	40.14	40.25	40.16	40.05	40.34(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-30	-6	18	0	61%	0	-14.4	0.99%	0	0.3	52	0
13	Aug_24_2004	40.58	40.21	40.06	40.35	40.22	40.04	39.94(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-12	-40	-18	7	0	60%	0	-16.8	1.01%	0	-0.6	42	0
14	Aug_23_2004	40.58	40.24	40.08	40.39	40.4	40.26	40.02(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	-20	-9	5	0	60%	0	-26.9	1.02%	0	-0.5	40	0
15	Aug_20_2004	40.58	40.27	40.07	40.41	40.42	40.41	40.38(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-0	2	-1	0	60%	0.02	-42.3	1.02%	0	0.3	45	0

16	Aug_19_2004	40.57	40.25	40.05	40.26	40.37	40.55	40.56(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	16	40	24	-9	0	60%	0.02	-59.7	1.01%	0	0.6	48	0
17	Aug_18_2004	40.56	40.25	40	40	40.18	40.43	40.86(1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	18	60	35	-32	0	60%	0.02	-75	1.02%	0	1.1	52	0
18	Aug_17_2004	40.55	40.29	39.96	39.73	39.86	40.19	40.14(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	70	19	-57	0	57%	0.02	-87.9	0.99%	0	-0.3	50	0
19	Aug_16_2004	40.54	40.36	40.03	39.74	39.67	39.92	40.1(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	40	21	-52	0.02	57%	0.05	-78.9	0.99%	0	-0.4	45	0
20	Aug_13_2004	40.52	40.44	40.09	39.7	39.69	39.54	39.66(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-30	-1	-60	0.04	55%	0.02	-79.2	0.99%	0	-1.1	42	0

21	Aug_12_2004	40.51	40.54	40.18	39.81	39.72	39.43	39.26(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-60	-37	-61	0	53%	0.02	-81.1	0.98%	0	-1.8	41	0
22	Aug_11_2004	40.5	40.66	40.32	39.99	39.95	39.84	39.5(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-20	-26	-54	0	53%	0.02	-79.1	0.98%	0	-1.7	32	0
23	Aug_10_2004	40.49	40.79	40.4	40.22	40.15	40.01	40.2(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	-30	-11	-43	0	54%	0.05	-74.3	0.95%	0	-0.9	41	0
24	Aug_9_2004	40.47	40.88	40.43	40.36	40.21	40.05	39.9(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-40	-28	-53	0	54%	0.02	-62.8	0.97%	0	-1.3	32	0
25	Aug_6_2004	40.46	41	40.49	40.53	40.46	40.28	40.2(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-40	-12	-50	0	44%		-52.8	1.03%	0	-1	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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