Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 7, 2004

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $40.6000 (-2.17%) ($40.4800 - $40.8200) on Wed. Jan. 7, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $40.6000(-2.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.56(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.02(1.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.3(0.74%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.03% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_7_2004	36.96		40.02	40.56	40.81	41.04	40.6(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	60	10	5	0.02	65%	0.16	5.4	1.14%	0	0.4	48	0
2	Jan_6_2004	36.9	40.3	39.87	40.36	40.53	41.19	41.5(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	37	130	54	-14	0.04	69%	0.19	3	1.1%	0	1.5	54	0
3	Jan_5_2004	36.83	40.24	39.77	40.03	40.11	40.59	41.08(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	35	90	58	-34	0.01	69%	0.16	0	1.1%	0	1.1	53	0
4	Jan_2_2004	36.77	40.21	39.79	39.68	39.77	39.88	40.16(1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	30	25	-65	0	68%	0.22	-2.7	1.08%	0	-0.1	45	0
5	Dec_31_2003	36.69	40.22	39.88	39.52	39.54	39.63	39.44(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	20	7	-75	0	68%	0.14	3.3	1.06%	0	-1.1	45	0

6	Dec_30_2003	36.64	40.26	40.02	39.4	39.46	39.66	39.6(-0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	40	20	-76	0.04	68%	0.14	9.5	1.08%	0	-0.9	42	0
7	Dec_29_2003	36.59	40.27	40.13	39.29	39.25	39.46	39.86(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-21	30	3	-93	0.02	68%	0.16	17.6	1.08%	0	-0.6	44	0
8	Dec_26_2003	36.53	40.24	40.19	39.48	39.16	39.25	39.34(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-40	-10	-23	-89	0.01	64%	0.22	31.9	1.08%	0	-1.2	43	0
9	Dec_24_2003	36.45	40.23	40.33	39.93	39.58	39.04	39.34(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-120	-35	-60	0	62%	0.14	51.3	1.08%	0	-1.1	41	0
10	Dec_23_2003	36.4	40.2	40.43	40.32	40.15	39.07	38.86(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-75	-200	-82	-54	0.03	61%	0.14	63.6	1.09%	0	-1.6	38	0

11	Dec_22_2003	36.35	40.19	40.63	40.72	40.73	40.12	39.04(-4.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-61	-100	-77	-13	0.01	59%	0.14	79.2	1.09%	0	-1.3	45	0
12	Dec_19_2003	36.3	40.15	40.82	41.05	41.14	41.23	40.8(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	20	-0	63	0.01	67%	0.17	81.7	0.94%	0	0.6	62	0
13	Dec_18_2003	36.24	39.99	40.78	40.98	41.1	41.33	41.6(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	49	50	33	95	0.02	72%	0.19	70.2	0.91%	0	1.4	79	0
14	Dec_17_2003	36.17	39.82	40.67	40.8	40.85	41.05	41.28(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	47	40	28	104	0	73%	0.19	70.3	0.91%	0	1.3	78	0
15	Dec_16_2003	36.1	39.66	40.59	40.59	40.65	40.86	40.88(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	40	19	113	0.01	72%	0.14	71.4	0.91%	0	1.1	79	0

16	Dec_15_2003	36.05	39.48	40.5	40.59	40.65	40.64	40.7(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	43	20	12	135	0	72%	0.17	69.3	0.91%	0	1	79	0
17	Dec_12_2003	35.99	39.34	40.42	40.55	40.5	40.43	40.46(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	45	-20	4	166	0.01	72%	0.17	72.6	0.91%	0	0.9	81	0
18	Dec_11_2003	35.93	39.21	40.28	40.53	40.5	40.35	40.7(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	37	-30	-12	185	0.01	72%	0.17	79.1	0.9%	0	1.2	86	0
19	Dec_10_2003	35.87	39.04	40.1	40.52	40.54	40.57	40.2(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	40	10	-14	200	0	68%	0.17	82.9	0.9%	0	0.9	71	0
20	Dec_9_2003	35.81	38.86	39.95	40.58	40.62	40.72	40.7(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	75	20	22	233	0.01	70%	0.17	82.1	0.9%	0	1.4	78	0

21	Dec_8_2003	35.75	38.66	39.72	40.44	40.53	40.52	40.7(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	73	0	17	241	0.02	71%	0.2	81.8	0.9%	0	1.6	82	0
22	Dec_5_2003	35.68	38.47	39.44	40.26	40.35	40.51	40.34(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	73	30	20	233	0.02	73%	0.17	84.3	0.9%	0	1.5	71	0
23	Dec_4_2003	35.62	38.27	39.16	39.98	40.18	40.54	40.64(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	302	80	297	315	0	73%	0.2	78.9	0.9%	0	1.9	74	0
24	Dec_3_2003	35.55	38.04	38.9	39.63	32.45	40.19	40.5(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	93	1130	56	202	0.01	74%	0.2	76.1	0.91%	0	2.1	77	0
25	Dec_2_2003	35.48	37.82	38.64	39.22	32.06	39.82	40(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	766	1150	852	506	0	73%		72.9	0.92%	0	2	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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