Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 20, 2014

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $30.4600 (0.13%) ($30.1300 - $30.5400) on Thu. Mar. 20, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $30.4600(0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(79%)    EEM(75%)    EWJ(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-22%)    TLT(-22%)    SHY(-3%)    VT(-2%)    DIA(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $26.88(-11.75%)
Resistance Level   $30.92
5 Day Moving Average   $30.41(0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.47(-0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.92(-1.49%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.91% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.33%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.58%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.1%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.41%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140420

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_20_2014	30.51	30.92	30.47	30.41	30.5	30.45	30.46(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-0	4	-63	2.7	47%	0.03	-48.2	1.23%	0	-0.8	38	0
2	Mar_19_2014	30.5	30.97	30.56	30.25	30.39	30.64	30.42(-1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	70	5	-77	3.6	47%	0.03	-52.4	1.24%	0	-0.9	41	0
3	Mar_18_2014	30.49	31.02	30.64	30.27	30.28	30.55	30.76(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	60	18	-76	6.11	49%	0.03	-48.9	1.23%	0	-0.4	43	0
4	Mar_17_2014	30.48	31.07	30.69	30.26	30.22	30.15	30.48(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	-20	1	-89	2.96	49%	0.03	-38.9	1.24%	0	-1	39	0
5	Mar_14_2014	30.47	31.13	30.71	30.31	30.32	30.01	29.95(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-51	-70	-30	-115	7	49%	0	-28.9	1.22%	0	-2	32	0

6	Mar_13_2014	30.47	31.21	30.88	30.55	30.53	30.29	29.63(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-55	-60	-40	-99	5.97	49%	0	-9	1.22%	0	-3	31	0
7	Mar_12_2014	30.47	31.29	31.07	30.92	30.79	30.62	30.51(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-33	-50	-22	-65	4.17	53%	0.07	32.2	1.16%	0	-2.1	39	0
8	Mar_11_2014	30.45	31.32	31.17	31.06	31.06	30.78	30.71(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-60	-18	-51	4.19	53%	0.03	67.9	1.16%	0	-1.8	42	0
9	Mar_10_2014	30.44	31.31	31.27	31.18	31.17	30.97	30.77(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-50	-17	-40	3.32	53%	0.07	82.6	1.17%	0	-1.4	39	0
10	Mar_7_2014	30.42	31.3	31.37	31.15	31.31	31.33	31.12(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	20	-6	-37	3.03	53%	0.1	82.4	1.15%	0	-0.4	45	0

11	Mar_6_2014	30.39	31.25	31.37	31.27	31.21	31.38	31.48(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	30	2	-22	3.15	55%	0.07	75.3	1.15%	0	0.5	51	0
12	Mar_5_2014	30.37	31.16	31.41	31.26	31.21	31.3	31.24(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	4	10	9	-13	3.92	55%	0.13	54.9	1.16%	0	0.1	55	0
13	Mar_4_2014	30.33	31.09	31.43	31.3	31.27	31.05	31.31(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-50	-14	-12	5.71	53%	0.1	41.3	1.16%	0	0.3	57	0
14	Mar_3_2014	30.3	30.99	31.47	31.38	31.31	31.24	30.62(-3.44%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-20	-20	-30	9	7.67	48%	0.07	33.3	1.13%	0	-0.5	59	0
15	Feb_28_2014	30.28	30.96	31.58	31.6	31.31	31.5	31.71(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10	8	68	5.63	54%	0.13	36.2	1.04%	0	0.9	75	0

16	Feb_27_2014	30.24	30.9	31.55	31.57	31.54	31.38	31.43(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-40	-13	82	2.39	54%	0.13	29.8	1.04%	0	0.7	77	0
17	Feb_26_2014	30.2	30.84	31.52	31.59	31.61	31.59	31.45(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-0	-4	114	1.8	54%	0.13	23.6	1.04%	0	0.8	82	0
18	Feb_25_2014	30.16	30.8	31.48	31.58	31.59	31.7	31.67(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	30	4	145	1.51	54%	0.13	19.9	1.04%	0	1.1	86	0
19	Feb_24_2014	30.12	30.73	31.35	31.59	31.56	31.63	31.74(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	10	8	169	2.89	54%	0.1	15.1	1.04%	0	1.3	89	0
20	Feb_21_2014	30.09	30.67	31.23	31.56	31.57	31.63	31.58(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	46	-20	2	178	2.3	54%	0.13	8	1.04%	0	1.2	74	0

21	Feb_20_2014	30.05	30.66	31.08	31.53	31.56	31.49	31.49(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	-10	-0	173	1.77	52%	0.13	5.9	1.05%	0	1.1	62	0
22	Feb_19_2014	30.01	30.65	30.9	31.44	31.52	31.64	31.43(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	48	30	11	157	1.75	52%	0.1	3.4	1.06%	0	1.1	63	0
23	Feb_18_2014	29.98	30.64	30.71	31.34	31.37	31.62	31.71(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	61	60	34	140	3.29	52%	0.2	4.1	1.05%	0	1.4	57	0
24	Feb_14_2014	29.92	30.62	30.48	31.07	31.15	31.39	31.57(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	60	36	96	1.31	52%	0.13	-4.7	1.04%	0	1.3	60	0
25	Feb_13_2014	29.88	30.61	30.29	30.84	30.84	31.12	31.47(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	60	34	61	1.93	52%		-7.7	1.04%	0	1.2	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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