Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 12, 2004

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $39.2600 (-0.61%) ($39.2400 - $39.4400) on Thu. Aug. 12, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $39.2600(-0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $36.93(-5.93%)
Resistance Level   $40.54
5 Day Moving Average   $39.81(-1.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.18(-2.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.54(-3.16%)
To recent high   -8%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.75% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.18%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.83%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.45%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.36%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.36%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040912

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2004	40.51	40.54	40.18	39.81	39.72	39.43	39.26(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-60	-37	-61	0	53%	0.02	-81.1	0.98%	0	-1.8	41	0
2	Aug_11_2004	40.5	40.66	40.32	39.99	39.95	39.84	39.5(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-20	-26	-54	0	53%	0.02	-79.1	0.98%	0	-1.7	32	0
3	Aug_10_2004	40.49	40.79	40.4	40.22	40.15	40.01	40.2(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	-30	-11	-43	0	54%	0.05	-74.3	0.95%	0	-0.9	41	0
4	Aug_9_2004	40.47	40.88	40.43	40.36	40.21	40.05	39.9(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-40	-28	-53	0	54%	0.02	-62.8	0.97%	0	-1.3	32	0
5	Aug_6_2004	40.46	41	40.43	40.53	40.46	40.28	40.2(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-40	-12	-50	0	44%	0.02	-52.8	1.03%	0	-1	32	0

6	Aug_5_2004	40.45	41.12	40.49	40.61	40.57	40.38	40.14(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-40	-18	-64	0	47%	0.02	-45.8	1.08%	0	-1.2	35	0
7	Aug_4_2004	40.44	41.22	40.61	40.69	40.68	40.63	40.64(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10	-2	-56	0	49%	0.05	-43.9	1.08%	0	-0.7	38	0
8	Aug_3_2004	40.42	41.3	40.64	40.59	40.69	40.76	40.92(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	20	10	-73	0.02	49%	0.05	-46.8	1.08%	0	-0.5	36	0
9	Aug_2_2004	40.4	41.35	40.71	40.52	40.51	40.72	40.74(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	40	9	-84	0	49%	0.02	-49.2	1.08%	0	-0.8	37	0
10	Jul_30_2004	40.39	41.43	40.81	40.45	40.45	40.62	40.6(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	30	21	-92	0.01	49%	0.02	-51.8	1.09%	0	-1.1	31	0

11	Jul_29_2004	40.38	41.49	40.91	40.36	40.35	40.31	40.56(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-35	-10	-6	-123	0	47%	0	-55.9	1.09%	0	-1.2	29	0
12	Jul_28_2004	40.38	41.57	41.02	40.52	40.34	40.29	40.14(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46	-20	-20	-123	0.01	45%	-0.02	-51.1	1.1%	0	-1.9	33	0
13	Jul_27_2004	40.39	41.67	41.22	40.7	40.6	40.4	40.54(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-40	-16	-113	0	45%	-0.02	-45.3	1.1%	0	-1.7	34	0
14	Jul_26_2004	40.4	41.75	41.35	40.93	40.82	40.39	40.42(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-57	-80	-40	-108	0	45%	-0.02	-38.4	1.1%	0	-2.2	38	0
15	Jul_23_2004	40.41	41.84	41.56	41.22	41.13	40.81	40.14(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-54	-60	-43	-86	0	45%	-0.02	-23.6	1.1%	0	-3.2	33	0

16	Jul_22_2004	40.42	41.92	41.82	41.53	41.49	41.24	41.36(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-50	-18	-48	0.01	50%	0.02	-10.2	1.04%	0	-1.5	47	0
17	Jul_21_2004	40.41	41.95	41.9	41.59	41.67	41.46	41.04(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-31	-30	-26	-46	0.01	50%	0.02	4.9	1.04%	0	-2.7	41	0
18	Jul_20_2004	40.4	41.97	42.03	41.8	41.8	41.73	41.68(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10	-13	-22	0	49%	0	24.3	1.03%	0	-0.9	47	0
19	Jul_19_2004	40.4	41.98	42.06	41.85	41.9	41.89	41.88(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	0	-6	-17	0.03	51%	0.02	46.5	1.06%	0	-0.3	49	0
20	Jul_16_2004	40.39	41.97	42.1	41.97	41.94	41.87	41.68(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-13	-10	-14	-10	0.01	51%	0	61.8	1.06%	0	-0.9	44	0

21	Jul_15_2004	40.39	41.96	42.12	42.17	42.05	41.92	41.68(-1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-9	-30	-14	7	0	51%	0.02	87.3	1.07%	0	-0.8	53	0
22	Jul_14_2004	40.38	41.93	42.16	42.26	42.24	42.02	42.1(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-40	-11	18	0	51%	0.02	73.1	1.06%	0	0.4	54	0
23	Jul_13_2004	40.37	41.9	42.15	42.26	42.28	42.19	41.9(-1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	-20	-14	28	0	51%	0	73.7	1.06%	0	0	58	0
24	Jul_12_2004	40.37	41.84	42.17	42.3	42.32	42.46	42.5(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	20	10	42	0.01	53%	0.05	57.4	1.04%	0	1.4	58	0
25	Jul_9_2004	40.35	41.77	42.13	42.24	42.21	42.37	42.68(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	20	21	52	0	53%		60.9	1.04%	0	2	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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