Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $28.6000 (0.81%) ($28.5200 - $28.6800) on Tue. Nov. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $28.6000(0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    VT(82%)    SPY(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    UUP(-22%)    TLT(-21%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.06(1.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.59(3.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.29(4.8%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   12.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.91% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 25 Average positive next day return: 1.44%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.78%(40%) Sample size 25 Average positive next three day return: 2.65%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.38%(44%) Sample size 25 Average positive next weekly return: 2.92%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.87%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_25_2014	28.29	27.29	27.59	28.06	28.12	28.45	28.6(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	56	90	32	126	5.81	52%	-0.11	78.5	1.08%	0	2.5	76	0
2	Nov_24_2014	28.32	27.2	27.43	27.87	27.89	28.16	28.37(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	60	70	41	115	3.49	52%	0	83.4	1.08%	0	2.5	76	0
3	Nov_21_2014	28.32	27.09	27.29	27.59	27.7	27.79	27.98(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	42	30	29	82	4.61	50%	-0.11	81.9	1.07%	0	2.3	71	0
4	Nov_20_2014	28.35	27.02	27.18	27.38	27.43	27.63	27.67(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	60	17	48	2.37	49%	-0.14	82.5	1.06%	0	1.9	57	0
5	Nov_19_2014	28.39	26.96	27.11	27.22	27.25	27.62	27.66(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	39	100	37	43	1.95	49%	-0.14	79.9	1.06%	0	1.9	64	0

6	Nov_18_2014	28.43	26.88	27.04	27.04	27.03	27.24	27.65(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	29	50	30	25	3.72	50%	-0.14	77.2	1.06%	0	2.3	66	0
7	Nov_17_2014	28.47	26.82	26.96	26.94	26.83	26.87	26.99(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	0	-0	0	1	2.44	47%	-0.14	80.7	1.03%	0	0.5	51	0
8	Nov_14_2014	28.51	26.78	26.95	26.95	26.87	26.83	26.92(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-20	2	14	6.72	47%	-0.14	81.1	1.03%	0	0.4	61	0
9	Nov_13_2014	28.55	26.74	26.95	26.94	26.91	26.78	26.89(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-40	-9	22	3.75	48%	-0.17	70.7	1.03%	0	0.4	57	0
10	Nov_12_2014	28.6	26.68	26.95	26.97	26.92	26.92	26.75(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-10	-13	31	3.46	47%	-0.17	59.1	1.04%	0	0.1	55	0

11	Nov_11_2014	28.65	26.63	26.98	27.03	27.01	27.04	27.17(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	10	11	61	3.69	49%	-0.17	48.4	1.03%	0	1.1	69	0
12	Nov_10_2014	28.7	26.57	26.95	26.97	26.99	26.92	27(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-20	-2	60	1.73	49%	-0.17	38.8	1.03%	0	0.9	59	0
13	Nov_7_2014	28.75	26.5	26.89	26.96	26.97	26.98	26.89(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	0	-9	61	3.55	49%	-0.17	26.5	1.05%	0	0.8	62	0
14	Nov_6_2014	28.8	26.45	26.86	27.02	26.99	27.07	27.05(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	20	8	85	4.06	49%	-0.21	19.2	1.05%	0	1.2	63	0
15	Nov_5_2014	28.86	26.4	26.81	26.98	27	26.95	27.02(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10	8	103	1.57	47%	-0.17	9.5	1.05%	0	1.2	70	0

16	Nov_4_2014	28.91	26.39	26.72	26.92	27	26.92	26.88(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	0	-7	96	2.78	47%	-0.17	2.7	1.07%	0	1	65	0
17	Nov_3_2014	28.96	26.39	26.67	26.93	26.9	27.05	26.94(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	43	40	17	121	4	47%	-0.14	-7.5	1.07%	0	1.2	63	0
18	Oct_31_2014	29	26.37	26.59	26.81	26.87	26.88	27.23(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	10	22	117	5.7	44%	-0.17	-21.5	1.08%	0	1.8	68	0
19	Oct_30_2014	29.05	26.37	26.48	26.67	26.65	26.74	26.84(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	25	20	-1	101	2.93	42%	-0.17	-38.7	1.1%	0	1	65	0
20	Oct_29_2014	29.1	26.35	26.35	26.62	26.62	26.85	26.69(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	60	25	94	6.55	42%	-0.21	-47.7	1.09%	0	0.7	54	0

21	Oct_28_2014	29.16	26.38	26.26	26.49	26.53	26.56	26.95(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	10	20	54	5.76	42%	-0.17	-58.5	1.09%	0	1	47	0
22	Oct_27_2014	29.21	26.41	26.14	26.38	26.37	26.39	26.34(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	0	-3	22	3.23	39%	-0.2	-64.9	1.05%	0	-0.1	47	0
23	Oct_24_2014	29.27	26.47	26.08	26.33	26.39	26.51	26.55(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	13	40	17	-0	5.58	37%	-0.2	-67.6	1.05%	0	0.1	44	0
24	Oct_23_2014	29.33	26.54	26	26.26	26.25	26.35	26.55(1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	30	22	-34	6.11	37%	-0.17	-71.4	1.06%	0	0	43	0
25	Oct_22_2014	29.38	26.61	25.96	26.05	26.15	26.26	26.04(-1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-7	40	18	-81	3.53	34%		-75.7	1.02%	0	-0.6	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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