Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 2, 2014

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $31.4100 (-0.1%) ($31.3500 - $31.4600) on Wed. Jul. 2, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $31.4100(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    VT(82%)    SPY(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    UUP(-22%)    TLT(-22%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $29.28(-6.78%)
Resistance Level   $31.81
5 Day Moving Average   $31.29(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.59(-0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.81(-1.26%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.19% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.73%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.08%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.36%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.14%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.45%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140802

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_2_2014	31.36	31.81	31.59	31.29	31.3	31.4	31.41(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	20	11	-79	3.34	60%	0	-53.8	0.75%	0	-1.1	39	0
2	Jul_1_2014	31.36	31.84	31.66	31.26	31.21	31.33	31.44(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	20	2	-82	5.23	60%	0.03	-56.9	0.75%	0	-1.1	39	0
3	Jun_30_2014	31.35	31.87	31.71	31.36	31.17	31.19	31.28(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-10	-13	-83	5.1	60%	0.03	-54	0.74%	0	-1.6	30	0
4	Jun_27_2014	31.34	31.91	31.77	31.51	31.35	31.08	31.22(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-80	-28	-77	1.28	63%	0.03	-38.3	0.76%	0	-2	28	0
5	Jun_26_2014	31.33	31.96	31.83	31.7	31.57	31.14	31.09(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2	-65	-110	-61	-77	3.38	63%	0.06	-17	0.76%	0	-2.9	22	0

6	Jun_25_2014	31.31	32.02	31.92	31.93	31.86	31.61	31.29(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-50	-60	-50	-50	3.33	66%	0.03	18.8	0.76%	0	-3.3	28	0
7	Jun_24_2014	31.3	32.05	31.99	32.11	32.12	31.99	31.93(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	-30	-8	-11	4.55	74%	0.1	76	0.73%	0	-0.7	51	0
8	Jun_23_2014	31.27	32.06	32.02	32.1	32.14	32.11	32.01(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-0	-6	-6	3.37	74%	0.06	98	0.73%	0	-0.3	53	0
9	Jun_20_2014	31.25	32.04	32.04	32.07	32.1	32.26	32.19(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	40	16	1	2.48	74%	0.06	84.7	0.73%	0	0.8	52	0
10	Jun_19_2014	31.23	32.01	32.05	31.99	32.01	32.18	32.25(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	21	40	28	-1	2.81	74%	0.06	63.8	0.73%	0	1.1	52	0

11	Jun_18_2014	31.21	31.97	32.04	31.92	31.88	31.94	32.17(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	7	10	13	-13	5.63	74%	0.06	48	0.74%	0	0.8	52	0
12	Jun_17_2014	31.19	31.93	32.02	31.86	31.85	31.84	31.89(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-0	-6	-28	3.96	76%	0.03	27.5	0.74%	0	-0.1	50	0
13	Jun_16_2014	31.18	31.91	32.03	31.92	31.88	31.83	31.84(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10	-12	-27	2.8	76%	0.03	26.8	0.77%	0	-0.2	41	0
14	Jun_13_2014	31.17	31.89	32.06	32	31.96	31.86	31.78(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-30	-18	-7	5.37	65%	0.03	32	0.78%	0	-0.3	58	0
15	Jun_12_2014	31.16	31.87	32.1	32.12	32.06	31.93	31.9(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-30	-16	21	3.01	65%	0	41.1	0.86%	0	0.1	63	0

16	Jun_11_2014	31.16	31.86	32.12	32.19	32.16	32.05	31.91(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-30	-11	44	1.52	65%	0.03	48.2	0.87%	0	0.1	63	0
17	Jun_10_2014	31.15	31.85	32.13	32.2	32.2	32.2	32.19(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	0	2	66	4.9	68%	0.03	55.5	0.86%	0	1	75	0
18	Jun_9_2014	31.14	31.82	32.12	32.15	32.14	32.27	32.23(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	30	7	78	1.24	68%	0	57.9	0.87%	0	1.2	70	0
19	Jun_6_2014	31.14	31.78	32.06	32.12	32.09	32.21	32.35(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	20	16	83	2.04	68%	0.03	55.1	0.88%	0	1.7	74	0
20	Jun_5_2014	31.13	31.73	31.97	32.08	32.03	32.02	32.25(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10	4	75	3.4	68%	0.03	50.5	0.89%	0	1.6	68	0

21	Jun_4_2014	31.12	31.69	31.9	32.05	32.04	31.97	31.96(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-20	-5	68	2.61	70%	0	48.4	0.88%	0	0.9	58	0
22	Jun_3_2014	31.12	31.66	31.83	32.04	32.04	32.05	31.96(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-0	-6	57	3.79	60%	0.06	44.9	0.92%	0	1	55	0
23	Jun_2_2014	31.1	31.63	31.78	32.08	32.04	32.11	32.09(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	10	8	56	1.02	60%	0.03	53.7	1.02%	0	1.5	57	0
24	May_30_2014	31.09	31.59	31.7	31.98	32.06	32.08	32.14(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	10	16	48	3.24	60%	0.03	56.2	1.03%	0	2	67	0
25	May_29_2014	31.08	31.57	31.63	31.84	31.91	32.01	32.09(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	30	10	33	1.71	60%		57	1.04%	0	2.1	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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