Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $26.4900 (0.08%) ($26.4100 - $26.5400) on Wed. Jun. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $26.4900(0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    VT(82%)    IWD(79%)    SPY(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-25%)    TLT(-18%)    IPO(-5%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.25(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.12(1.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.79(2.71%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 1.17%(53%) Average negative next day return: -0.89%(47%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 1.28%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -0.97%(60%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 1.81%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.51%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160708

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_8_2016	25.06	25.79	26.12	26.25	26.3	26.5	26.49(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	60	20	112	1.39	61%	0.12	34.4	1.04%	0	1.8	75	0
2	Jun_7_2016	25.03	25.77	26.03	26.14	26.16	26.33	26.47(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	45	50	24	107	5.07	61%	0.04	29.2	1.05%	0	1.9	74	0
3	Jun_6_2016	25.02	25.73	25.9	26.03	26	26.1	26.16(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	20	8	80	3.33	59%	0.12	14.1	1.05%	0	1.3	60	0
4	Jun_3_2016	24.99	25.71	25.82	26	26	25.99	26.12(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	0	5	74	3.04	59%	0.08	5	1.05%	0	1.3	63	0
5	Jun_2_2016	24.97	25.68	25.72	25.99	25.97	25.91	26(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	-20	-1	62	4.43	59%	0.04	-7.7	1.05%	0	1.1	57	0

6	Jun_1_2016	24.96	25.68	25.65	25.96	26.01	25.96	25.96(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10	3	50	4.08	66%	0.04	-24.8	1.05%	0	1	50	0
7	May_31_2016	24.95	25.66	25.59	25.89	26	26.02	25.93(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	20	13	31	4.63	59%	0.12	-37.2	1.07%	0	0.9	45	0
8	May_27_2016	24.92	25.68	25.56	25.74	25.87	26.06	26(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	70	19	11	1.68	66%	0.04	-40.7	1.16%	0	0.9	52	0
9	May_26_2016	24.91	25.69	25.5	25.6	25.65	25.98	26.08(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	22	100	31	-5	2.46	66%	0.04	-52	1.17%	0	1	54	0
10	May_25_2016	24.9	25.7	25.44	25.41	25.45	25.67	25.85(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	13	70	26	-28	3.97	66%	0.04	-65	1.16%	0	0.4	55	0

11	May_24_2016	24.89	25.73	25.43	25.31	25.26	25.33	25.6(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	10	9	-45	7.28	66%	0	-70.2	1.16%	0	-0.3	48	0
12	May_23_2016	24.89	25.77	25.48	25.26	25.22	25.23	25.18(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-0	-6	-56	6.6	58%	0	-75.4	1.16%	0	-1.3	34	0
13	May_20_2016	24.89	25.83	25.54	25.35	25.29	25.18	25.31(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-40	-4	-58	6.01	58%	-0.04	-67.8	1.18%	0	-1.2	30	0
14	May_19_2016	24.9	25.89	25.58	25.37	25.35	25.21	25.1(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-40	-18	-70	4.76	58%	-0.04	-58.4	1.19%	0	-1.7	33	0
15	May_18_2016	24.91	25.97	25.63	25.48	25.47	25.4	25.34(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-20	-13	-73	6.61	58%	-0.08	-46.2	1.18%	0	-1.4	33	0

16	May_17_2016	24.93	26.04	25.67	25.58	25.56	25.5	25.35(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-20	-14	-79	4.4	62%	-0.08	-30.1	1.18%	0	-1.5	31	0
17	May_16_2016	24.95	26.11	25.74	25.73	25.68	25.53	25.63(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-50	-10	-68	4.05	64%	0.04	-8.7	1.2%	0	-1.1	37	0
18	May_13_2016	24.94	26.14	25.83	25.77	25.8	25.63	25.45(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-40	-14	-65	5.23	64%	-0.04	4.5	1.2%	0	-1.7	35	0
19	May_12_2016	24.95	26.16	25.91	25.82	25.89	25.83	25.61(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10	-4	-61	9.94	64%	-0.08	18.1	1.21%	0	-1.4	34	0
20	May_11_2016	24.97	26.16	25.98	25.81	25.86	25.96	25.86(-0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	30	5	-64	8.03	64%	0	32.4	1.21%	0	-0.8	35	0

21	May_10_2016	24.97	26.18	26.05	25.78	25.77	25.95	26.09(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-10	50	10	-71	5.46	64%	0	35	1.2%	0	-0.2	36	0
22	May_9_2016	24.97	26.15	26.08	25.77	25.7	25.76	25.82(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	10	-3	-84	3.77	64%	-0.04	36.9	1.2%	0	-0.7	30	0
23	May_6_2016	24.98	26.12	26.14	25.91	25.76	25.59	25.73(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-60	-14	-68	8.51	58%	0	39.5	1.24%	0	-0.8	47	0
24	May_5_2016	24.98	26.09	26.22	26.01	25.97	25.65	25.55(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-90	-26	-52	6.39	55%	-0.04	34.8	1.25%	0	-0.9	50	0
25	May_4_2016	24.99	26.06	26.33	26.18	26.15	25.93	25.71(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-60	-29	-23	9.27	55%		33.2	1.27%	0	-0.6	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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