Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 28, 2004

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $40.3800 (-1.08%) ($40.3400 - $40.6000) on Fri. May. 28, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $40.3800(-1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.17(0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.62(1.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.51(2.2%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.08% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_28_2004	40.29	39.51	39.62	40.17	40.32	40.67	40.38(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	70	28	119	0.01	41%	-0.02	5.8	1.14%	0	1.1	78	0
2	May_27_2004	40.3	39.49	39.45	39.88	40.03	40.5	40.82(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	62	90	48	103	0	41%	0	-5.4	1.14%	0	1.7	71	0
3	May_26_2004	40.3	39.42	39.23	39.57	39.59	39.98	40.24(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	207	70	230	136	0.02	38%	-0.02	-21.8	1.12%	0	1.1	47	0
4	May_25_2004	40.31	39.41	39.07	39.38	32.01	39.56	40.1(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	1090	31	12	0	38%	-0.02	-28.3	1.13%	0	0.9	36	0
5	May_24_2004	40.32	39.42	38.92	39.12	31.87	39.2	39.3(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	567	1050	679	229	0.03	34%	-0.02	-33	1.1%	0	-0.2	36	0

6	May_21_2004	40.33	39.47	38.92	39	31.73	24.46	38.96(-0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-17	-2160	3	-76	0.01	36%	-0.02	-38.9	1.1%	0	-0.6	36	0
7	May_20_2004	40.34	39.53	38.83	38.94	31.59	24.54	39.26(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-571	-2130	-644	-352	0	34%	-0.02	-41.5	1.11%	0	-0.3	43	0
8	May_19_2004	40.35	39.59	38.91	38.82	31.55	38.99	39.26(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	1090	24	-88	0	34%	0	-43	1.14%	0	-0.4	46	0
9	May_18_2004	40.35	39.63	39.07	38.72	31.41	38.64	38.84(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	524	1040	644	162	0.01	34%	-0.02	-46.6	1.13%	0	-1	38	0
10	May_17_2004	40.36	39.68	39.23	38.7	31.39	24.11	38.68(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-2190	-1	-100	0.01	37%	-0.02	-47.3	1.13%	0	-1.2	33	0

11	May_14_2004	40.37	39.78	39.39	38.64	31.4	24.18	38.66(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-731	-2170	-829	-435	0	37%	-0.02	-48.2	1.14%	0	-1.4	37	0
12	May_13_2004	40.38	39.87	39.52	38.71	38.6	38.68	38.66(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	10	-15	-108	0	35%	-0.02	-49.5	1.15%	0	-1.6	39	0
13	May_12_2004	40.39	39.94	39.64	39.01	38.73	38.63	38.74(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-46	-40	-27	-101	0.02	35%	0	-42.8	1.17%	0	-1.7	37	0
14	May_11_2004	40.39	40.01	39.79	39.49	39.12	38.53	38.74(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-52	-130	-44	-75	0.02	35%	-0.02	-26.1	1.17%	0	-2	41	0
15	May_10_2004	40.4	40.08	39.98	39.86	39.74	38.82	38.4(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-64	-170	-68	-51	0	35%	-0.05	-12.1	1.17%	0	-3	41	0

16	May_7_2004	40.42	40.17	40.18	40.24	40.3	39.71	39(-2.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-48	-100	-56	-23	0	37%	-0.07	11.2	1.15%	0	-2.7	39	0
17	May_6_2004	40.45	40.17	40.31	40.43	40.55	40.66	40.16(-2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	30	-5	11	0.02	43%	-0.02	35.4	1.1%	0	-0.2	50	0
18	May_5_2004	40.46	40.24	40.34	40.34	40.5	40.89	41.14(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	36	80	39	27	0.01	46%	0	36.6	1.07%	0	2.7	60	0
19	May_4_2004	40.46	40.18	40.24	40.14	40.19	40.44	40.58(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	15	50	18	6	0.01	43%	0	36.9	1.06%	0	1.5	56	0
20	May_3_2004	40.46	40.14	40.16	40.15	40.09	40.11	40.34(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-0	7	2	0.03	43%	0	53.2	1.06%	0	0.8	56	0

21	Apr_30_2004	40.46	40.14	40.19	40.14	40.17	39.93	39.94(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-40	-11	1	0.03	43%	-0.02	77.4	1.04%	0	-0.7	49	0
22	Apr_29_2004	40.47	40.14	40.22	40.18	40.24	40.07	39.68(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-20	-30	-26	-2	0.01	43%	0	100	1.05%	0	-1.8	45	0
23	Apr_28_2004	40.47	40.12	40.26	40.34	40.24	40.4	40.16(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	10	-1	19	0.04	41%	-0.02	134.3	1.04%	0	0.1	50	0
24	Apr_27_2004	40.48	40.08	40.25	40.33	40.32	40.42	40.62(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	20	19	27	0	43%	0	127.5	1.09%	0	1.7	59	0
25	Apr_26_2004	40.48	40.01	40.17	40.18	40.19	40.23	40.28(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	10	-2	5	0	43%		126.8	1.09%	0	0.8	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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