Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $26.9800 (1.05%) ($26.9300 - $27.1200) on Thu. Nov. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $26.9800(1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    VT(82%)    SPY(80%)    IWD(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-23%)    TLT(-20%)    SHY(-3%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.47(1.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.5(1.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.79(0.71%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.42% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.6%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.99%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_19_2015	26.89	26.79	26.5	26.47	26.55	26.81	26.98(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	80	23	-43	4.69	39%	-0.04	1.4	1.34%	0	0.5	46	0
2	Nov_18_2015	26.9	26.78	26.48	26.34	26.32	26.52	26.7(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	50	12	-63	4.22	39%	-0.04	-3.4	1.34%	0	-0.2	43	0
3	Nov_17_2015	26.91	26.77	26.49	26.34	26.25	26.29	26.38(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	0	6	-75	8.32	39%	-0.07	-3.3	1.34%	0	-1	36	0
4	Nov_16_2015	26.93	26.76	26.58	26.3	26.28	26.11	26.26(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-50	-8	-75	3.6	39%	-0.11	0	1.34%	0	-1.2	39	0
5	Nov_13_2015	26.96	26.77	26.7	26.35	26.33	26.21	26.05(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-30	-21	-73	3.43	39%	-0.11	3.2	1.34%	0	-1.7	31	0

6	Nov_12_2015	26.99	26.77	26.81	26.52	26.45	26.21	26.31(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10	-10	-55	5.28	39%	-0.11	15.4	1.33%	0	-1.2	34	0
7	Nov_11_2015	27.02	26.79	26.89	26.64	26.58	26.45	26.49(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-40	-6	-39	3.52	37%	-0.15	27.5	1.34%	0	-0.7	48	0
8	Nov_10_2015	27.06	26.78	26.96	26.71	26.68	26.46	26.41(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-60	-23	-28	3.56	37%	-0.11	32.9	1.36%	0	-0.8	55	0
9	Nov_9_2015	27.09	26.78	27.02	26.9	26.83	26.72	26.48(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-17	-40	-22	-1	3.83	37%	-0.11	49.4	1.37%	0	-0.6	57	0
10	Nov_6_2015	27.12	26.76	27.09	27.11	27	26.9	26.92(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-40	-6	39	2.6	38%	-0.07	70.9	1.36%	0	0.3	65	0

11	Nov_5_2015	27.14	26.72	27.12	27.14	27.17	26.93	26.91(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-60	-9	56	2.77	38%	-0.07	84.4	1.36%	0	0.4	65	0
12	Nov_4_2015	27.16	26.68	27.11	27.17	27.22	27.11	26.85(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-20	-15	63	3.72	38%	-0.07	95.8	1.37%	0	0.3	61	0
13	Nov_3_2015	27.18	26.63	27.07	27.23	27.24	27.41	27.33(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	40	8	85	2.56	40%	-0.07	101.4	1.35%	0	1.3	76	0
14	Nov_2_2015	27.2	26.54	26.97	27.15	27.2	27.34	27.52(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	35	40	17	87	2.56	40%	-0.04	100.9	1.35%	0	1.7	81	0
15	Oct_30_2015	27.21	26.43	26.84	27.08	27.06	27.07	27.11(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	0	-1	77	3.89	37%	-0.11	99.6	1.34%	0	1.1	68	0

16	Oct_29_2015	27.24	26.33	26.76	27.1	27.07	27.06	27.05(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10	3	82	2.54	37%	-0.07	91.1	1.34%	0	1	67	0
17	Oct_28_2015	27.26	26.2	26.69	27.04	27.12	27.05	27.13(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10	10	86	8.47	37%	-0.07	84.6	1.34%	0	1.2	72	0
18	Oct_27_2015	27.28	26.09	26.58	26.88	27	27.09	26.93(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	40	7	74	1.81	37%	-0.07	76.2	1.35%	0	1.1	74	0
19	Oct_26_2015	27.3	25.96	26.49	26.75	26.87	27.18	27.2(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	39	90	26	78	1.08	37%	-0.04	67.5	1.35%	0	1.5	84	0
20	Oct_23_2015	27.31	25.82	26.39	26.56	26.63	26.91	27.2(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	41	80	29	78	4.36	37%	-0.07	56.4	1.36%	0	1.7	85	0

21	Oct_22_2015	27.33	25.69	26.28	26.37	26.41	26.55	26.75(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	30	40	14	78	6.19	34%	-0.15	46.3	1.34%	0	1.4	86	0
22	Oct_21_2015	27.37	25.58	26.21	26.29	26.29	26.36	26.33(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	29	20	7	94	1.68	30%	-0.07	31.3	1.33%	0	1	87	0
23	Oct_20_2015	27.39	25.5	26.16	26.24	26.25	26.27	26.26(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	10	6	108	1.37	30%	-0.11	17.8	1.33%	0	1	79	0
24	Oct_19_2015	27.42	25.41	26.09	26.24	26.2	26.27	26.27(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	10	2	121	2.98	30%	-0.11	5.2	1.33%	0	1.2	81	0
25	Oct_16_2015	27.45	25.37	26	26.18	26.13	26.23	26.24(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	20	2	140	1.11	30%		0.4	1.33%	0	1.2	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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