Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 25, 2004

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $42.1600 (1.3%) ($42.0000 - $42.6000) on Fri. Jun. 25, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $42.1600(1.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.74(1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.5(1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.23(2.26%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.19% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_25_2004	40.32	41.23	41.5	41.74	41.78	41.99	42.16(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	40	22	48	0.02	58%	0.02	108.4	1.05%	0	1.9	59	NAN
2	Jun_24_2004	40.31	41.13	41.38	41.61	41.65	41.73	41.62(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	20	11	37	0	56%	0.02	124.3	1.07%	0	1.1	60	NAN
3	Jun_23_2004	40.3	41.06	41.3	41.59	41.57	41.73	41.82(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-0	10	35	0.01	56%	0.05	128.9	1.08%	0	1.6	59	NAN
4	Jun_22_2004	40.28	40.94	41.27	41.42	41.49	41.57	41.34(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	20	3	34	0	54%	0	120.8	1.07%	0	0.8	59	NAN
5	Jun_21_2004	40.28	40.83	41.29	41.43	41.35	41.58	41.78(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	30	21	58	0	54%	0.05	101.3	1.06%	0	1.6	64	NAN

6	Jun_18_2004	40.26	40.7	41.22	41.21	41.24	41.41	41.48(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	30	23	46	0.01	51%	0	82.8	1.09%	0	1.1	56	NAN
7	Jun_17_2004	40.26	40.59	41.14	41.11	41.03	41.13	41.52(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	10	12	39	0.01	51%	0.02	77.5	1.09%	0	1.2	62	NAN
8	Jun_16_2004	40.25	40.46	41.07	40.96	40.94	41.06	40.98(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	20	-2	33	0	49%	-0.02	71.5	1.08%	0	0.7	60	NAN
9	Jun_15_2004	40.26	40.35	41.03	41.1	40.97	40.94	41.4(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10	1	62	0.02	46%	0	71.8	1.07%	0	1.2	70	NAN
10	Jun_14_2004	40.26	40.22	40.93	41.14	41.05	40.82	40.68(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-50	-18	75	0	42%	-0.05	68.8	1.09%	0	0.5	69	NAN

11	Jun_10_2004	40.28	40.12	40.95	41.22	41.28	40.99	40.98(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-40	-9	105	0	40%	-0.02	58.7	1.1%	0	0.9	67	NAN
12	Jun_9_2004	40.29	40.01	40.88	41.15	41.27	41.27	40.78(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	10	-12	112	0	40%	-0.02	45.2	1.11%	0	0.8	66	NAN
13	Jun_8_2004	40.3	39.91	40.82	41.17	41.18	41.56	41.68(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	60	70	29	154	0	43%	0.05	37.5	1.07%	0	1.7	80	NAN
14	Jun_7_2004	40.28	39.75	40.58	40.94	41	41.28	41.56(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	69	50	41	151	0.01	43%	0.02	23.5	1.08%	0	1.8	80	NAN
15	Jun_4_2004	40.27	39.61	40.33	40.7	40.72	40.79	41.1(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	10	9	127	0.02	44%	0	14.2	1.08%	0	1.7	79	NAN

16	Jun_3_2004	40.27	39.55	40.14	40.64	40.6	40.72	40.64(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	20	5	132	0	41%	0	15.7	1.08%	0	1.3	77	NAN
17	Jun_2_2004	40.27	39.56	40.01	40.56	40.66	40.65	40.86(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	51	10	20	143	0	38%	0	17.7	1.07%	0	1.5	78	NAN
18	Jun_1_2004	40.27	39.53	39.81	40.41	40.48	40.47	40.52(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	36	0	6	124	0	41%	-0.05	13	1.12%	0	1.2	76	NAN
19	May_28_2004	40.29	39.51	39.62	40.17	40.32	40.67	40.38(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	70	28	119	0.01	41%	-0.02	5.8	1.14%	0	1.1	78	NAN
20	May_27_2004	40.3	39.49	39.45	39.88	40.03	40.5	40.82(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	62	90	48	103	0	41%	0	-5.4	1.14%	0	1.7	71	NAN

21	May_26_2004	40.3	39.42	39.23	39.57	39.59	39.98	40.24(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	207	70	230	136	0.02	38%	-0.02	-21.8	1.12%	0	1.1	47	NAN
22	May_25_2004	40.31	39.41	39.07	39.38	32.01	39.56	40.1(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	1090	31	12	0	38%	-0.02	-28.3	1.13%	0	0.9	36	NAN
23	May_24_2004	40.32	39.42	38.92	39.12	31.87	39.2	39.3(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	567	1050	679	229	0.03	34%	-0.02	-33	1.1%	0	-0.2	36	NAN
24	May_21_2004	40.33	39.47	38.92	39	31.73	24.46	38.96(-0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-17	-2160	3	-76	0.01	36%	-0.02	-38.9	1.1%	0	-0.6	36	NAN
25	May_20_2004	40.34	39.53	38.83	38.94	31.59	24.54	39.26(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-571	-2130	-644	-352	0	34%		-41.5	1.11%	0	-0.3	43	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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