Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 24, 2003

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $39.3400 (1.24%) ($39.1000 - $39.3400) on Wed. Dec. 24, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $39.3400(1.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(73%)    IWM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $40.23
5 Day Moving Average   $39.93(-1.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.33(-2.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.23(-2.21%)
To recent high   -5.4%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.99% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040124

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_24_2003	36.45	40.23	40.33	39.93	39.58	39.04	39.34(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-120	-35	-60	0	62%	0.14	51.3	1.08%	0	-1.1	41	0
2	Dec_23_2003	36.4	40.2	40.43	40.32	40.15	39.07	38.86(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-75	-200	-82	-54	0.03	61%	0.14	63.6	1.09%	0	-1.6	38	0
3	Dec_22_2003	36.35	40.19	40.63	40.72	40.73	40.12	39.04(-4.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-61	-100	-77	-13	0.01	59%	0.14	79.2	1.09%	0	-1.3	45	0
4	Dec_19_2003	36.3	40.15	40.82	41.05	41.14	41.23	40.8(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	20	-0	63	0.01	67%	0.17	81.7	0.94%	0	0.6	62	0
5	Dec_18_2003	36.24	39.99	40.78	40.98	41.1	41.33	41.6(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	49	50	33	95	0.02	72%	0.19	70.2	0.91%	0	1.4	79	0

6	Dec_17_2003	36.17	39.82	40.67	40.8	40.85	41.05	41.28(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	47	40	28	104	0	73%	0.19	70.3	0.91%	0	1.3	78	0
7	Dec_16_2003	36.1	39.66	40.59	40.59	40.65	40.86	40.88(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	40	19	113	0.01	72%	0.14	71.4	0.91%	0	1.1	79	0
8	Dec_15_2003	36.05	39.48	40.5	40.59	40.65	40.64	40.7(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	43	20	12	135	0	72%	0.17	69.3	0.91%	0	1	79	0
9	Dec_12_2003	35.99	39.34	40.42	40.55	40.5	40.43	40.46(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	45	-20	4	166	0.01	72%	0.17	72.6	0.91%	0	0.9	81	0
10	Dec_11_2003	35.93	39.21	40.28	40.53	40.5	40.35	40.7(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	37	-30	-12	185	0.01	72%	0.17	79.1	0.9%	0	1.2	86	0

11	Dec_10_2003	35.87	39.04	40.1	40.52	40.54	40.57	40.2(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	40	10	-14	200	0	68%	0.17	82.9	0.9%	0	0.9	71	0
12	Dec_9_2003	35.81	38.86	39.95	40.58	40.62	40.72	40.7(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	75	20	22	233	0.01	70%	0.17	82.1	0.9%	0	1.4	78	0
13	Dec_8_2003	35.75	38.66	39.72	40.44	40.53	40.52	40.7(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	73	0	17	241	0.02	71%	0.2	81.8	0.9%	0	1.6	82	0
14	Dec_5_2003	35.68	38.47	39.44	40.26	40.35	40.51	40.34(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	73	30	20	233	0.02	73%	0.17	84.3	0.9%	0	1.5	71	0
15	Dec_4_2003	35.62	38.27	39.16	39.98	40.18	40.54	40.64(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	302	80	297	315	0	73%	0.2	78.9	0.9%	0	1.9	74	0

16	Dec_3_2003	35.55	38.04	38.9	39.63	32.45	40.19	40.5(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	93	1130	56	202	0.01	74%	0.2	76.1	0.91%	0	2.1	77	0
17	Dec_2_2003	35.48	37.82	38.64	39.22	32.06	39.82	40(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	766	1150	852	506	0	73%	0.14	72.9	0.92%	0	2	78	0
18	Dec_1_2003	35.43	37.63	38.37	38.89	31.68	24.72	39.84(2.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	85	-2090	57	169	0.01	73%	0.17	69.4	0.92%	0	2.2	77	0
19	Nov_28_2003	35.37	37.45	38.15	38.5	31.31	24.3	38.9(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-850	-2130	-1038	-285	0	71%	0.17	66.7	0.88%	0	1.6	68	0
20	Nov_26_2003	35.31	37.3	38.04	38.22	38.34	38.64	38.9(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	64	60	37	146	0	71%	0.11	60.6	0.88%	0	1.8	73	0

21	Nov_25_2003	35.27	37.17	37.87	38.07	38.04	38.32	38.48(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	56	50	25	147	0.01	68%	0.11	60.6	0.87%	0	1.6	71	0
22	Nov_24_2003	35.23	37.05	37.69	37.98	37.97	38.03	38.34(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	10	30	147	0.01	68%	0.11	60.6	0.89%	0	1.7	71	0
23	Nov_21_2003	35.19	36.94	37.52	37.98	37.9	37.77	37.86(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	26	-10	-6	122	0.01	62%	0.09	57.4	0.89%	0	1.3	69	0
24	Nov_20_2003	35.16	36.86	37.44	37.76	37.83	37.91	37.5(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	24	20	-12	132	0.01	61%	0.09	59.1	0.9%	0	0.9	63	0
25	Nov_19_2003	35.13	36.78	37.32	37.82	37.88	38.03	38.16(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	66	30	32	168	0	62%		61.1	0.87%	0	2	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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