Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 17, 2004

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $40.1400 (0.1%) ($40.1400 - $40.4000) on Tue. Aug. 17, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $40.1400(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $37.25(-7.2%)
Resistance Level   $40.29
5 Day Moving Average   $39.73(1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.96(0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.29(-0.37%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.41% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040917

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_17_2004	40.55	40.29	39.96	39.73	39.86	40.19	40.14(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	70	19	-57	0	57%	0.02	-87.9	0.99%	0	-0.3	50	0
2	Aug_16_2004	40.54	40.36	40.03	39.74	39.67	39.92	40.1(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	40	21	-52	0.02	57%	0.05	-78.9	0.99%	0	-0.4	45	0
3	Aug_13_2004	40.52	40.44	40.09	39.7	39.69	39.54	39.66(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-30	-1	-60	0.04	55%	0.02	-79.2	0.99%	0	-1.1	42	0
4	Aug_12_2004	40.51	40.54	40.18	39.81	39.72	39.43	39.26(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-60	-37	-61	0	53%	0.02	-81.1	0.98%	0	-1.8	41	0
5	Aug_11_2004	40.5	40.66	40.32	39.99	39.95	39.84	39.5(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-20	-26	-54	0	53%	0.02	-79.1	0.98%	0	-1.7	32	0

6	Aug_10_2004	40.49	40.79	40.4	40.22	40.15	40.01	40.2(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	-30	-11	-43	0	54%	0.05	-74.3	0.95%	0	-0.9	41	0
7	Aug_9_2004	40.47	40.88	40.43	40.36	40.21	40.05	39.9(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-40	-28	-53	0	54%	0.02	-62.8	0.97%	0	-1.3	32	0
8	Aug_6_2004	40.46	41	40.43	40.53	40.46	40.28	40.2(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-40	-12	-50	0	44%	0.02	-52.8	1.03%	0	-1	32	0
9	Aug_5_2004	40.45	41.12	40.49	40.61	40.57	40.38	40.14(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-40	-18	-64	0	47%	0.02	-45.8	1.08%	0	-1.2	35	0
10	Aug_4_2004	40.44	41.22	40.61	40.69	40.68	40.63	40.64(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10	-2	-56	0	49%	0.05	-43.9	1.08%	0	-0.7	38	0

11	Aug_3_2004	40.42	41.3	40.64	40.59	40.69	40.76	40.92(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	20	10	-73	0.02	49%	0.05	-46.8	1.08%	0	-0.5	36	0
12	Aug_2_2004	40.4	41.35	40.71	40.52	40.51	40.72	40.74(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	40	9	-84	0	49%	0.02	-49.2	1.08%	0	-0.8	37	0
13	Jul_30_2004	40.39	41.43	40.81	40.45	40.45	40.62	40.6(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	30	21	-92	0.01	49%	0.02	-51.8	1.09%	0	-1.1	31	0
14	Jul_29_2004	40.38	41.49	40.91	40.36	40.35	40.31	40.56(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-35	-10	-6	-123	0	47%	0	-55.9	1.09%	0	-1.2	29	0
15	Jul_28_2004	40.38	41.57	41.02	40.52	40.34	40.29	40.14(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46	-20	-20	-123	0.01	45%	-0.02	-51.1	1.1%	0	-1.9	33	0

16	Jul_27_2004	40.39	41.67	41.22	40.7	40.6	40.4	40.54(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-40	-16	-113	0	45%	-0.02	-45.3	1.1%	0	-1.7	34	0
17	Jul_26_2004	40.4	41.75	41.35	40.93	40.82	40.39	40.42(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-57	-80	-40	-108	0	45%	-0.02	-38.4	1.1%	0	-2.2	38	0
18	Jul_23_2004	40.41	41.84	41.56	41.22	41.13	40.81	40.14(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-54	-60	-43	-86	0	45%	-0.02	-23.6	1.1%	0	-3.2	33	0
19	Jul_22_2004	40.42	41.92	41.82	41.53	41.49	41.24	41.36(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-50	-18	-48	0.01	50%	0.02	-10.2	1.04%	0	-1.5	47	0
20	Jul_21_2004	40.41	41.95	41.9	41.59	41.67	41.46	41.04(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-31	-30	-26	-46	0.01	50%	0.02	4.9	1.04%	0	-2.7	41	0

21	Jul_20_2004	40.4	41.97	42.03	41.8	41.8	41.73	41.68(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10	-13	-22	0	49%	0	24.3	1.03%	0	-0.9	47	0
22	Jul_19_2004	40.4	41.98	42.06	41.85	41.9	41.89	41.88(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	0	-6	-17	0.03	51%	0.02	46.5	1.06%	0	-0.3	49	0
23	Jul_16_2004	40.39	41.97	42.1	41.97	41.94	41.87	41.68(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-13	-10	-14	-10	0.01	51%	0	61.8	1.06%	0	-0.9	44	0
24	Jul_15_2004	40.39	41.96	42.12	42.17	42.05	41.92	41.68(-1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-9	-30	-14	7	0	51%	0.02	87.3	1.07%	0	-0.8	53	0
25	Jul_14_2004	40.38	41.93	42.16	42.26	42.24	42.02	42.1(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-40	-11	18	0	51%		73.1	1.06%	0	0.4	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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