Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 28, 2014

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $31.9400 (-0.65%) ($31.8800 - $32.0400) on Wed. May. 28, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $31.9400(-0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    VT(82%)    SPY(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    UUP(-22%)    TLT(-22%)    SHY(-3%)    DIA(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.72(0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.57(1.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.54(1.27%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 0.7% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.16%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.22%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.64%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140628

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_28_2014	31.07	31.54	31.57	31.72	31.76	32.04	31.94(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	25	70	23	29	1.57	60%	0.03	55.7	1.04%	0	1.8	58	0
2	May_27_2014	31.06	31.52	31.54	31.58	31.62	31.82	32.15(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	30	50	31	26	2.32	60%	0.06	38.8	1.05%	0	3	68	0
3	May_23_2014	31.04	31.47	31.49	31.43	31.42	31.49	31.56(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	10	7	6	1.5	56%	0.03	21.9	1%	0	0.4	53	0
4	May_22_2014	31.03	31.44	31.47	31.43	31.38	31.43	31.48(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	10	6	-1	1.08	56%	0	14.1	1.01%	0	0.2	50	0
5	May_21_2014	31.03	31.43	31.46	31.38	31.33	31.34	31.47(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-3	-0	-1	-10	4.51	56%	0	25	1.02%	0	0.2	44	0

6	May_20_2014	31.03	31.42	31.46	31.41	31.34	31.34	31.25(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-10	-9	-13	1.55	56%	0	56.3	1.01%	0	-0.9	40	0
7	May_19_2014	31.03	31.43	31.46	31.5	31.44	31.32	31.39(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-30	-9	-7	1.03	56%	0	83.6	1.01%	0	-0.2	50	0
8	May_16_2014	31.03	31.42	31.47	31.5	31.53	31.36	31.32(-0.41%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-9	-40	-13	3	6	56%	-0.03	104.5	1.01%	0	-0.5	56	0
9	May_15_2014	31.04	31.41	31.49	31.57	31.63	31.56	31.45(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-10	-5	15	10.2	56%	0.03	101.4	1.02%	0	0.2	63	0
10	May_14_2014	31.03	31.38	31.49	31.56	31.6	31.56	31.63(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	30	3	26	1.81	56%	0	73.3	1.02%	0	0.9	57	0

11	May_13_2014	31.03	31.31	31.52	31.54	31.55	31.7	31.7(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	30	18	35	2.85	59%	0.03	43.5	1.02%	0	1.1	55	0
12	May_12_2014	31.02	31.26	31.49	31.44	31.48	31.5	31.73(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	10	11	21	2.28	59%	0.03	31.4	1.04%	0	1.3	53	0
13	May_9_2014	31.01	31.2	31.43	31.38	31.38	31.41	31.33(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	10	-3	10	1.57	60%	0.03	17.2	1.05%	0	0.3	56	0
14	May_8_2014	31	31.2	31.4	31.4	31.36	31.46	31.41(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4	20	1	14	4.08	60%	0.03	12	1.05%	0	0.6	58	0
15	May_7_2014	30.99	31.18	31.39	31.47	31.35	31.35	31.51(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10	1	29	2.35	62%	0.03	15.2	1.06%	0	0.8	65	0

16	May_6_2014	30.98	31.15	31.37	31.5	31.41	31.26	31.22(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	-40	-9	48	2.36	65%	0.03	12.3	1.07%	0	0.2	69	0
17	May_5_2014	30.97	31.15	31.4	31.54	31.5	31.35	31.42(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-40	-8	66	1.2	65%	0.06	11.5	1.09%	0	0.7	62	0
18	May_2_2014	30.95	31.14	31.37	31.49	31.54	31.56	31.46(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	10	5	76	2.13	61%	0.06	8.2	1.09%	0	0.8	64	0
19	May_1_2014	30.93	31.13	31.33	31.38	31.45	31.65	31.72(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	50	16	73	1.63	61%	0.06	6.6	1.1%	0	1.6	62	0
20	Apr_30_2014	30.91	31.12	31.23	31.29	31.28	31.51	31.68(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	50	18	54	3.74	57%	0.06	8.6	1.12%	0	1.6	51	0

21	Apr_29_2014	30.89	31.11	31.09	31.23	31.28	31.25	31.43(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	10	9	33	2.1	54%	0.03	12.9	1.12%	0	0.9	54	0
22	Apr_28_2014	30.88	31.1	31.01	31.24	31.18	31.04	31.15(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-40	-4	24	4.63	56%	0.03	27.4	1.14%	0	0.1	52	0
23	Apr_25_2014	30.87	31.1	31.01	31.23	31.27	31.1	30.93(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-6	-30	-11	8	10.15	56%	0.03	36.2	1.14%	0	-0.5	44	0
24	Apr_24_2014	30.86	31.11	31.01	31.25	31.29	31.32	31.27(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	10	2	7	7.58	51%	0.06	43.1	1.14%	0	0.4	47	0
25	Apr_23_2014	30.84	31.09	30.95	31.14	31.23	31.45	31.38(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	60	25	4	4.3	51%		40.5	1.21%	0	0.8	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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