Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 7, 2015

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $28.7600 (-0.31%) ($28.5800 - $28.7900) on Fri. Aug. 7, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $28.7600(-0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    VT(82%)    SPY(79%)    IVE(78%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    UUP(-22%)    TLT(-21%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.7(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.45(1.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.6(0.56%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.08% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.08%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.29%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.35%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.72%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.12%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150907

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_7_2015	29.38		28.45	28.7	28.74	28.78	28.76(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	10	2	6	3.12	53%	-0.03	80.6	1.45%	0	0.5	43	0
2	Aug_6_2015	29.39	28.6	28.39	28.61	28.71	28.85	28.85(0.03%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	10	40	15	-4	2.01	54%	-0.03	68.4	1.45%	0	0.6	48	0
3	Aug_5_2015	29.4	28.54	28.37	28.46	28.59	28.71	28.84(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	40	16	-21	4.14	52%	-0.03	40	1.46%	0	0.6	45	0
4	Aug_4_2015	29.41	28.45	28.34	28.33	28.37	28.57	28.52(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	50	7	-36	1.79	52%	-0.03	23.2	1.47%	0	0.1	45	0
5	Aug_3_2015	29.42	28.4	28.37	28.28	28.29	28.47	28.53(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	50	18	-36	3.68	52%	-0.03	13.9	1.47%	0	0.2	43	0

6	Jul_31_2015	29.43	28.35	28.41	28.16	28.19	28.17	28.33(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-0	5	-49	7.15	53%	-0.03	-6.1	1.48%	0	-0	41	0
7	Jul_30_2015	29.44	28.35	28.46	28.14	28.1	28.11	28.06(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-0	-11	-58	2.61	53%	-0.03	-15.6	1.48%	0	-0.5	33	0
8	Jul_29_2015	29.45	28.34	28.55	28.26	28.21	28.2	28.22(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10	-3	-28	4.82	51%	0	-20.8	1.48%	0	-0.2	63	0
9	Jul_28_2015	29.45	28.33	28.61	28.35	28.33	28.09	28.24(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-60	-13	-3	2.55	51%	-0.03	-31.2	1.49%	0	-0.1	69	0
10	Jul_27_2015	29.46	28.32	28.68	28.48	28.45	28.22	27.93(-1.13%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-15	-60	-27	21	5.67	53%	-0.03	-39.1	1.48%	0	-0.6	60	0

11	Jul_24_2015	29.47	28.39	28.77	28.7	28.67	28.58	28.25(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-30	-12	63	8.47	53%	-0.07	-26.7	1.5%	0	-0.2	64	0
12	Jul_23_2015	29.49	28.43	28.84	28.82	28.82	28.68	28.66(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-30	-7	88	5.58	53%	-0.03	-21.6	1.49%	0	0.3	58	0
13	Jul_22_2015	29.5	28.47	28.74	28.89	28.85	28.76	28.69(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-30	-9	88	2.09	53%	0	-12.4	1.49%	0	0.3	57	0
14	Jul_21_2015	29.5	28.52	28.59	28.89	28.96	28.76	28.89(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	0	1	84	7.41	53%	-0.03	-4.4	1.49%	0	0.5	61	0
15	Jul_20_2015	29.51	28.52	28.45	28.9	28.93	28.95	29(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	10	2	78	7.98	53%	-0.03	2.1	1.49%	0	0.5	59	0

16	Jul_17_2015	29.52	28.56	28.29	28.86	28.88	28.97	28.86(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	20	2	50	7.18	51%	-0.03	-0.7	1.49%	0	0.4	44	0
17	Jul_16_2015	29.53	28.57	28.2	28.87	28.86	28.91	29(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	10	19	43	3.85	51%	0	-2	1.52%	0	0.5	47	0
18	Jul_15_2015	29.53	28.56	28.11	28.57	28.8	28.79	28.77(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	20	21	3	5.3	51%	-0.03	-16.3	1.52%	0	0.3	41	0
19	Jul_14_2015	29.54	28.56	28.01	28.22	28.51	28.81	28.88(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	100	23	-49	11.1	51%	-0.03	-27.2	1.52%	0	0.4	39	0
20	Jul_13_2015	29.55	28.55	27.92	27.93	28.07	28.8	28.79(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	10	200	42	-88	8.78	51%	-0.03	-36.7	1.52%	0	0.3	38	0

21	Jul_10_2015	29.56	28.56	27.92	27.64	27.65	28.2	28.89(4.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	5	140	43	-108	6.89	51%	0	-44	1.52%	0	0.4	49	0
22	Jul_9_2015	29.56	28.59	27.95	27.47	27.3	27.34	27.54(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	-10	0	-155	5.06	46%	-0.03	-48	1.39%	0	-1.2	36	0
23	Jul_8_2015	29.57	28.69	28.14	27.59	27.41	27.1	27.01(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-53	-100	-21	-147	6	44%	-0.1	-47	1.37%	0	-2	38	0
24	Jul_7_2015	29.6	28.78	28.43	27.76	27.7	27.25	27.43(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-54	-120	-30	-124	16.28	45%	-0.07	-50.4	1.36%	0	-1.8	40	0
25	Jul_6_2015	29.62	28.86	28.68	27.9	27.94	27.73	27.34(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-56	-50	-40	-103	9.11	45%		-52.3	1.36%	0	-2.2	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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