Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $25.4000 (-0.47%) ($25.3800 - $25.6100) on Mon. Apr. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $25.4000(-0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    VT(82%)    IWD(79%)    SPY(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    UUP(-25%)    TLT(-19%)    IPO(-5%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.63(-0.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.51(-0.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.25(0.59%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.94% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.52%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.86%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 0.9%(22%) Average negative next three day return: -1.28%(78%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.17%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.12%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2016	25.14	25.25	25.51	25.63	25.66	25.42	25.4(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-60	-4	19	4.83	50%	0	73.7	1.4%	0	0.3	55	INF
2	Apr_1_2016	25.14	25.21	25.51	25.6	25.63	25.6	25.52(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-0	-6	22	5.74	50%	-0.04	78.2	1.44%	0	0.6	61	INF
3	Mar_31_2016	25.15	25.15	25.52	25.53	25.6	25.9	25.73(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	90	16	44	4.35	48%	-0.04	80.7	1.44%	0	1.1	78	INF
4	Mar_30_2016	25.16	25.08	25.5	25.47	25.43	25.65	25.93(1.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	29	60	19	58	4.46	46%	0	82.8	1.45%	0	1.6	79	INF
5	Mar_29_2016	25.16	25	25.42	25.39	25.32	25.3	25.59(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	18	-10	4	58	3.38	48%	-0.04	85.4	1.46%	0	1.1	78	INF

6	Mar_28_2016	25.17	24.89	25.38	25.38	25.34	25.2	25.24(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-40	-9	65	1.91	48%	-0.16	68.6	1.45%	0	0.6	67	INF
7	Mar_24_2016	25.21	24.81	25.37	25.44	25.4	25.33	25.17(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-20	-10	81	2.31	48%	-0.08	62.2	1.45%	0	0.5	64	INF
8	Mar_23_2016	25.23	24.74	25.3	25.51	25.49	25.47	25.43(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10	0	90	3.43	49%	-0.08	60.3	1.45%	0	0.9	71	INF
9	Mar_22_2016	25.25	24.64	25.19	25.52	25.47	25.46	25.52(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	26	-10	2	97	3.6	49%	-0.08	57.3	1.46%	0	1.2	77	INF
10	Mar_21_2016	25.27	24.55	25.07	25.45	25.44	25.52	25.52(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	20	7	94	6.03	49%	-0.04	59.2	1.46%	0	1.4	76	INF

11	Mar_18_2016	25.28	24.48	24.97	25.39	25.34	25.47	25.55(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	30	10	108	8.1	48%	-0.08	66.9	1.47%	0	1.6	84	INF
12	Mar_17_2016	25.3	24.39	24.87	25.3	25.26	25.37	25.51(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	30	22	122	4.88	48%	-0.08	75.2	1.47%	0	1.8	76	INF
13	Mar_16_2016	25.32	24.31	24.76	25.05	25.15	25.2	25.52(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	42	30	19	112	4.88	50%	-0.04	78.7	1.47%	0	2.1	76	INF
14	Mar_15_2016	25.33	24.23	24.62	24.81	24.93	25.16	25.13(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	80	15	102	2.91	48%	-0.08	81.2	1.48%	0	1.7	76	INF
15	Mar_14_2016	25.35	24.14	24.53	24.64	24.75	25.1	25.24(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	45	110	26	100	3.92	48%	-0.08	82.6	1.48%	0	2.2	70	INF

16	Mar_11_2016	25.37	24.03	24.34	24.49	24.54	24.71	25.11(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	50	19	73	9.92	46%	-0.08	73	1.48%	0	2.3	60	INF
17	Mar_10_2016	25.39	23.92	24.2	24.38	24.39	24.41	24.25(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	10	-2	54	24.5	42%	-0.08	57.1	1.44%	0	0.7	56	INF
18	Mar_9_2016	25.41	23.86	24.14	24.42	24.43	24.37	24.34(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-20	2	56	4.83	42%	-0.08	46.7	1.44%	0	1	55	INF
19	Mar_8_2016	25.43	23.79	24.05	24.42	24.42	24.38	24.24(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10	-3	45	4.24	41%	-0.08	37.4	1.43%	0	0.9	55	INF
20	Mar_7_2016	25.45	23.73	24	24.39	24.36	24.49	24.49(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	30	15	57	8.48	41%	-0.08	26	1.44%	0	1.4	65	INF

21	Mar_4_2016	25.47	23.69	23.96	24.17	24.28	24.47	24.56(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	70	25	56	6.23	41%	-0.08	8.5	1.45%	0	1.7	70	INF
22	Mar_3_2016	25.49	23.65	23.88	23.99	23.99	24.23	24.46(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	70	17	51	3.13	41%	-0.08	-2.6	1.45%	0	1.8	71	INF
23	Mar_2_2016	25.51	23.63	23.82	23.83	23.84	24.09	24.22(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	70	25	55	4.34	40%	-0.08	-14	1.44%	0	1.3	66	INF
24	Mar_1_2016	25.53	23.63	23.79	23.66	23.7	23.75	24.24(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	25	20	16	51	5.03	40%	-0.08	-33.7	1.46%	0	1.5	67	INF
25	Feb_29_2016	25.55	23.6	23.71	23.55	23.49	23.59	23.36(-1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	20	-14	40	4.08	35%		-36.8	1.36%	0	-0.6	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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