Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 25, 2004

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $38.9000 (2.15%) ($38.4400 - $38.9200) on Thu. Mar. 25, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $38.9000(2.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $33.4(-14.14%)
Resistance Level   $39.8
5 Day Moving Average   $38.45(1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.82(0.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.8(-2.26%)
To recent high   -8%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.79% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040425

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_25_2004	40.12	39.8	38.82	38.45	38.45	38.41	38.9(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-37	-10	-0	-146	0.09	50%	0.07	-61.3	1.2%	0	-0.8	25	0
2	Mar_24_2004	40.09	39.9	38.92	38.52	38.49	38.32	38.08(-0.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-60	-30	-25	-165	0.01	49%	0.05	-64	1.18%	0	-1.6	24	0
3	Mar_23_2004	40.07	40.05	39.18	38.78	38.76	38.48	38.36(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-50	-18	-145	0	49%	0.05	-63.7	1.19%	0	-1.6	28	0
4	Mar_22_2004	40.05	40.21	39.43	38.9	38.96	38.66	38.3(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-50	-25	-137	0.01	44%	0.05	-66.5	1.19%	0	-1.9	30	0
5	Mar_19_2004	40.03	40.37	39.72	39.01	39.12	39.04	38.6(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-10	-18	-122	0.01	42%	0.05	-71.1	1.31%	0	-1.9	25	0

6	Mar_18_2004	40.01	40.49	39.99	39.24	39.16	39.26	39.28(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	10	-6	-101	0	44%	0.1	-74.4	1.31%	0	-1.4	36	0
7	Mar_17_2004	39.97	40.62	40.15	39.39	39.27	39.2	39.36(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-31	-20	-10	-95	0.01	45%	0.08	-75.1	1.31%	0	-1.5	39	0
8	Mar_16_2004	39.94	40.74	40.28	39.66	39.5	39.06	38.96(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-50	-90	-35	-94	0	45%	0.08	-69.1	1.31%	0	-2.1	34	0
9	Mar_15_2004	39.91	40.9	40.45	40.05	39.92	39.34	38.86(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-62	-110	-53	-88	0.03	45%	0.08	-61.3	1.32%	0	-2.8	30	0
10	Mar_12_2004	39.88	41.04	40.73	40.52	40.46	39.95	39.76(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-47	-90	-44	-55	0	48%	0.1	-58.3	1.29%	0	-2.2	35	0

11	Mar_11_2004	39.84	41.15	40.87	40.85	40.88	40.5	40(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-30	-60	-30	-28	0.01	49%	0.1	-37.3	1.29%	0	-2.2	44	0
12	Mar_10_2004	39.8	41.26	40.96	41	41.14	40.97	40.7(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-20	-10	-21	0	50%	0.1	-15.7	1.28%	0	-1.1	41	0
13	Mar_9_2004	39.76	41.33	41	40.99	41.13	41.25	40.94(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	30	6	-23	0.02	50%	0.13	-5	1.28%	0	-0.8	42	0
14	Mar_8_2004	39.71	41.36	41.05	40.9	40.94	41.31	41.2(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	70	11	-33	0	50%	0.13	-0.8	1.28%	0	-0.3	42	0
15	Mar_5_2004	39.66	41.37	41.06	40.99	40.82	41	41.4(1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	20	18	-25	0.01	50%	0.13	11	1.29%	0	0.1	50	0

16	Mar_4_2004	39.61	41.37	41.01	40.99	40.88	40.57	40.78(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-60	-4	-51	0	48%	0.13	5.7	1.27%	0	-1.1	40	0
17	Mar_3_2004	39.56	41.34	41.11	40.92	40.95	40.63	40.64(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-50	-28	-66	0.01	49%	0.13	5.6	1.27%	0	-1.3	37	0
18	Mar_2_2004	39.51	41.35	41.22	41	41.06	41.19	40.5(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	30	-13	-57	0.04	49%	0.1	-0.8	1.28%	0	-1.6	40	0
19	Mar_1_2004	39.47	41.36	41.38	41.2	41.12	41.28	41.64(1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	20	17	-31	0.01	55%	0.15	4.1	1.23%	0	0.5	51	0
20	Feb_27_2004	39.41	41.36	41.35	41.15	41.08	40.93	41.04(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-30	-2	-41	0.06	54%	0.13	-3.9	1.25%	0	-0.5	48	0

21	Feb_26_2004	39.36	41.32	41.45	41.12	41.16	40.96	40.8(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-30	-22	-39	0.02	55%	0.15	-13.3	1.26%	0	-1	52	0
22	Feb_25_2004	39.3	41.31	41.59	41.32	41.28	41.24	41(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10	-15	-7	0	55%	0.13	-13.7	1.26%	0	-0.6	57	0
23	Feb_24_2004	39.25	41.35	41.69	41.48	41.47	41.36	41.5(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-20	-6	20	0.01	56%	0.15	-1.5	1.25%	0	0.3	61	0
24	Feb_23_2004	39.19	41.35	41.69	41.48	41.61	41.32	41.42(1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-50	-15	33	0.02	56%	0.15	11.5	1.26%	0	0.1	60	0
25	Feb_20_2004	39.13	41.34	41.7	41.58	41.79	41.59	40.9(-2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-8	-20	-24	39	0.05	54%		13.7	1.25%	0	-0.8	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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