Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Apr. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $31.0200 (1.01%) ($30.8200 - $31.1200) on Sat. Apr. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $31.0200(1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.64(1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.88(0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.98(0.13%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.26% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.23%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.16%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.29%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140519

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_17_2014	30.81	30.98	30.88	30.64	30.63	30.8	31.02(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	40	18	-57	2.18	48%	0.03	8.7	1.2%	0	0.1	45	0
2	Apr_16_2014	30.8	30.95	30.91	30.61	30.55	30.8	30.71(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	-30	-11	-65	2.3	48%	0	15.2	1.2%	0	-0.6	49	0
3	Apr_15_2014	30.8	30.94	30.99	30.75	30.68	30.46	30.24(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-31	-60	-24	-50	5.02	48%	0	24.1	1.18%	0	-1.7	42	0
4	Apr_14_2014	30.8	30.94	31.13	30.92	30.94	30.64	30.65(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-70	-17	-22	3.11	52%	0.03	38.1	1.18%	0	-0.8	50	0
5	Apr_11_2014	30.79	30.97	31.21	30.99	31.04	30.9	30.59(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-30	-25	-5	2.61	52%	0.03	35.9	1.19%	0	-0.9	58	0

6	Apr_10_2014	30.78	30.94	31.28	31.14	31.14	31.24	30.85(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	20	-5	29	2.53	53%	0.03	29.2	1.19%	0	-0.2	59	0
7	Apr_9_2014	30.77	30.89	31.3	31.26	31.22	31.17	31.44(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-20	3	50	2.05	56%	0.07	19.6	1.18%	0	1.1	72	0
8	Apr_8_2014	30.75	30.84	31.24	31.28	31.26	31.04	31.06(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-50	-19	52	1.17	54%	0.03	15.2	1.17%	0	0.4	69	0
9	Apr_7_2014	30.74	30.82	31.23	31.38	31.4	31.28	31.02(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	-20	-16	66	2.27	54%	0.07	15.4	1.17%	0	0.4	57	0
10	Apr_4_2014	30.72	30.81	31.17	31.45	31.52	31.49	31.34(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	0	-1	80	5.39	54%	0.07	21	1.15%	0	1.1	69	0

11	Apr_3_2014	30.7	30.81	31.09	31.44	31.51	31.52	31.43(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	10	6	91	4.61	54%	0.07	15.1	1.16%	0	1.3	78	0
12	Apr_2_2014	30.68	30.79	31	31.33	31.46	31.56	31.55(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	30	14	99	3.63	50%	0.07	9.9	1.16%	0	1.5	83	0
13	Apr_1_2014	30.66	30.77	30.88	31.2	31.3	31.51	31.58(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	60	18	84	2.2	50%	0.1	0.6	1.23%	0	1.7	62	0
14	Mar_31_2014	30.63	30.75	30.79	31.05	31.15	31.36	31.35(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	60	26	76	2.09	50%	0.07	-12	1.24%	0	1.3	57	0
15	Mar_28_2014	30.61	30.71	30.7	30.86	30.97	31.08	31.3(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	40	19	53	1.64	50%	0.1	-33.3	1.23%	0	1.2	55	0

16	Mar_27_2014	30.58	30.72	30.57	30.69	30.76	30.95	30.88(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	50	9	19	1.76	48%	0.03	-41.3	1.23%	0	0.3	45	0
17	Mar_26_2014	30.57	30.74	30.45	30.61	30.69	30.87	30.9(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	13	50	21	-11	8.13	48%	0.07	-45.2	1.23%	0	0.3	41	0
18	Mar_25_2014	30.55	30.76	30.4	30.51	30.52	30.58	30.82(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	10	4	-37	2.8	48%	0.07	-46.9	1.23%	0	0.1	44	0
19	Mar_24_2014	30.53	30.8	30.38	30.5	30.48	30.51	30.38(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	0	-0	-49	3.01	45%	0.03	-45.7	1.22%	0	-0.7	38	0
20	Mar_21_2014	30.52	30.87	30.42	30.52	30.55	30.51	30.49(0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	-20	7	-44	4.22	47%	0.03	-43.5	1.22%	0	-0.6	49	0

21	Mar_20_2014	30.51	30.92	30.47	30.41	30.5	30.45	30.46(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-0	4	-63	2.7	47%	0.03	-48.2	1.23%	0	-0.8	38	0
22	Mar_19_2014	30.5	30.97	30.56	30.25	30.39	30.64	30.42(-1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	70	5	-77	3.6	47%	0.03	-52.4	1.24%	0	-0.9	41	0
23	Mar_18_2014	30.49	31.02	30.64	30.27	30.28	30.55	30.76(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	60	18	-76	6.11	49%	0.03	-48.9	1.23%	0	-0.4	43	0
24	Mar_17_2014	30.48	31.07	30.69	30.26	30.22	30.15	30.48(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	-20	1	-89	2.96	49%	0.03	-38.9	1.24%	0	-1	39	0
25	Mar_14_2014	30.47	31.13	30.71	30.31	30.32	30.01	29.95(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-51	-70	-30	-115	7	49%		-28.9	1.22%	0	-2	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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