Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 16, 2003

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $40.8800 (0.44%) ($40.8200 - $41.1400) on Tue. Dec. 16, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $40.8800(0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(73%)    IWM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.59(0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.59(0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.66(3.08%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.87% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.44%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.21%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.08%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2003	36.1	39.66	40.59	40.59	40.65	40.86	40.88(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	40	19	113	0.01	72%	0.14	71.4	0.91%	0	1.1	79	0
2	Dec_15_2003	36.05	39.48	40.5	40.59	40.65	40.64	40.7(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	43	20	12	135	0	72%	0.17	69.3	0.91%	0	1	79	0
3	Dec_12_2003	35.99	39.34	40.42	40.55	40.5	40.43	40.46(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	45	-20	4	166	0.01	72%	0.17	72.6	0.91%	0	0.9	81	0
4	Dec_11_2003	35.93	39.21	40.28	40.53	40.5	40.35	40.7(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	37	-30	-12	185	0.01	72%	0.17	79.1	0.9%	0	1.2	86	0
5	Dec_10_2003	35.87	39.04	40.1	40.52	40.54	40.57	40.2(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	40	10	-14	200	0	68%	0.17	82.9	0.9%	0	0.9	71	0

6	Dec_9_2003	35.81	38.86	39.95	40.58	40.62	40.72	40.7(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	75	20	22	233	0.01	70%	0.17	82.1	0.9%	0	1.4	78	0
7	Dec_8_2003	35.75	38.66	39.72	40.44	40.53	40.52	40.7(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	73	0	17	241	0.02	71%	0.2	81.8	0.9%	0	1.6	82	0
8	Dec_5_2003	35.68	38.47	39.44	40.26	40.35	40.51	40.34(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	73	30	20	233	0.02	73%	0.17	84.3	0.9%	0	1.5	71	0
9	Dec_4_2003	35.62	38.27	39.16	39.98	40.18	40.54	40.64(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	302	80	297	315	0	73%	0.2	78.9	0.9%	0	1.9	74	0
10	Dec_3_2003	35.55	38.04	38.9	39.63	32.45	40.19	40.5(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	93	1130	56	202	0.01	74%	0.2	76.1	0.91%	0	2.1	77	0

11	Dec_2_2003	35.48	37.82	38.64	39.22	32.06	39.82	40(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	766	1150	852	506	0	73%	0.14	72.9	0.92%	0	2	78	0
12	Dec_1_2003	35.43	37.63	38.37	38.89	31.68	24.72	39.84(2.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	85	-2090	57	169	0.01	73%	0.17	69.4	0.92%	0	2.2	77	0
13	Nov_28_2003	35.37	37.45	38.15	38.5	31.31	24.3	38.9(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-850	-2130	-1038	-285	0	71%	0.17	66.7	0.88%	0	1.6	68	0
14	Nov_26_2003	35.31	37.3	38.04	38.22	38.34	38.64	38.9(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	64	60	37	146	0	71%	0.11	60.6	0.88%	0	1.8	73	0
15	Nov_25_2003	35.27	37.17	37.87	38.07	38.04	38.32	38.48(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	56	50	25	147	0.01	68%	0.11	60.6	0.87%	0	1.6	71	0

16	Nov_24_2003	35.23	37.05	37.69	37.98	37.97	38.03	38.34(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	10	30	147	0.01	68%	0.11	60.6	0.89%	0	1.7	71	0
17	Nov_21_2003	35.19	36.94	37.52	37.98	37.9	37.77	37.86(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	26	-10	-6	122	0.01	62%	0.09	57.4	0.89%	0	1.3	69	0
18	Nov_20_2003	35.16	36.86	37.44	37.76	37.83	37.91	37.5(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	24	20	-12	132	0.01	61%	0.09	59.1	0.9%	0	0.9	63	0
19	Nov_19_2003	35.13	36.78	37.32	37.82	37.88	38.03	38.16(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	66	30	32	168	0	62%	0.11	61.1	0.87%	0	2	73	0
20	Nov_18_2003	35.09	36.67	37.13	37.64	37.76	38.03	38.02(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	55	10	24	147	0	62%	0.09	58.7	0.89%	0	2.1	70	0

21	Nov_17_2003	35.06	36.59	36.95	37.36	37.56	37.74	37.26(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	40	50	13	120	0	59%	0.09	55.3	0.86%	0	1.2	65	0
22	Nov_14_2003	35.03	36.53	36.84	37.24	37.32	37.78	37.84(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.1	65	90	45	124	0	63%	0.09	51	0.84%	0	2.5	74	0
23	Nov_13_2003	35	36.44	36.69	37.07	37.04	37.38	37.84(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	73	60	59	116	0	63%	0.06	50.4	0.84%	0	3.2	74	0
24	Nov_12_2003	34.98	36.36	36.5	36.76	36.84	36.85	37.26(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	42	10	30	76	0.01	60%	0.09	53	0.82%	0	3	73	0
25	Nov_11_2003	34.95	36.31	36.39	36.55	36.64	36.71	36.6(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	20	1	43	0	57%		62.3	0.8%	0	1.3	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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