Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 30, 2003

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $36.1000 (-0.28%) ($36.1000 - $36.4400) on Thu. Oct. 30, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.79% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $36.1000(-0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(73%)    IWM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-15%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)    XLU(50%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.395% (StdDev 0.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.19(-0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.18(-0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.09(0.03%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 0.91% (three month std-dev: 0.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_30_2003	34.9	36.09	36.18	36.19	29.42	22.66	36.1(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	5	-2170	8	-5	0	55%	0	92.3	0.79%	0	0	46	0
2	Oct_29_2003	34.9	36.04	36.2	36.19	29.39	22.59	36.2(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-949	-2180	-1116	-448	0	52%	0.06	80.6	0.79%	0	0.4	62	0
3	Oct_28_2003	34.88	36	36.2	36.16	36.12	36.19	36.2(-0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	10	-2	11	0.03	52%	0.03	69.5	0.81%	0	0.4	63	0
4	Oct_27_2003	34.87	35.93	36.2	36.2	36.11	36.18	36.24(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	10	8	27	0	52%	0.03	59.9	0.82%	0	0.6	62	0
5	Oct_24_2003	34.86	35.87	36.2	36.18	36.16	36.05	36.22(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-20	1	31	0	52%	0.03	51.3	0.82%	0	0.6	62	0

6	Oct_23_2003	34.85	35.79	36.22	36.17	36.18	36.04	35.92(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-30	-21	37	0	51%	0.03	40.7	0.81%	0	0.2	64	0
7	Oct_22_2003	34.84	35.75	36.21	36.26	36.2	36.27	36.2(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	10	-9	66	0	51%	0.03	40.5	0.81%	0	0.8	77	0
8	Oct_21_2003	34.83	35.68	36.17	36.3	36.2	36.31	36.4(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	0	15	90	0	51%	0.03	41.8	0.81%	0	1.2	74	0
9	Oct_20_2003	34.82	35.63	36.1	36.3	36.29	36.13	36.18(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-30	-8	99	0	51%	0.03	45.6	0.81%	0	1	79	0
10	Oct_17_2003	34.81	35.58	36.06	36.25	36.26	36.27	36.14(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	0	-13	113	0.01	54%	0.03	51	0.83%	0	1	71	0

11	Oct_16_2003	34.8	35.55	36	36.28	36.27	36.45	36.36(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	55	30	23	149	0.01	54%	0.06	61.8	0.83%	0	1.5	78	0
12	Oct_15_2003	34.78	35.5	35.87	36.16	36.18	36.25	36.4(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	20	22	137	0.01	54%	0.06	66.7	0.84%	0	1.8	68	0
13	Oct_14_2003	34.76	35.44	35.76	36.02	36.07	36.1	36.18(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	37	10	7	126	0	54%	0.06	69.6	0.84%	0	1.5	68	0
14	Oct_13_2003	34.74	35.37	35.61	35.93	36.01	36.12	36.18(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	30	15	110	0	54%	0.06	67.7	0.84%	0	1.7	59	0
15	Oct_10_2003	34.72	35.3	35.49	35.85	35.89	36.03	36.26(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	30	23	96	0	56%	0.09	68	0.86%	0	2.2	61	0

16	Oct_9_2003	34.69	35.22	35.32	35.69	35.76	35.9	35.76(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	30	22	61	0	54%	0.09	72.1	0.85%	0	1.4	49	0
17	Oct_8_2003	34.66	35.17	35.24	35.55	35.65	35.75	35.7(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	30	20	37	0	54%	0.06	68.4	0.86%	0	1.3	52	0
18	Oct_7_2003	34.64	35.1	35.16	35.46	35.47	35.61	35.76(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	23	30	22	24	0.03	54%	0.09	72.1	0.86%	0	1.7	57	0
19	Oct_6_2003	34.61	35.05	35.1	35.24	35.33	35.56	35.76(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	27	50	32	13	0	54%	0.09	78.3	0.86%	0	1.9	61	0
20	Oct_3_2003	34.58	35	35.05	35.07	35.12	35.32	35.46(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	40	30	2	0.01	51%	0.06	89	0.86%	0	1.3	58	0

21	Oct_2_2003	34.56	34.94	35.06	34.9	34.94	35.1	35.06(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	40	15	-8	0	51%	0.09	76.9	0.88%	0	0.3	54	0
22	Oct_1_2003	34.53	34.89	35.1	34.89	34.94	34.92	35.28(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	20	12	4	0.04	49%	0.09	77.5	0.9%	0	0.9	59	0
23	Sep_30_2003	34.5	34.82	35.08	34.81	34.81	34.79	34.64(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-0	-7	1	0.01	45%	0.06	66.5	0.89%	0	-0.3	57	0
24	Sep_29_2003	34.48	34.76	35.08	34.94	34.91	34.71	34.9(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-9	-40	-16	11	0.03	45%	0.06	73.9	0.89%	0	0.3	52	0
25	Sep_26_2003	34.46	34.69	35.1	35.02	35.03	34.83	34.6(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-24	-40	-36	14	0	43%		66.8	0.9%	0	-0.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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